Read here. Scientists from Germany and Russia conducted extensive research and reconstructed past temperatures from tree rings. Using tree samples of Scots pine in the Khibiny Low Mountains of the Kola Peninsula in Arctic Russia, they found the following:
"The reconstructed summer temperature on Kola in the months of July and August has varied between 10.4°C (1709) and [peaking at] 14.7°C (1957), with a mean of 12.2°C. Afterwards, after a cooling phase, an ongoing warming can be observed from 1990 onwards.....The temperature fluctuated between 10.4°C and a peak of 14.7°C in 1957 , and then cooled until 1990. The scientists say it correlated very well with solar activity until 1990.....What stands out in the data from the Kola Peninsula is that the highest temperatures were found in the period around 1935 and 1955, and that by 1990 the curve had fallen to the 1870 level, which corresponds to the start of the Industrial Age.....The reconstructed summer temperatures of the last four centuries from Lapland and the Kola and Taimyr Peninsulas are similar in that all three data series display a temperature peak in the middle of the twentieth century, followed by a cooling of one or two degrees......What is conspicuous about the new data is that the reconstructed minimum temperatures coincide exactly with times of low solar activity. The researchers therefore assume that in the past, solar activity was a significant factor contributing to summer temperature fluctuations in the Arctic."
The above scientific evidence reveals little, if any, correlation between growth of human CO2 emissions and Arctic temperatures. The scientists conclude that there was a past relationship between solar activity and temperatures.
During the 1990's, the scientists find that warming resumes in the Arctic. And what was solar activity like during the 90's and later? Well solar activity increased, as documented in this Watts Up With That article. (click on image to enlarge)
Read here. Our modern world is experiencing natural climate change, but scientists are now telling us that it doesn't rival the destructive force of ancient climate change that took place during Medieval times.
When true unprecedented climate change occurs, it can be devastating to cultures and civilizations that are not prepared to adapt to different environmental conditions.
In the case of the Central American Mayans, their civilization was destroyed because they chose to follow the hope of mitigation, through human sacrifice and prayer to their gods, instead of pursuing the practical adaptation needed to survive the natural Medieval Warming drought conditions.
How bad was the climate change for the Mayans during the Medieval Warming period?
"Escobar et al. state that their findings "confirm the interpretations of Hodell et al. (1995, 2007) and Curtis et al. (1996) that there were persistent dry climate episodes associated with the Terminal Classic Maya Period." In fact, they find that "the Terminal Classic Period from ca. AD 910 to 990 was not only the driest period in the last 3,000 years, but also a persistently dry period." And in further support of this interpretation, they note that "the core section encompassing the Classic Maya collapse has the lowest sedimentation rate among all layers and the lowest oxygen isotope variability.".....that "double whammy" of persistent warmth and persistent dryness appears to have been just a bit too much for the Mayans of that trying time to endure.""
Additional climate history postings.
Read here. Nasa's climate group (GISS) receives billion's of taxpayer dollars, supposedly to help us better understand the climate and global temperatures. One would have expected, and hoped, that this taxpayer largesse would result in properly placed temperature measuring instruments in the polar areas. No such luck.
Instead of creating a polar temperature sensor network, the GISS dumpkoffs decided to create magical Arctic temperatures based on temperature readings from 1,000 kilometers away. As the scientists and taxpayers are now finding, Hansen's GISS temperature fabrication methodology has produced some really off-the-wall Arctic temps.
Here's the basic reason why the Nasa polar temperature methodology will likely produce crapola. (click on image to enlarge)
So, if you had to travel to Ottawa, Canada tomorrow, would you check the weather forecast for Clarksville, Virginia some 1,000 kilometers to the south? If you're sane, like all other climate research groups, you wouldn't do that. Not so with Nasa's GISS climate group.
Map source: Google Earth (download here)
Read here. A lot of publicity and research funds have found their way to scientists because of the bizarre fear the oceans will become too "acidic" to support life. Even Hollywood bimbos pass their prime have so claimed. Unfortunately for the bimbos, and the ocean-is-acid alarmists, the real science keeps finding the evidence doesn't support the hysterical fear-mongering. Surprised?
"Winans and Purcell conclude that "A. labiata polyps [a jellyfish life stage] are quite tolerant of low pH, surviving and reproducing asexually even at the lowest tested pH," which degree of "acidification" is not expected to occur (even by climate alarmists) until about AD 2300.....they acknowledge that many organisms "may be able to acclimate or adapt to slowly changing pH conditions." And in this context they report that in Puget Sound "pH fluctuates from 7.2 to 9.6 in 2.4-meter deep water over the span of a couple of days," stating that "with such large pH fluctuations due to plant photosynthesis during the day and respiration at night, many organisms may be exposed to low pH conditions routinely." And, obviously, they are also successfully dealing with those low pH conditions routinely, as are an enormous amount of other marine organisms."
Other ocean acidification postings.
Fortunately for the alarmist scientists, it's not too difficult to trick the typical journalist/pundit or celebrity regarding global warming (e.g., see this Krugman-I-am-a-climate-moron headline). All that needs to be done is to add the "est" ending to any word and the mass hysteria of the journalist/celebrity lemmings is set in hilarious motion - The "OMG, we're all going to die" type of hilarity.
The latest round of mass hysteria was recently initiated by the NOAA/NCDC/GISS scientists with the warm'est' 4-months announcement, the warm'est' 5-months, the warm'est' 6-months, the warm'est' June and etc.
Putting aside the inconvenient fact that the world is still naturally warming from the Little Ice Age and "warmest" periods should naturally occur, what's the reality of global temperatures for all the six-month periods ending in June? Let's take a look at that question by putting the temperature data into context that provides the big picture, and avoids the short-term "est" propaganda of global warming alarmist scientists (click on image to enlarge)
This first chart plots the change in the first six (6) month's average temperature of a calendar year relative to the previous calendar first six month's average temperature. For example, the very last column on the chart shows the 2010 January-June temperature increase over the previous year's (2009) average 6-month temperature of the January-June period.
When looking at all 130 years of first 6-month temperature changes, we see a wide variation in outcome without any obvious significant trend. True, there are more increases versus decreases observed, but that is to be expected, since the Earth's climate is presently occupying the rebound phase (cycle) from the bitter cold of the Little Ice Age.
The red curve on the above chart represents a moving 15-year average, which provides us the requisite long-term context of changes regarding 'January-thru-June' temps. At the tip of the green line arrow is the data point representing the 15-year average ending in 2010. It's certainly not a very impressive data point, though. Why? Well, the big picture provides the obvious: there have been multiple occasions in the past when the 15-year moving average was higher (i.e., the red curve exceeds the green line) than this last 15-year warm"est" period.
Clearly, despite the short-term utilization of the "est" tactic and the risible, hysterical response of the pundit/celebrity class, the big climate data picture reveals a very modest, unexceptional temperature change, as exhibited by the last of the 15-year periods ending in 2010. And, there's even more big picture evidence that undercuts the alarmist "est" fear-mongering about recent January-June global temperatures. (click on image to enlarge)
This second chart examines the much proclaimed "acceleration" of temperatures, again using the average temperature of the first six (6) months of each calendar year. To provide additional long-term, big picture context, the moving 15-year slope of the trend (rate of change) is calculated as the degree temperature change rate per century and then plotted.
Look carefully at the last data point, which represents the 15-years trend ending June 2010, that data point is very educational. Simply put, the warming acceleration for the warm"est" six months, evaaar, is not exceptional. Indeed, this rate of temperature change is well within the range of ordinary. And, as you might note, the 15-year period ending in 1942 exhibits a temperature acceleration that's never been matched (or for those journalists/celebrities reading this, and need the "proper" scientific guidance, 1942 is the highEST evaaar!).Additional current temp charts here. Historical temp charts here.
