Read here. MIT's Kerry Emanuel is one of those climate scientists who seeks the limelight and MSM accolades by predicting bigger and badder cyclones/hurricanes because of global warming. Recently, we saw how his hurricane expertise worked its $82 billion black magic on Florida's consumers - definitely not good.
Now, a new peer-reviewed study from Chinese researchers shines an interesting light on the Emanuel's competencies as a scientific researcher, plus confirms Emanuel's tropical storm prognostications are.....well...,er....worthless. The study indicates an almost Mannian-like incompetence with data. It would appear, like Mann, Emanuel seeks only that data that confirms his global warming myopia (bias?).
"The authors write that "in recent years, there has been increasing interest in whether global warming is enhancing tropical cyclone (TC) activity," as has been claimed by Emanuel (2005).....Song et al. analyzed differences of track, intensity, frequency and the associated long-term trends of those TCs that were simultaneously recorded and included within the best track data sets of the JTWC, the RSMC and the STI from 1945 to 2007.....In the words of the Chinese researchers, "though the differences in TC tracks among these data sets are negligibly small, the JTWC data set tends to classify TCs of category 2-3 as category 4-5, leading to an upward trend in the annual frequency of category 4-5 TCs and the annual accumulated power dissipation index, as reported by Emanuel (2005)...And they add that "this trend and potential destructiveness over the period 1977-2007 are found only with the JTWC data set," while noting that actual downward trends "are apparent in the RSMC and STI data sets."...In light of the findings of Song et al., plus those of the other scientists they cite, there would appear to be little doubt that the studies of Emanuel (2005) and Webster et al. (2005) -- which climate alarmists long hailed as proof positive of their claim that global warming leads to more intense tropical cyclones/hurricanes -- actually provide no such evidence at all." [Song, J.-J., Wang, Y. and Wu, L. 2010]
Other postings about peer-reviewed studies. Additional severe weather postings.