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Tropical Storms & Cyclones Over Last 50 Years: Expert Verifies There Is No Upward Trend For Ocean Storms

But the scientific empirical evidence will not stop the #ClimateScamBS from the doomer-cult in Congress from spreading their fear-porn lies.

 

U.S. Govt Debunks Biden & AOC's Disinformation Claims of The Global Warming Existential Threat

NOAA's updated global oceans temperature dataset through June 2022 reveals slight cooling (ZERO warming) since the end of 2013 for the world's oceans.

 

(click on to enlarge)

Democrats' assault-policies on fossil fuels by hyperbolic lies and disinformation propaganda are without any empirical evidence merit.

Principal Democrat climate disinformation propagandists: Joe Biden and Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (AOC).

Note: NOAA ocean temperature dataset

 

The RCP8.5 Global Warming Scenario Versus Actual Cooling: Climate Model Misinformation That Duped Biden & Other Elites

In a prior article, information was provided confirming that the young Democrat Congressperson, Alexandria Ocasio Cortez, should not be in the climate-doomsday prediction business.

Unfortunately, she is not alone in her uncritical acceptance of a cult-like claim that the world will end soon, due to 'devastating' global warming from human CO2 emissions. This cult includes Joe Biden, along with most of the globe's left-wing power brokers, the wealthy elites, celebrities and partisan journalists.   

Biden et al share the same necessary traits that produces a gullibility for cultish doomsday stories: namely, the total disdain of actual empirical evidence in combination with an extraordinary blind faith in the elites' experts - aka, the expertocracy.

And just like the experts' recent infamously wrong Covid infection/lockdown models, the climate expertocracy loves their own climate models, despite the models' continuous failure to predict global temperatures accurately.

Case in point, the climate RCP8.5 scenario pathway was generated by computer models (specifically, the CMIP5 model) that the expertocracy relies on for their climate-porn fearmongering.

The climate-porn takes many forms in their scary stories of highly speculative climate change impacts, with the end result always being that any global warming is an existential threat to all species, including humanity.

This absurdly wrong but highly favored scenario for global warming is plotted in the accompanying chart. Note the RCP8.5 model's linear trend versus reality, the HadCrut5.0 gold-standard of actual global temperature observations.

While the RCP8.5 scenario predicts nothing but an accelerating warming trend for the 21st century, the HC5 observation dataset plot in contrast reveals that the globe has experienced a cooling trend for almost 8 years since August 2014. (And NOAA's global temp dataset has been on a cooling trend since March 2014 through end of June 2022.)

By the way, this is not the only cooling trend in the 21st century. The HC5 dataset has recorded at least six separate occasions since 1999 (representing 40% of the months) when there was a rolling 36-month cooling trend of multiple months. In contrast, the climate expert modeled RCP8.5 scenario produced zero periods of a 36-month cooling tend.

Back to the August 2014-May 2022 cooling span.

Another characteristic of the modeled RCP8.5 scenario over the 94 months ending May 2022 is that it exhibits a monthly average anomaly change of +0.00271°C versus the HC5 average monthly anomaly change of only +0.00029°C. That is a 9 times per month larger outcome for the modeled scenario than the HC5's real world result.

If those average monthly changes for both were to continue for the next 100 years, the RCP8.5 result would hypothetically be 2.9°C degrees higher than the HC5.  

Yet, despite the above empirical science clearly indicating the incapacity of the RCP8.5 model to produce a reasonable representation of either global warming or global cooling trends, the uniformed elites continue to base future policy decisions on this model. This is especially true for the president of the United States and the vast majority of Democrats in Congress.

Why they continue to rely on obviously faulty computer models for climate/energy policy - or Covid policy for that matter - beggars belief.

An interesting article from 2015 regarding the RCP8.5 scenario.

An aside. Defenders of climate model output often fall back on the rationale that the models worked almost to perfection to predict past temperatures. Well, of course they did, due to the simple fact that the programmers knew in advance what the past temperatures were. But when the the models have to predict an uncertain future they do not fare well.

Case in point is the RCP8.5, which was introduced in 2013 and predicted past temps amazingly well. But by late 2014, the model results were starting to deviate consistently from actual observations. That explains why in reality we have an actual cooling trend from Sept 2014 to May 2022 while the RCP8.5 predicted the exact opposite.

Note: RC8.5 model scenario dataset; HC5 dataset. Excel used to calculate and plot linear trends.

What Existential Threat? Climate Doomers Are Ignorant That Climate Change History Repeats

Today's climate change doomers who preach that global warming from the highest atmospheric CO2 levels in modern times is leading to an existential threat of catastrophic and world-ending disasters are most definitely not well versed in real world climate history.

The past extreme climate events in the U.S. are noteworthy as examples of past climate change that rival any events occurring in the 21st century. Take the case of 1934.

In the first 6 months of 1934, the U.S. was suffering from a severe drought of little precipitation across a wide area of the contiguous states.

And the current lack of 2022 YTD precipitation, as documented by NOAA below, looks eerily similar.

Despite the similarity, the 1934 drought event suffered from a lack of precipitation that was at least 2.2 times more intense (when comparing precipitation anomalies) than the current 2022 event. The 1934 YTD period was the 2nd driest ever, while the 2022 YTD ranks only as the 23rd driest.

Yet, the more intense 1934 period event took place under a condition of atmospheric CO2 levels that was significantly lower than today's level.

Unfortunately, those that are in charge of U.S. climate and energy policies will remain ignorant of the way that climate history repeats itself, thus guaranteeing their polices will be an abject failure.

Prior article one and article two regarding: "What Existential Threat?".

What Existential Threat? Climate Is In A Constant State of Change, From One Extreme To Another

Why do politicians think the climate was ever "stable" in the past? When you have the likes of Pres. Joe Biden(D) and Sen. Mitt Romney(R) believing that, one realizes the world's elites are really stupid. That's truly scary, not constant natural climate change.

 

Chart source - NOAA. (click on chart to enlarge)

What Existential Threat?: US Temps Cooling Since 2014

Journalists' and Democrats' EXISTENTIAL threat of climate change: They must be very afraid of cooling temperatures, eh?

 

Plot of the precision USCRN climate stations as reported by NOAA. 

Despite warm June 2022 temperatures across much of the U.S., the overall cooling trend continues from March 2014.

It does make one wonder sometimes if human CO2 emissions cause temperatures to decline instead of the experts' predicted global warming.

Note: USCRN dataset. Excel used to plot and calculate linear and 6th degree polynomial trends