Read here. One of the major stuck-on-stupid positions that global warming alarmists claim is that only human CO2 increases cause climate change. This idiotic stance eventually resulted in the bogus hockey-stick study that the world's preeminent statisticians found to be so....well....really bogus. The hockey-stick of course purported to show that no climate changes had occurred over the last 1,000 years until the late 20th century. This idiocy became so apparent that even the IPCC retired the hockey-stick to barely a footnote in its last report.
In spite of the bogus hockey-stick, researchers across the world kept working to better understand past climate change. Another study just released has found that the arid central Asia (ACA) region has had significant climate change over the last 1,000 years during periods of low, unchanging CO2 levels.
"The nine researchers report that the effective moisture (precipitation) in the ACA has a generally inverse relationship with the temperature of the Northern Hemisphere, as portrayed by Moberg et al. (2005), China, as portrayed by Yang et al. (2002), and Central Asia, as portrayed by Esper et al. (2007). That is to say, as they describe it, the "wet (dry) climate in the ACA correlates with low (high) temperature." And stating it in yet another way, they indicate that the ACA "has been characterized by a relatively dry Medieval Warm Period (MWP; the period from ~1000 to 1350 AD), a wet little Ice Age (LIA; from ~1500-1850 AD),"....."which cooling was brought about by the gradual demise of the Medieval Warm Period, which in turn speaks volumes about the great significance of that centuries-long period of much-lower-than-present atmospheric CO2 concentration but of equivalent or even greater warmth than that of the Current Warm Period, which ultimately suggests that the 20th-century increase in the air's CO2 content may have had little, or maybe even nothing, to do with 20th-century global warming"..... and [finally] "a return to arid conditions [from warming] after 1850 AD," which has been slightly muted..."
Additional climate history postings.
Read here. Obviously, the Princeton scientist shows his true colors as a racist as he develops research that will aid Democrats in supporting strict immigration policies for election reasons...of course, remember, not due to the brown-skinned horde, but due to the "serious" global warming crisis that will cause the brown-skinned horde.
Or, are his AGW-biased findings more in line with his being such a devout believer in human-caused global warming that he will say and predict anything, the science be damned. Well....there is definitely more truth for the latter position - as Princeton scientist Michael Oppenheimer previously stated his own beliefs:
"The only hope for the world is to make sure there is not another United States. We can't let other countries have the same number of cars, the amount of industrialization, we have in the US. We have to stop these Third World countries right where they are."
Hmmmm...was that last sentence from this IPCC scientist kind of, ya know, racist, and said with that white-skinned arrogance? Just asking.
Of course, the usual mainstream media outlets gave this bogus study wide coverage, but that's to be expected - today's journalists are some of the dumbest people you would ever want to meet. And, as the JournoList scandal has revealed, the liberal dominated media acts as the main propaganda organ for all things leftist and the Democratic party.
What's really sad, and a gargantuan embarrassment, is a major science publication lending credence to flat-out politically motivated science. This type of science is so awful, no genuine science journal should ever think of disseminating such garbage. As one scientist stated:
"To be blunt, the paper is guesswork piled on top of "what ifs" built on a foundation of tenuous assumptions.....To use this paper as a prediction of anything would be a mistake. It is a tentative sensitivity study of the effects of one variable on another, where the relationship between the two is itself questionable but more importantly, dependent upon many other far more important factors.....Climate change is real and worthy of our attention. Putting forward research claims that cannot be supported by the underlying analysis will not help the credibility of the climate science community.....The paper reflects a common pattern in the climate impacts literature of trying to pin negative outcomes on climate change using overly simplistic methods and ignoring those factors other than climate which have far more effect."
What really makes it clear to anyone listening is the Princeton scientist's own reasoning for the study (hint.....it's politics, not the science).
"Our primary objectives were, No. 1, to give policymakers something to think about..."
Okay, we'll cut the guy some slack and conclude he is not a racist. But instead, just another dufus scientist who makes it his daily calling to destroy the reputation and credibility of science via his over-the-top global warming bias.
Read here. Previously, science had confirmed that the Parana River in S. America had not suffered from the predicted increased flooding due to global warming. In another peer-reviewed study, the same conclusion was reached for the Mississippi River. Although flooding may have increased, it was man-made engineering that caused increased flooding, not CO2-induced global warming.
"Pinter et al. report that "significant climate- and/or land use-driven increases in flow were detected," but they say that "the largest and most pervasive [our italics] contributors to increased flooding on the Mississippi River system were wing dikes and related navigational structures, followed by progressive levee construction.".....In discussing the implications of their findings, Pinter et al. write that "the navigable rivers of the Mississippi system have been intensively engineered, and some of these modifications are associated with large decreases in the rivers' capacity to convey flood flows." Hence, man has indeed been responsible for the majority of the enhanced flooding of the rivers of the Mississippi system over the past century or so, but not in the way suggested by the world's climate alarmists."
Read here. Despite the demise of global warming legislation in the U.S., we still have the über liberal, tax-evading Sen. John Kerry taking the hysterical doom and gloom angle, which has failed in an unprecedented, miserable fashion.
While the leftist political elites and the chattering class continue to waste valuable time and resources on a problem as about as real as the TV series Lost's smoke monster, millions continue to die from air pollution that can be controlled and eliminated. This can be accomplished without the trillion dollar sacrifices (demands) to line the pockets of big lobbyists, such as Gore, Goldman Sachs, and Soros.
From Richard Tol, one of the world's leading climate change economists and prominent IPCC expert, this simple and horrendous truth:
"The number of people who die in 2010 due to conventional air pollution is greater than the number of people who are projected to die in 2100 due to climate change."
Does anyone really believe that Gore, Goldman Sachs, Soros, liberal/leftists/progressives, or the typical climate scientist alarmist gives a flying-frak about solving the real, solvable pollution problems? You know, the pollution problems that actually kill a lot of people? Didn't think so.
Read here. From the creepy Al Gore to Leonardo DiCaprio to despot Hugo Chavez, there are thousands of science illiterate celebrities claiming that the oceans are rising to dangerous levels. The celebrity claim is that human-induced global warming is causing the seas to rise and will result in millions of refugees having to move from low-level coastal areas.
Unfortunately for the mentally-challenged, disturbed celebrities, the dangerous "oceans are dangerously rising" myth is just that.
"The rate of sea level rise over much of the last 6,000 years has been an almost-imperceptible 1.4 millimeters per year (about 6 inches per century). Based on tide gauge measurements, sea level has risen by an average of 1.7 ± 0.3 mm/year since 1950 [7 inches per century]. Like most things associated with Earth's environment, sea levels are not static. They are constantly changing, as is the climate itself....Part of sea level change may, indeed, be caused by human activity, but not because of anthropogenic global warming. Damming and rerouting rivers diminishes water flowing to the sea; over-pumping buried aquifers and draining oil fields can cause subsidence. At the same time uplift and subduction, changing wind and currents, erosion and the deposit of sediments all play a larger, natural part. So when climate change alarmists start ranting about the inexorable rise of the world's oceans, realize that it is just another scare tactic being used to frighten the uninformed public—sea level shenanigans meant to promote the warmist agenda."
Read here. Is Mann just unlucky or incredibly incompetent? As his science research continues to be dissected by impartial, non-Mannian professionals, it becomes abundantly clear that the latter is closer to the truth than the former.
"In one case, when interpolating the climate model data onto a different grid, the data were rotated around the Earth 180 degrees, so that model data that should be located on the Greenwich Meridian were erroneously placed at 180 degrees longitude; in another case the data in the Western Hemisphere were spatially smoothed, while the data in the Eastern Hemisphere were not.....the implications are rather interesting, since Smerdon's findings imply that Mann's stress-testing must have been too weak to actually demonstrate what they purported to do. Fascinating stuff."
