In a previous 'C3' article, it was well documented how badly the NASA-James Hansen climate model predictions have performed versus reality. Hansen long ago had predicted that if human CO2 emissions continued in a manner of 'business-as-usual' there would result exceptional, accelerating global warming.
As the two above charts from the previous article reveal, human CO2 emissions actually have well exceeded the previous 'business-as-usual' (BAU) scenario - 429 billion tons versus 285 billion tons of emissions. But global temperatures have never exceeded NASA's BAU-scenario prediction after 1984 - NEVER!
That is 27 years of global temperatures being below the NASA climate model BAU prediction despite CO2 emissions through the roof, so-to-speak. This represents mind boggling odds.
What are the odds of NASA being so wrong for so long? What are the odds actual temperature would never exceed the prediction of the powerful, sophisticated computer simulations that billions of taxpayer dollars paid for, hmmm?
An incredible 1 in 134 million odds.
This is like flipping a coin 134 million times and it comes up 'heads' every single time - like almost impossible, no? As 'C3' has pointed out in numerous articles, climate model predictions are worthless, which this style of analysis confirms.
We would like to thank the master-bozo weatherman at the Weather wunderground.com for bringing this style of climate science analysis into vogue. And, btw, for an education of the real value and credibility of the master-bozo's analysis, you'll want to read a very competent scientist's take on it - go read Lucia's take down of this habitual, anti-science knucklehead.
h/t Steve Goddard for the idea of how to apply this amazing new climate science analysis technique. Should be fun to apply this bozo-technique to more climate doomsday "science" in the future.
