C3

25 Years of Cooling: Climate Science Evidence That "Experts" Would Prefer Not Be Discussed

Central England Temperatures (click images to enlarge)

Recent mainstream press articles, plus those on the blogosphere, indicate a growing concern for a soon-to-come global cooling period, that some are even referring to as a potential mini-ice age. This sudden turn of events is entirely counter to all the "expert" consensus and IPCC predictions that claimed runaway global warming was civilization's greatest threat.

The impetus for the new publicized fears of cooling comes from the indisputable empirical evidence that global warming is suffering a non-predicted 'hiatus' (i.e. warming is stalled, paused, stopped, etc.) these last 15+ years. Combine that pause with the additional empirical evidence of solar activity being at a minimum and major ocean oscillations being in non-warming phases and that combo spells t-r-o-u-b-l-e.

One region of the world that may already be experiencing the impacts of a global cooling phase is The Midlands of central England.

The above charts are plots of the Central England (CE) Temperature record. The left chart plots the annual dataset (light green) back to inception, 1659AD. The maroon curve is a simple 25-year average of the annual temperatures. The chart also includes a plot of a 25-year average of annual CO2 atmospheric levels.

Obviously, the CE region has had a high degree of climate temperature variability over the records 355 years, coupled with an observed warming trend generated with the rebounding from the depths of the Little Ice Age (LIA).

Starting in the early 1700s, there are signs the warning rebound was beginning, but it wasn't until the late 1800's that one can discern a strong post-LIA warming trend that ushers in the modern era. This positive spike of temperatures was well before the huge CO2 consumer/industrial emissions of the late 20th century.

Actually, using the 25-year moving average curve, one can see 3 distinct periods of recovery from the LIA. By the end of 2013, the 25-year average appears to reach its peak - the "warmest" ever.

However, by zooming in on the last 25 years since 1988 a different story is told - a climate cooling story.

The chart on the right is a plot of CE temperatures since 1988 - yes, the same year that climate scientists warned us that we were at global warming's death door. The chart's red and grey curves are 3-year averages and a linear trend line has been added (dark green).

Clearly, as this plot of modern temperatures reveals, for 25 years the CE region has had a slight cooling trend. This  trend would produce an overall cooling of +0.53°C by 2100AD, if it were to monotonously continue (it won't). Adding to the consensus "expert" woes, any observed relationship between temperatures and CO2 levels is non-existent, if not a negative correlation over the last 2.5 decades.

If huge emissions of CO2 are not driving temperature increases, then the apparent cooling must be a function of more powerful forces, such as described in this latest peer-reviewed study. With that said, all empirical evidence points to the fact that climate science remains unsettled and that the CO2-centric CAGW hypothesis is essentially without clothes.

Additional regional and global temperature charts.

Datasets used to create Excel charts, averages, trends and etc. Don't know how to chart in Excel? It's easy. Go here to learn how.

Cooling Dominates: Temperature Trends For U.S. States Since The Super El Nino of 1997-98

Since the significant global impact of the 1997-98 Super El Nino, the overall U.S. has experienced a 16-year cooling trend of -3.8°F per century.

Lengthy cooling trends are also seen at the 14, 12, 10 and 8 year marks for the continental U.S.

(Side bar: NOAA calculates the 2-year per century cooling trend at a -293°F, yet they calculate a 6-year warming trend at +26.9°F. How's this? Well, both calculations are impacted immensely by the outlier hot year of 2012. These two calculated figures represent a cautionary tale to using trends less than 10 years, and that no trend ever represents a prediction.)

The above map (click on to enlarge) depicts temperature trends for each state within the continental U.S., since the Super El Niño years - the last 16 years.

As clearly shown, the vast majority of states (77%) have experienced a long-term cooling. The huge global emissions of CO2 has not produced any global warming across a great swath of America.

A suggestion: The GOP/Republican politicians in Washington wanting to address the Democrats' climate change hysteria may want to laser focus their attentions on those states that are the warming exceptions. For these 11 states, it would be of scientific benefit to understand how they managed to be such extreme "warming" exceptions - a detailed, objective, 3rd party forensic audit of the temperature dataset for each warming state would seem to be in order, at a minimum.

Source of temperature trends. Additional regional temperature charts/maps.