Just watch this video so you too can witness the sheer stupidity of today's journalists. I continue to be stunned by the incredible idiocy that mainstream press reveals about global warming and the climate. This reporter obviously does not know the difference between weather and climate. I'm surprised Inhofe didn't pull a gun, and just out of plain mercy, put down this sorry-assed, feeble-minded idiot.
Instead of killing all the lawyers first, can we move the really dumb-ass reporters to the front of the line? Seriously. Or, should we consider a mass castration/sterilization of all "journalists" to assure their damaged genetic material is no longer passed on? Honestly, the country can no longer afford this level of stupidity.
If I was the head of ABC news, I'd have this video removed from the servers and claim it was faked by those evil global warming skeptics.
h/t: Climate Change Fraud
Read here. Global warming alarmists and agenda-driven pundits frequently spread the meme that global warming will cause more wars, leading to all sorts of imagined scenarios of mayhem, destruction and death later this century and next. Is there any actual empirical evidence backing these more-war claims up? Nope.
In a new peer-reviewed study, researchers examine the empirical evidence and find the claims of retired, fat-
assed admirals and generals (real and the armchair variety) to be without merit. Surprised?
"In their conclusions, the authors state “We present some evidence that periods with lower temperatures in the pre-industrial era are accompanied by violent conflicts”, consistent with what others had found in China. Furthermore, they note “If anything, lower temperatures imply violence, and this effect is much weaker in the modern world than it was in pre-industrial times. This implies that future global warming is not likely to lead to (civil) war between (within) European countries.”.....Another popular claim about global warming is once again not supported by what has been observed for centuries – sound familiar?"
Blue/green colors indicate a low correlation between high temperatures and violence. Red reveals the high correlation regions.
Of course, per the evidence, Turkey and the Balkans appear to have a strong correlation with warmth and war. Or, is that a correlation between a certain religion and war/terrorism? And what about Iceland? Yep, them damn Vikings and their distant relatives were pretty frisky during the Medieval Warming until the icy depths of the Little Ice Age finally put Iceland and Greenland back in the deep freezer.
Additional climate history
Read here. Researchers using lake sediment cores determine that severe weather for the northeastern United States has followed a cyclical pattern with a 3,000 year gap between each peak. The latest severe weather period began some 600 years ago with onset of the Little Ice Age. The major forces driving this natural cycle are thought to be solar changes, along with changes in the Atlantic Oscillation (AO).
Atmospheric CO2 levels are not even considered to be an influence on this natural cycle of storminess.
"The authors' data indicate that "the frequency of storm-related floods in the northeastern United States has varied in regular cycles during the past 13,000 years (13 kyr), with a characteristic period of about 3 kyr." There were four major storminess peaks during this period; they occurred approximately 2.6, 5.8, 9.1 and 11.9 kyr ago, with the most recent upswing in storminess beginning "at about 600 yr BP [Before Present], coincident with the beginning of the Little Ice Age.".....authors say that the pattern they observed "is consistent with long-term changes in the average sign of the Arctic Oscillation [AO], suggesting that modulation of this dominant atmospheric mode may account for a significant fraction of Holocene climate variability in North America and Europe.".....authors also report that "during the past ~600 yr, New England storminess appears to have been increasing naturally," and they suggest that "changes in the AO, perhaps modulated by solar forcing, may explain a significant portion of Holocene climate variability in the North Atlantic region." They further state that their explanation is appealing "because it makes a specific prediction that New England storminess should be at its greatest when Europe is cold (characteristic of the low-phase AO)," such as during Little Ice Age conditions"
Read here. The numerous violations of the Freedom of Information Act regarding the UK's climate scientists is discussed by Anthony, including the recent peer-reviewed study concerning this issue. As always, a fascinating WUWT read.
What makes this WUWT post even more interesting (and chilling) is the information about the Homeland Security Department's handling of Freedom of Information requests under the Obama Administration. The Stasi-like tactics utilized by the Obama team are truly unprecedented. As Watts says, "throw the bums out" in November.
"For at least a year, the Homeland Security Department detoured requests for federal records to senior political advisers for highly unusual scrutiny, probing for information about the requesters and delaying disclosures deemed too politically sensitive, according to nearly 1,000 pages of internal e-mails obtained by The Associated Press.....Career employees were ordered to provide Secretary Janet Napolitano’s political staff with information about the people who asked for records — such as where they lived, whether they were private citizens or reporters — and about the organizations where they worked."
Of course, if this country had a functional working press we might not be suffering from one of the most robustly thuggish administrations since Nixon's. Unfortunately, as revealed over the past week with the JournoList e-mail scandal, the mainstream press has been carrying the water for the Obama administration even prior to his election. Certainly, the biased, dysfunctional fourth-estate is no surprise to CAGW-climate skeptics.
Besides a lust for money and things carnal, he also seems to have a lust for fossil-fuel consumption.
Thank god for Gore, otherwise it would that much more difficult for the average person to realize that most liberals-leftists-progressives-Democrats are pathological liars, who live life large in all its hypocritical glory. With the discoverer of ManBearPig doing his thingy, it's like shooting-fish-in-barrel.
Read here. In a new peer-reviewed study, Russian scientists confirmed that floodplain areas were more widely populated during periods of lesser precipitation (snow and rain). These lesser precipitation regimes occurred during warming periods, with the Medieval Warming being the most significant, not the current warming.
"In a study of the Upper Volga and Zapadnaya Dvina Rivers of Russia, Panin and Nefedov documented "the geomorphological and altitudinal positions of [human] occupational layers corresponding to 1224 colonization epochs at 870 archaeological sites in river valleys and lake depressions in southwestern Tver province,".....The two Russian researchers report finding that "low-water epochs coincide with epochs of relative warming, while high-water epochs [coincide] with cooling epochs," because "during the climate warming epochs, a decrease in duration and severity of winters should have resulted in a drop in snow cover water equivalent by the snowmelt period, a decrease in water discharge and flood stage, and a decrease in seasonal peaks in lake levels,".....And this relationship clearly implies that the current level of warmth in the portion of Russia that hosts the Upper Volga and Zapadnaya Dvina Rivers is not yet as great as it was during the AD 1000-1300 portion of the Medieval Warm Period."
Read here. Obama and Democrats continue to propose and maintain energy regulations/legislation that suck big money out of taxpayers' wallet to enrich the Dem-Left's renewable energy, big corporate supporters and lobbyists.
$1.78 per gallon corporate subsidy by taxpayers: Corn ethanol
$2.55 per gallon corporate subsidy by taxpayers: Celluosic ethanol
$3.00 per gallon corporate subsidy by taxpayers: Biodiesel
So far, renewable energy schemes (scams?) from large corporations are mostly environmental disasters, funded by the gigantic annual expense to individual taxpayers.
July 21, 2010 at 04:13 PM | Permalink
The UK is a shell of its former "superpower" self. Sadly, the country that stood up to Hitler has evolved into a nation of pathetic, weak, frightened souls. This once great nation is now solely led by a small group of elitists who casually propagate melodramatic fears with the objectives of asserting greater control and self-enrichment for themselves. In essence, the UK ruling class has become their country's own worst enemy.
The current events of the UK read like some third world banana republic where Monty Python-crazed despots are institutionalizing irrational policies of self-destruction. Literally, the former superpower has become the world's super joke - and it's all self-inflicted.
