NOAA's gold-standard USCRN climate monitoring system has been updated with latest data through November 2023, and there is a surprise in the context of the "hottest" year narrative being pushed by legacy media.
The adjacent chart of monthly maximum temperatures reveals that the U.S. lower 48 states have been on a very slight cooling trend since September 2014. That's a total of 3,348 days (9 years and 2 months) of non-warming, even with the past several months of warmer temperatures and despite the large U.S. CO2 emissions.
As a result, 2023 max temperatures pale in comparison to those experienced in 2015 and 2016. Even the 1930s had higher maximum temperatures.
In addition, and literally, CO2 levels have had zero impact (R2 = 0.0001) on maximum temperatures over the last 9+ years.
Over the last 25 years, the maximum temperature warming trend has been rather mild, at a per-year rate of +0.0007°C. If that long-term maximum temperature rate continues, the U.S. will have warmed by an unnoticeable +0.2°C by 2050.
That implies a typical hot 90F degree summer day in Chicago currently would be a 90.36F degree day in 2050. And a bitterly cold winter day of 0.0F degree would still be a bitter cold day in Chicago at 0.36F.
Obviously, we are not facing an "existential threat" or a "climate crisis."
Finally, by 2050, new energy technologies and efficiencies will exist, such as better utilization of geothermal energy sources, much improved battery technology for grid storage, more efficient transmission of electricity over the grid, advanced nuclear energy solutions, and so on. Current innovation research by the year 2050 will alleviate both the real and imagined concerns about the impact on the climate and civilization of human CO2 emissions.
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Additional global, regional & historical temperature charts. Notes: Excel used for all calculations and chart plot. Source for maximum temperature data. Source for CO2 data. |