Read a few recent UK headlines and weep, not only for the UK, but for the U.S. as Obama and Democrats try their damnedest to out-stupid the UK ruling class:
UK - "Fantasy Island"
UK Middle classes "bear brunt of liberal elite's obsession with climate change"
UK's Royalty Advice: 'Follow the Islamic way to save the world,' Prince Charles urges environmentalists
UK Whitewash: Climategate enquiry papers "endorsed by Climategate's own Phil Jones
UK's Climate Agencies: CRU/UEA breached Freedom of Information rules
"The Oil Spill" Reward: BP Ex CEO Gets British Government JobClimate Skepticism Could Soon Be a Criminal Offence in UK
Green Police Become A Reality in the UK!
British campaigner urges UN to accept 'ecocide' as international crime
Green Britain Faces Blackouts
UK Climate Madness: switch off motorway lights to reduce emissions
London's New Climate Czar 'made so many foreign trips by air in his job that his carbon footprint is already 30 times bigger than the UK average'
UK Climate Change Policies Undermine Economic Recovery
Power rationed on UK's 'green island' Eigg after mild weather causes drought
UK To Spend Billions of Pounds for Tiny Results Towards Stopping climate Change!
UK will fail climate change target
UK energy secretary pledges 'radical overhaul' of homes to save carbon
UK Household gas and electricity bills are expected to rocket fourfold to nearly £5,000 a year due to climate policies
Britain's Wind Scam Worse Than Thought
Closing down Britain
Britain's Green Suicide: Soaring UK Energy Prices Destroy Industrial BaseUK Climate Madness: call for supermarket goods to have "carbon labelling"
UK ads banned for overstating climate change
Children frightened or anxious about climate by UK school alarmist propaganda
Climate Revolt By Scientists Rocks UK's Royal Society
The End is Nigh: UK science writer Matt Ridley Loses Faith -- 'Finally exhausted his patience with environmental movement'
Emission Fine Fears Grip British Firms
UK leads the way in spending billions to achieve no benefit
U.K. Energy Policy In A Muddle (It's a freaking mess)
Government admits Britain will fail to meet 2010 carbon emission target
In Brown's 21st Century England, this is what we were reduced to yesterday.
A taste of things to come UK Incompetence
UK Carbon Traders Charged with Laundering
Wind Farms Produced Little Electricity During UK Cold Spell
UK Government Failed To Act Despite Road Salt Warming
SHIVERING Britain faces the prospect of gas supply shortages
UK Fuel bills could rise by £250 per annum to pay for switch to renewables
Alarmist Prince Charles of UK travels by private Airbus; suggests solar powered garbage cans might help save Canada from overheating
Read here. Global cooling is on the march (part I and part II) and it is brutal and devastating. In South America the cold will probably kill thousands this winter. If global cooling truly grips the world, all of us, not just S. America, can expect far worse death and destruction as documented in this article based on peer-reviewed studies:
"The Little Ice Age in Scandinavia, as in most parts of the world where glaciers were wont to form and grow during that period, was not a time of either pleasantness or plenty. In fact, it was downright depressing and dangerous, as alpine glaciers advanced in virtually all mountainous regions of the globe during that period (Luckman, 1994; Villalba, 1994; Smith et al., 1995; Naftz et al., 1996), eroding large areas of land and producing masses of debris. Like an army of tractors and bulldozers, streams of ice flowed down mountain slopes, carving paths through the landscape, moving rocks, and destroying all vegetation in their paths (Smith and Laroque, 1995).
Continental glaciers and sea ice expanded their ranges as well (Grove, 1988; Crowley and North, 1991). Near Iceland and Greenland, in fact, the expansion of sea ice during the Little Ice Age was so great that it isolated the Viking colony established in Greenland during the Medieval Warm Period, leading to its eventual abandonment (Bergthorsson, 1969; Dansgaard et al., 1975; Pringle, 1997).
Two closely associated phenomena that often occurred during the Little Ice Age were glacial landslides and avalanches (Porter and Orombelli, 1981; Innes, 1985). In Norway, an unprecedented number of petitions for tax and land rent relief were granted in the 17th and 18th centuries on account of the considerable damage that was caused by landslides, rockfalls, avalanches, floods and ice movement (Grove, 1988). In one example of catastrophic force and destruction, the Italian settlements of Ameiron and Triolet were destroyed by a rockfall of boulders, water, and ice in 1717. The evidence suggests that the rockfall had a volume of 16-20 million cubic meters and descended 1860 meters over a distance of 7 kilometers in but a few minutes, destroying homes, livestock, and vegetation (Porter and Orombelli, 1980). Other data suggest rockslides and avalanches were also frequent hazards in mountainous regions during this period (Porter and Orombelli, 1981; Innes, 1985).
Flooding was another catastrophic hazard of the Little Ice Age, with meltwater streams from glaciers eroding farmland throughout Norway (Blyth, 1982; Grove, 1988). In Iceland, flooding also wreaked havoc on the landscape when, on occasion, subglacial volcanic activity melted large portions of continental glaciers (Thoroddsen, 1905-06; Thorarinsson, 1959). Peak discharge rates during these episodes have been estimated to have been as high as 100,000 cubic meters per second - a value comparable in magnitude to the mean discharge rate of the Amazon River (Thorarinsson, 1957). During one such eruption-flood in 1660, glacial meltwater streams carried enough rock and debris from the land to the sea to create a dry beach where fishing boats had previously operated in 120 feet (36.6 m) of water (Grove, 1988); while flooding from a later eruption carried enough sediment seaward to fill waters 240 feet (73.2 m) deep (Henderson, 1819).
There is also evidence to suggest that some regions of the globe experienced severe drought during the Little Ice Age as a result of large-scale changes in atmospheric circulation patterns (Crowley and North, 1991; Stahle and Cleaveland, 1994). In Chile, for example, dendrochronology studies have revealed that the most intense droughts of the past 1,000 years occurred during this period of time (Villalba, 1994). Similar findings have been obtained from tree-ring analyses in the southeastern United States, where the most prolonged dry episode of spring drought in the last 1,000 years occurred during the mid-18th century (Stahle and Cleaveland, 1994). Elsewhere in the southwest U.S., dendrochronology data indicate that the warm and moist conditions experienced during the Medieval Warm Period gave way to progressively cooler and drier conditions during the Little Ice Age; and it is suspected that this transformation of the climate led to the demise of the Anasazi Indian civilization by reducing the area of land on the Colorado Plateau that was suitable for agriculture (Petersen, 1994). Indeed, cold temperatures and glacial advances resulted in problematic farming in many areas of the world during the Little Ice Age; and failed crops and disrupted ecosystems produced much human misery (Bernabo, 1981; Grimm, 1983; Payette et al., 1985; Campbell and McAndrews, 1991; Cambpell and McAndrews, 1993).
Consequently, and in light of all of the debilitating phenomena associated with depressed global temperatures, if there was even the slimmest of chances that the historical increase in the air's CO2 content may have contributed somewhat to the 20th-century warming that brought the planet out of this awful environmental state, it should be applauded."
Read here. The new technology that GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) satellite measurements represent appears to have major biases and is error-prone. Unfortunately, climate scientists who advocate climate alarmism misuse the GRACE findings to support their views without stating the critical GRACE short-comings. (Update: new GRACE article from WUWT.)
"In an effort designed to provide some of that "detailed understanding" of GRACE's "errors and biases," Quinn and Ponte conducted what they describe as "a detailed analysis of processing and post-processing factors affecting GRACE estimates of ocean mass trends," by "comparing results from different data centers...".....The two researchers report that the mean ocean mass trends they calculated "vary quite dramatically depending on which GRACE product is used, which adjustments are applied, and how the data are processed.".....In light of the fact that Quinn and Ponte indicate that "over the last century, the rate of sea level rise has been only 1.7 ± 0.5 mm/year, based on tide gauge reconstructions (Church and White, 2006)," it seems a bit strange that one would ever question that result on the basis of a GRACE-derived assessment, with its many and potentially very large "errors and biases.".....Clearly, the GRACE approach to evaluating ocean mass and sea level trends still has a long way to go -- and must develop a long history of data acquisition -- before it can ever be considered a reliable means of providing assessments of ocean mass and sea level change"
Read here. More eminent scientists, expert meteorologists and even major science organizations are now forecasting that the globe is headed for unusually cold period, quite possibly for an extended period of time. As the alarmists like to say, the polar regions are the climate canaries:
"The Neumayer III station, operated by Germany’s Alfred Wegener Institute, has recorded the lowest temperature at their Antarctic location since the start of operations there 29 years ago. The mercury dropped to -50.2°C.....According to polar meteorologist Gert König-Langlo of the Neumayer III, such similarly low temperatures have been recorded only 10 times since Neumayer operations began at this location. Says König-Langlo: This is the first time we’ve gone under the minus 50 degree mark."
In spite of the constant, ludicrous, short-term, navel-gazing pronouncements of U.S. climate scientists and their useful idiots, the mainstream press, the world is not burning up, nor melting. If climate scientists feel so strongly that the focus should be on the short-term, then the above indicator of Arctic ice melt is surely important and indicative also. It does seem to confirm what is happening over the medium-term, globally:
Read here. Great explanation of the what-and-why of hurricane seasonal activity. In summary, if a weak La Niña (an ENSO phase) develops in the Pacific, and in combination with warmer Atlantic Ocean waters, the number of 2010 hurricanes could be large. Update: here.
"Last year, there were only three hurricanes. The long-term average is 10 tropical storms, six that develop into hurricanes. The season runs from the first of June to the end of November — hurricanes only form over water that is 80 degrees or warmer, as the Atlantic Ocean is usually not warm enough to support hurricanes in June and July. But this year, we’ve already got Alex, so we are off and running. Generally the warmer the water, the greater the chance there will be a stormy season. But there are other important factors.....It is a radically different picture this summer. The water is very warm in the hurricane breeding grounds, and there are signs of a La Nina developing. In fact, the water is at least as warm as 2005, and the developing La Nina will reduce the winds over the Atlantic. These two major factors would seem to indicate that this hurricane season will be another one for the books."
Read here. A peer-reviewed study documents the extremely warm temperatures of the Medieval Period that occurred in the California Sierra Nevada range. Scientists, working with dead tree trunks located above the current treeline, affirm California's Medieval extreme warm temperature history, which still remains unprecedented.
"Working with dead tree trunks located above the current treeline on tephra-covered slopes of Whitewing Mountain and San Joaquin Ridge.....the five researchers say "the Medieval forest on Whitewing was growing under mild, favorable conditions (warm with adequate moisture)," as indicated by "extremely low mean sensitivities [to stress] and large average ring widths." More specifically, they conclude, as reported in their abstract, that annual minimum temperatures during the Medieval Climatic Anomaly in the region they studied were "significantly warmer" (+3.2°C) "than present,".....Once again, we have another example of a paleoclimate study in which the Medieval Warm Period is determined to have been significantly warmer than it is currently....."
Read here. Basic common sense suggests solar influences are driving all climate change instead of a minuscule trace gas such as CO2. In a National Science Foundation (NSF) funded peer-reviewed study of Chinese lake sediment cores, researchers find climate change cycles strongly associated with solar output oscillations.
"The authors find “The carbonate percentage and ostracode abundance show a consistent pattern with ~200 year moisture oscillations during the last 1000 years.” The variations appear to be related to periodicities of solar output – Zhao et al. conclude “Higher solar output corresponds to a stronger monsoon, which intensifies the uplift of air mass on the high Tibetan Plateau and strengthens the subsidence of air mass over the QB. The reverse is true during the period of lower solar output. Thus, high solar activity is correlated with dry climate in QB and increased precipitation in monsoonal areas.”.....As was the case in the first article, the 200 year quasi “cycle” is again linked to a similar cycle in solar activity. Zhao et al. speculate that “The ~200-yr time spacing between wet and dry climate periods indicated by the A/C ratio variations suggests a possible solar forcing of effective moisture changes in the region.” The authors also note that the basin was especially dry “around AD 1600 during the first few centuries of the Little Ice Age”. So much for any argument that the Little Ice Age was somehow confined to Europe....."
Read here. A new peer-reviewed study finds that global cooling climate change leads to major social instabilities (due to worsening weather/climate conditions), including outbreaks of devastating war. In essence, Chinese data and historical records indicate temperature warming leads to paradise and cooling to hell. This study refutes the speculative, catastrophic predictions of AGW alarmists regarding the impact of warming on society.
[Zhibin Zhang et al] "Here, using historical records and palaeoclimatic reconstructions during AD 10–1900, we demonstrate that war frequency, price of rice, locust plague, drought frequency, flood frequency and temperature in China show two predominant periodic bands around 160 and 320 years where they interact significantly with each other. Temperature cooling shows direct positive association with the frequency of external aggression war to the Chinese dynasties.....with the frequency of internal war within the Chinese dynasties through drought and locust plagues. The collapses of the agricultural dynasties of the Han, Tang, Song and Ming are more closely associated with low temperature. Our study suggests that food production during the last two millennia has been more unstable during cooler periods....."
h/t: commenter from WUWT
Read here and here. As most sentient beings have finally come to realize over the past twelve months, the IPCC is a political organization, with a political agenda, using non-scientific means to mislead, misinform and misrepresent. Or, to put it in more colorful terms, the United Nation's IPCC is a non-repentant agency of climate science bullshit, and any "scientific" claim emanating from this agency should be intently scrutinized and parsed to determine its veracity and objectivity (lack thereof).
The latest evidence that the IPCC is guilty of non-scientific, political propaganda at the minimum, with the IPCC potentially being an accessory to science incompetence (malfeasance?)? One word answer: Amazongate.
1. [Dr. Roger Pielke, Jr] "The bottom line here? The IPCC did indeed make a claim in its report that is unsubstantiated in the literature that it cited in support of the claim. Further, the specific claim being made also appears to be unsubstantiable -- that is, there is nothing in the literature to support the specific claims being made.....For the IPCC this degree of sloppiness and lack of attention to accuracy is troubling. Those claiming that there is nothing to see here are simply wrong -- the IPCC botched this one. The various defenses of this issue are an embarrassment.....Pretending that it did not cannot help either the IPCC or the cause for action, and will likely have the opposite effect, as anyone who takes a moment to look at the issue, as I did, will see the same evidence that I did."
2. [Nasa funded peer-reviewed study] "A new study, funded by Nasa, has found that the most serious drought in the Amazon for more than a century had little impact on the rainforest's vegetation. The findings appear to disprove claims by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that up to 40% of the Amazon rainforest could react drastically to even a small reduction in rainfall and could see the trees replaced by tropical grassland. The IPCC has already faced intense criticism for using a report by environmental lobby group WWF as the basis for its claim, which in turn had failed to cite the original source of the research. Scientists have now spoken out against the 40% figure contained in the IPCC report and say that recent research is suggesting that the rainforest may be more resilient to climate change than had been previously thought.....senior researcher in the new study, criticised the IPCC’s claim that a “even a slight reduction in precipitation” would cause drastic changes in the rainforest.....He said: “There was more than a slight reduction in precipitation during the drought of 2005. It is that particular claim of the IPCC that our analysis rejects.”"
The UN's IPCC has become a global climate science joke that is definitely controlled and managed by political, ideological hacks. The harm to science credibility that the IPCC has perpetrated is immeasurable and will continue for the foreseeable future. In terms of objective, honest climate science, the IPCC is not to be trusted, ever.
Read here. Climate alarmists are fond of claiming that global warming causes an increase in storm frequency and intensity. There is not much, if any, actual empirical evidence backing up these claims, unless one believes speculative IPCC climate model predictions. What does the actual data say?
Recently, peer-reviewed research out of the New Zealand region confirms that modern warming itself has not generated an increase in storminess or raised storm's severity. In fact, the researchers found over the last 7,000+ years that increases in frequency/severity are usually associated with cooling periods, not warming.
"Working with sediment cores extracted from Lake Tutira on the eastern North Island of New Zealand, Page et al. developed a 7200-year history of the frequency and magnitude of storm activity.....they say that over the course of their record, "there are 25 periods with an increased frequency of large storms," the onset and cessation of which stormy periods "was usually abrupt, occurring on an inter-annual to decadal scale." They also note that the duration of these stormy periods "ranged mainly from several decades to a century," .....while "intervals between stormy periods range from about thirty years to a century." In addition, they find that millennial-scale cooling periods tend to "coincide with periods of increased storminess in the Tutira record, while warmer events match less stormy periods.".....as is demonstrated by the results of their work in the real world, the sudden occurrence of a string of years -- or even decades -- of unusually large storms is something that can happen at almost any time on its own, or at least without the necessity of being driven by human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels."
Read here. If one wants to read about the true scientific incompetence and hysteria-lying exhibited by scientists regarding the catastrophic global warming alarmism, one can do now better than reading the painfully embarrassing fisking that Lord Christopher Monckton levels against the newly crowned bozo of St. Thomas (University of). It's a very long read and very detailed. The climate science fisking begins on page 4, point #26, and just keeps going and going. As an additional plus, it's a great review of all the bogus catastrophic claims that alarmists make based on the flimsiest of all AGW hypothesis support, climate model predictions.
Assuming Monckton is quoting the hapless assistant/associate professor accurately, it clearly shows an individual with an objective of misleading his audience and blatantly misrepresenting what Monckton had previously presented about climate science - in other words, the good "science perfessor" seems highly allergic to truth, science objectivity and the complete climate science empirical evidence (I'm thinking his PhD must be in extreme cherry-picking).
If your kid is considering University of St. Thomas in Minnesota for a degree in politically correct lying techniques and science-hatchet project management, there may be no better establishment based on the performance delivered by one of its own.
Read here and here. A peer-reviewed study confirming that Medieval Warming temperatures were considerably warmer than those experienced during modern era. The research reveals that modern temperatures are not "unprecedented" as claimed, and that significant natural warming does happen without the influence of human CO2 emissions. (click on image to enlarge)
"The Jämtland multi-millennial tree-ring width chronology is comprised of living and subfossil Scots pines (Pinus sylvestris L.) sampled close to the present tree-line in the central Scandinavian Mountains.....Several periods of anomalously warm and cold summers were noted throughout the record: (1) 550 to 450 BC (Roman Warm Period), when summer temperatures were the warmest of the entire record, exceeding the 1961-1990 mean by more than 6°C, (2) AD 300 to 400 (Dark Ages Cold Period), which was "the longest period of consecutive cold summers," averaging 1.5°C less than the 1961-1990 mean, (3) AD 900 to 1000, a warm era corresponding to the Medieval Warm Period, and (4) AD 1550 to 1900, a cold period known as the Little Ice Age..... With respect to the latter portion of the tree-ring record, which encompasses the period of modern global warming, Linderholm and Gunnarson declare that this phenomenon "does not stand out as an anomalous feature in the 3600-year record, in fact other periods show more rapid warming and also higher summer temperatures." What should be even more embarrassing to the world's climate alarmists is the fact that the last half of the 20th century actually experienced cooling."
Read here. Well.....Mann didn't claim Philadelphia is "burning" but the shady :-) climate scientist did make a comparably stupid, invalid claim:
“Record heat wave in the US that’s part of a larger picture
of early summer temperatures that are the warmest on record,
which is part of a larger picture of a globe that is running warmer than ever before…”
As Dr. Richard Keen over at Watts Up With That visually documents, Mann again proves he will say anything, whether being false or just plain wrong, to push his warming agenda. Using the actual Philadelphia temperatures, the recent heat wave is not out of the ordinary. (click on image to enlarge)
Possibly, the Mann-bear-pig scientist might want to apply his "warming-science" to the Los Angeles or San Diego record summer cold - oh yeah, that's right, California cold is only weather, not global cooling.
Certainly, it's never too late to learn to appreciate actual empirical evidence, and thus, we recommend that Mr. Mann peruse our modern temperature charts for a while. If he were to do so, he may discover that the actual temperature data does not strongly support the AGW crisis hysteria. In fact modern temperature increases look pretty natural when compared to historical and ancient temperatures.
Read here. Map source here. Scientists studied the extended warm period (interglacial) prior to the last major ice age. That prior warm period happened some 125 thousand years ago. Using a sediment core from a German lake, the scientists analyzed the quantity of pollen grains found in the core. Approximately every 1,500 years during the ancient interglacial, the climate changed from a warming phase to a cooling phase. The current interglacial, since the end of the last ice age about 15 thousand years ago, shares this same, every 1,500 year oscillation of warming-to-cooling climate changes.
The scientists involved in the study suggest this natural 1,500 year oscillation, found in both the ancient interglacial and the one we live in, is likely due to solar forces.
"The results of the authors' analysis revealed the presence of 11 major cold events having an average recurrence time of approximately 1450 years over the course of the last interglacial, which periodicity is essentially identical to the millennial-scale oscillation of climate throughout the current interglacial (Bond et al., 1997, 2001; deMenocal et al., 2000; McDermott et al., 2001; Gupta et al., 2003; Hu et al., 2003).....This study adds to the growing body of evidence that earth's climate oscillates in a well-defined manner on a timescale of approximately 1500 years. This knowledge is very important, for it suggests that something other than the historic buildup of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere may be responsible for 20th-century warming..... Indeed, there is absolutely no evidence for any concomitant oscillation in the air's CO2 content accompanying the 1500-year oscillation of climate that was responsible for the warmings that produced the prior Medieval Warm Period and the still earlier Roman Warm Period,"
Source here. Despite June 2010 being one of the warmest U.S. Junes since 1895, the twelve-month period ending June 30 was tied (with 2001) as the coldest since 1998. Of course, the U.S. cooling trend will eventually revert to a warming trend, but the current
decade-long plus global cooling trend has not yet abated, which has been a
major surprise for all global warming alarmists. This trend has
persisted since the super 1997-98 El
continental U.S. having the most extensive thermometer network in the
world, this suggests that possibly other areas of the world would be
reporting a cooling trend if they also had the extent and quality of actual temperature measuring
that exists in the U.S.
The AGW hypothesis calls for global warming, which is obviously not happening in the U.S. - the case for AGW is significantly weakened by this type of empirical evidence. Just as a reminder, the climate models predicted "global" warming, not partial-global warming, as seems to be the present situation. Note: A temperature trend, as shown in the chart, is not a prediction.
Each red line (link) on graph represents a 12-month period ending in June of related year - continental U.S. temperatures.
Read here. Another day and another AGW claim/prediction shot full of holes, resulting in the bogus claim having the structural integrity of Swiss cheese. As almost everyone knows, adherents to the AGW hypothesis claim global warming is the cause of every conceivable malady and all minor inconvenient changes. And, as almost everyone knows (with the exception of leftist/liberal/progressive statists), the vast majority of these AGW scary claims have been found to be false.
The latest bogus claim to fail empirical research is that most/many bird species will go the way as their flightless relative, the dodo.
"We hear over and over that climate change is now so rapid that ecosystems all over the world are in peril as they attempt to cope with changes to the environment. This view of “delicate” ecosystems is at odds with the reality of the long climate history of the Earth. The climate has warmed in the past, cooled in the past, and many of these changes were quite rapid.....All of these studies [Askeyev et al., Dyrcz and Halupka, Wesołowski and Cholewa, Zuckerberg et al.] remind us that the birds have been around a very long time, they have experience massive changes in climate over the eons of their existence, they have learned how to adapt to warmer and colder conditions - they are not going to sit idly by and become victims of the global warming."
Other species extinction postings.
Read here. Big government loves renewable energy mandates and projects. Why? These projects require huge government handouts and subsidies that empower politicians and enrich their friends/lobbyists.
Most governments are now discovering that renewable energy initiatives are a sure path to uncontrolled government spending in the name of huge "renewable" corporate welfare. The Obama administration heartily embraces this form of corporate welfare to the painful detriment of the individual taxpayer and small businessperson.
"Renewable energy has proved an expensive and unreliable source of energy everywhere it has been tried on a significant scale. And now there is a big divide among the major European economies that have enthusiastically adopted wind, solar and the other renewables.....While the UK ploughs ahead by throwing good money after bad, Italy, Spain and Germany are cutting back on their taxpayer/ratepayer-funded generosity toward politically correct energies. France, meanwhile, with its abundant nuclear power, has smartly stayed out of the game.....Some countries are waking up to the disaster of extravagant subsidies to renewable energy. But Britain isn’t. The lesson for Americans is simply that throwing money at renewable energy tends to be an economic disaster, but that politicians buttressed by expensive lobbyists can keep the racket going regardless."
Other renewable energy postings.
Read here. Map source here. Using sediment cores and two different techniques of analysis, scientists confirm in a peer-reviewed study that Medieval Warming peak sea surface temperatures adjacent to Greenland were some 3°C higher than modern temperatures, both in the winter and summer. No wonder Erik the Red found Greenland so agreeable and attractive.
"The authors developed a high-resolution record of ocean and climate variations during the late Holocene in the Fram Strait.....based on detailed analyses of a sediment core recovered.....sea surface temperature (SST) histories were "nearly identical and show oscillations between -1°C and 5.5°C in winter and between 2.4°C and 10.0°C in summer,".....the mean SSTs of summers were warmer than those of the present about 80% of the time, while the mean SSTs of winters exceeded those of current winters approximately 75% of the time.....The highest temperatures of all were recorded in the vicinity of 1320 cal. years BP, during a warm interval that persisted from about AD 500 to 720 during the very earliest stages of the Medieval Warm Period"
Additional climate history postings.
Read here, here, and here. As C3 readers have discovered, the multiple prediction failures of IPCC climate models are a result of many factors. A recent peer-reviewed study now adds a new one to the ever growing list.
Scientists, using empirical evidence from actual real-world experiments, find that the IPCC climate models' assumption that there is a huge positive feedback from an increase in temperatures, causing more CO2 release from soils and vegetation, causing more temperature increase, ad infinitum, is gigantically wrong. So wrong that it's even becoming obvious to the mainstream press: "
‘Runaway climate change’
‘unrealistic’, say scientists
Several of the critical points from the study:
"1. The climate is quite temperamental: countless factors are involved and many feedback mechanisms enhance effects such as the anthropogenic greenhouse effect. This makes it difficult to make predictions, especially as many processes in the Earth system are still not completely understood.
2. Particularly alarmist scenarios for the feedback between global warming and ecosystem respiration thus prove to be unrealistic.”
3. “It is still not possible to predict whether this attenuates the positive feedback between carbon dioxide concentration and temperature,” says Markus Reichstein. “The study shows very clearly that we do not yet have a good understanding of the global material cycles and their importance for long-term developments.”
4. “We were surprised to find that the primary production in the tropics is not so strongly dependent on the amount of rain,” says Markus Reichstein. “Here, too, we therefore need to critically scrutinize the forecasts of some climate models which predict the Amazon will die as the world gets drier.”"
Read here. In the broad realm of empirical evidence for Medieval Warming, there is one unique indicator that does not require a Phd to appreciate and understand - that would be tree lines. In general, if the climate is warmer, the tree line will move farther north and/or to higher elevations. As scientists discovered in the Ural Mountains, the modern tree line is at a much lower elevation than the Medieval tree line.
"Most importantly, Mazepa reports that "a large number of well-preserved tree remains can be found up to 60-80 meters above the current tree line, some dating to as early as a maximum [our italics] of 1300 years ago," and that "the earliest distinct maximum in stand density [our italics] occurred in the 11th to 13th centuries, coincident with Medieval climatic warming.".....Noting that "dead trees located above the current tree-line ecotone provide evidence of the dynamic behavior in the location of the tree line in the recent past (Shiyatov, 1993, 2003)," Mazepa reports that "previous studies have concluded that increases in tree-line elevation, and associated increases in tree abundance within the transient tree-line ecotone, are associated with extended warm periods"
Additional climate history postings.
Read here. Let's say you're the typical climate scientist who seeks fame and fortune by publishing studies supporting the AGW hypothesis. How do you do this? First, you gotta find a sympathetic, AGW agenda-driven, "science" journal that at least allows you to publish a color temperature change scale such as figure 1. (Hint: Try "Journal of Climate" - apparently not the brightest of the climate science peer journals.)
See, you need to really buff-up your study, and the quickest way to do that is to start with the color red. It's simple, just make the zero temperature change mark red and all changes above it slightly redder. Now when a person views your charts, they'll see nothing but hot, hot and even more hot!
And for god's sake, don't be like those nutters, the Chinese. Never, ever create a temperature change color scale that doesn't flatter and embellish the "Agenda." Don't forget, an objective scientist is not a winning scientist. As a lesson, figure 2 by the Chi-coms is definitely not the way to impress the research funding sponsors as to your global-warming creds.
Remember, the future green stuff in your wallet always starts with red. Your mantra for the day: Live lies and prosper!
Read here, here, here, here, and here. Democrats and the Obama administration will attempt just about every falsehood and any misrepresentation in efforts to pass some form of the global warming, cap and trade, energy legislation. As long as the mainstream media refuses to do any fact checking, the global warming B.S. will continue.
A recent example of the propensity to mislead and falsely claim is the Democrat's web site pushing the Waxman-Markey cap and trade legislation. On that site, they misleadingly state what global warming is supposedly doing to areas of the world, including the Northeast region of the U.S.:
"If the current rate of heat-trapping emissions continues, by 2070 summers in Boston will feel like those of South Carolina today. By the end of the century, temperatures could rise up to 14 degrees Fahrenheit in the region. Cities across New England, which historically experience only one or two days per year above 100 degrees each summer, could average 20 such days per summer, while more southern cities such as Hartford could average nearly 30 days. The character of the seasons will change significantly. Spring could arrive three weeks earlier, with summer lengthening by about three weeks, autumn becoming warmer and drier, and winter becoming shorter and milder."
Okay, based on actual empirical evidence, are any of the above GW claims likely to happen within the next 60 to 100 years. In a word, NO. The linked postings above clearly document the global warming lies (or, if you prefer, the wildly speculative, irresponsible predictions with no basis in reality) on the Democrat's site. An example is the statement that the Northeast region's temperatures may rise 14 degrees by 2100. That claim is so outlandishly bogus it becomes synonymous with an outright lie.
In a further examination of the data, the charts below show the impact of the huge amounts of global CO2 emissions on U.S. Northeast regional summer and winter temperatures since 1895. How big was that impact? Well, as the charts depict, just about squat. And whatever squat Northeast warming has occurred is most likely explained by a combination of natural forces and land-use forcings, not human CO2 emissions. And by the way, note both charts reveal 10-year average temperatures (red curve) being higher prior to the 1970's.
Why do politicians get away with the bullstuff lying like this? Easy. One, because the mainstream media isn't doing their job; and two, the politicians have basically bought the silence of the majority of climate scientists - one can't bite Uncle Sugar Daddy's hand and expect to prosper. (click on images to enlarge)
Read here. Despite Obama's complete lack of management and executive experience (sorry, being a community "organizer" doesn't count), it's hard to believe he and his administration are this incredibly incompetent - here's a list of no-brainer to-do items that Obama should execute on, now. (Frankly, the numerous management failures of the Obama Gulf cleanup project makes Bush look like a management consultant guru for his actions regarding Katrina.)
So, what then is Obama's problem in the Gulf? It's looking more like Obama and his team are willing to sacrifice the coastal environment and people's livelihoods as a means to enhance the Democrat's position on the cap and trade, energy, global warming legislation, known as the Kerry-Lieberman American Power Act. At the end of the day, Obama always puts partisan politics ahead of what's best for America. Ahem....worst president ever?
"Another possibility is that the administration places a higher priority on interests other than the fate of the Gulf, such as placating organized labor, which vigorously defends the Jones Act. Finally there is the most pessimistic explanation—that the oil spill may be viewed as an opportunity, the way White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel said back in February 2009, "You never want a serious crisis to go to waste." Many administration supporters are opposed to offshore oil drilling and are already employing the spill as a tool for achieving other goals. The websites of the Sierra Club, Friends of the Earth and Greenpeace, for example, all feature the oil spill as an argument for forbidding any further offshore drilling or for any use of fossil fuels at all. None mention the Jones Act. To these organizations and perhaps to some in the administration, the oil spill may be a strategic justification in a larger battle."
Read here. Long before the Kerry-Lieberman American Power Act legislation was introduced, Spain's economy was reeling from the disastrous energy decisions that government made in the name of clean and secure power. Now Obama and Democrat leaders want to pass and enforce similar legislation/regulations that has literally strangled the Spanish economy. Despite the disaster of Spanish energy policies, Obama embraces the big government intrusion into the energy market.
It's fairly obvious the leftists/liberals are intent on creating another man-made disaster (when you're anti-growth and anti-capitalism jihadists, producing man-made disasters is of second nature).
"We’ve now got two places strongly pushing a Green Agenda that are going down in flames. Spain and California (with our own version of Cap and Tax…). It is not just a side effect of the recession. Other places, like China, Texas, and Brazil are doing much better.....And at this point it is pretty clear that “Green Jobs” and “Cap and Tax” are a clear path to wealth destruction and poverty. It’s called an existence proof, and we have more of them staking up every day."
Read here. Map source here. Government funded climate scientists and Gore-led warming alarmists constantly attempt to mislead the public by implying that any present climate change is "unprecedented." Unfortunately for the alarmistas, the preponderance of peer-reviewed research documents significant climate change shifts over the last 5,000 years, with many of the shifts being of far larger magnitude. From this study of Alberta, Canada sediment cores, comes more irrefutable evidence of natural climate change prior to human CO2 emissions.
"Periods of both increasing and decreasing grain size (moisture availability) were noted throughout the 4000-year record at decadal, centennial and millennial time scales. The most predominant departures included several-centuries-long epochs that corresponded to the Little Ice Age (about AD 1500-1900), the Medieval Warm Period (about AD 700-1300), the Dark Ages Cold Period (about BC 100 to AD 700) and the Roman Warm Period (about BC 900-100).....The Pine Lake sediment record convincingly demonstrates the reality of the non-CO2-induced millennial-scale climatic oscillation that alternately brings several-century periods of dryness and wetness to the southern Alberta region of North America during concomitant periods of relative hemispheric warmth and coolness, respectively. It also demonstrates there is nothing unusual about the region's current moisture status"
Additional climate history postings.
Read here and here.The fanatics' hysterical fears of CO2-induced warming, especially from Europeans, produce some truly awful, bizarre global-harming solutions that should have never have been implemented. Besides the self-induced global-harm of burning corn for fuel, the Europeans are now pursuing forest deforestation policies for energy production reasons. Simply put, because the burning of tree biomass is considered a "renewable energy" source, they conveniently justify the destruction of forests to feed their wood burning energy facilities.
"Deforestation is already a big problem globally without the biofuels boom. Promoting the use of wood material for biofuel will only accelerate deforestation.....We have an enormous deforestation problem already, there is no way massive increases in wood to feed bioenergy furnaces could ever be sustainable.....Wood biomass energy is twice as crazy an idea as maize ethanol was.....potential for disaster is absolutely enormous if this takes off in Europe and America"
If the UN and International Criminal Court ever decide to process ecocide cases, the first that should be charged are those politicians who enabled wood-burning energy policies, which facilitate and justify forest destruction.
July 03, 2010 at 06:02 AM | Permalink
The political class has been grossly incompetent for decades. Each new generation of political leaders seems to be far worse. And the newest generation of the political elite occupying Washington embrace the perpetual strategy of wild misrepresentation and big lies concerning all the major policies, including global warming and energy.
Jon Stewart effectively nails Obama and his predecessors for the never ceasing bogosity and the ludicrous, laughable predictions of the political class at the federal level.
|The Daily Show With Jon Stewart||Mon - Thurs 11p / 10c|
|An Energy-Independent Future|
Read more here.
July 02, 2010 at 04:42 PM | Permalink
Read here. As just about everyone now understands, the less reputable scientists pushing the global warming crisis agenda will make "bold" predictions designed to attract attention and research funding. Scientists concerned about the hypothetical species extinction from global warning are very prone to these type of wild predictions. Such was the case of the American Pika, a mountain relative of rabbits that alarmist scientists predicted would suffer from global warming.
Surprise! Empirical research discovers just the opposite - the pikas are thriving. Just another failed prediction from the alarmistas.
"Millar and Westfall developed a rapid assessment method for determining pika occurrence and used it "to assess geomorphic affinities of pika habitat, analyze climatic relationships of sites, and evaluate refugium environments for pikas under warming climates,".....The two U.S. Forest Service researchers report that "whereas concern exists for diminishing range of pikas relative to early surveys, the distribution and extent in our study, pertinent to four subspecies and the Pacific southwest lineage of pikas, resemble the diversity range conditions described in early 20th-century pika records.....Millar and Westfall say their results suggest that "pika populations in the Sierra Nevada and southwestern Great Basin are thriving, persist in a wide range of thermal environments, and show little evidence of extirpation or decline," over a period of time, we might add, when the world's climate alarmists claim the planet warmed at a rate and to a level of warmth that was unprecedented over the past one to two millennia, which suggests to us that current concerns about the future of American pikas in a warming world may be wildly misplaced."
Read here. As common sense science would surmise, the Antarctic region follows a natural cycle of cooling and warming. As the scientists have now found, new peer-research confirms these type of dominant Antarctic warming/cooling cycles - and human CO2 emissions are found not to be the relevant driving force.
"Historical records for the western Antarctic Peninsula (WAP) show that it is particularly prone to rapid climate change—change that occurs in cycles of ~200 years and ~2500 years.....ice in the Antarctic region undergoes periodic episodes of rapid melting—and it is all entirely natural, not because of human activity. The new paper echos these findings: “Paleo-records show that analogous climate variations have occurred in the past 200 to 300 years, and over longer 2500-year cycles, with rapid (decadal) transitions between warm and cool phases in the WAP."....."Their conclusion was that “variability of these parameters demonstrates the significance of both short-term cycles, which recur approximately every 200 yr, and longer term events (~2500 yr cycles) that are most likely related to global climatic fluctuations.”"
Additional climate history postings.