Per NOAA, Decadal Cooling Dominates In U.S. - Scientists' CO2 "Control Knob" Theory Fails Miserably

If human CO2 causes indisputable, relentless, unequivocal, unprecedented, accelerating and tipping point catastrophic global warming, then why is the U.S. cooling over the last 15 years?

Indeed, the "experts" have been unable to scientifically explain why there has been a 'hiatus' or 'pause' in global warning, let alone the cooling trends experienced in various parts of the world. That doesn't mean the scientists are not speculating as hard as possible as to why - so far, they have conjured up 7 reasons they never mentioned prior to the global warming going AWOL.

When a rational, believable and testable hypothesis finally does arrive maybe it will be able to explain the decadal temperature changes the U.S. has experienced since 1895.

The above chart plots the NOAA/NCDC U.S. dataset decade-end temperature changes, including the change over the 10-year period ending 2013. Stating the perfectly obvious, the infamous consensus experts' "unequivocal" warming is anything but. In spite of massive human CO2 emissions, a recent state of cooling changes dominate in the U.S. (see last two blue columns).

Another interesting point that the chart reveals is that the largest decadal temperature increase did not occur during the modern late 20th century, or 21st century for that matter. The biggest increase took place during the decade of the 1930s.

The chart also has a plot of new human CO2 emissions for each decade. For example, the decades ending 1999 and 2009 had new emission totals of 234 billion tons and 286 billion tons, respectively. (Note: The early decades were estimated using CO2 information from here; for years 1965 and later, CO2 emissions are from this source.)

Unfortunately for the climate science consensus experts, this latest release of NOAA temperature data confirms that they are essentially clueless when it comes to predicting regional and global temperature changes. Likewise, it also confirms that one of the scientists' favorite concepts - that human CO2 emissions are similar to a world "control knob" or thermostat for climate temperatures - is simply idiotic, not even plausible.

Finally, this additional empirical evidence firms up the growing belief that the CO2-centric AGW hypothesis is an anachronism, now deserving to be placed on the ash heap of failed pop-culture science. Maybe it will still fly on cable's Discovery Channel but in the realm of hard-truth scientific endeavors it's a failed religion.

Additional regional and global temperature charts.

Those Stubborn Facts: Number of 2013 U.S. Forest Fires 60% Less Than 30-Year Average

What was the actual extent of forest fires (wildfires) across the U.S. during 2013?

This chart represents a plot of all fire statistics since 1970 to early December 2013.

As shown, the actual number of 2013 fire incidents is close to matching a historic low of the available dataset and represents a 60% reduction from the 30-year average ending in 1999.

20 Years of Satellite Global Measurements: No Significant Warming, Trend Robustly Below IPCC Expert Predictions

This top plot of satellite global temperatures is scientifically unequivocal (click on to enlarge):

The actual empirical evidence from state-of-the-art measurement technology  reveals a global warming spike during the late 1990's (due to the Super El Nino), but after that, essentially zilch.

Thus, for the last 20 years (240 months) the global warming trend of +0.52°C by 2100AD is 'climate insignificant' - a trend that climate scientists certainly don't get excited about.

And when one examines the last 17-years, the satellite global temperature trend becomes slightly less than zero (i.e. global cooling). As a prominent climate alarmist scientist determined recently in a peer reviewed paper:

“There is a lot of noise in the climate system and it is quite possible that the noise can mask the effects of man-made carbon dioxide for a period of time. However if the slope is zero for 17 years, then we cannot blame noise any more but we have to face the facts that we humans do not affect the climate to any great extent.”

The bottom plot of global temperatures confirms the atrocious climate predictions of the IPCC "expert" climate models. This is irrefutable evidence that the consensus climate models can't predict squat and should not be relied upon by policymakers.

Finally, it is well established that Obama and his administration are serial pathological liars (sounds harsh but it is undeniable). This is not only true in the health care and Obamacare policy arena, but is also a common denominator in their climate change alarmist claims.

As recently as November 1, 2013, the Obama administration clearly stated significant lies about current climate change, which have no basis in scientific reality. 

Additional charts of empirical evidence that expose the egregious climate lies by Obama and Democrats: modern-warming, regional-warming, historical-warming, fabricating-fake warming, extreme-weather, oceans-rising and climate-models.

Note: Linear trends are not predictions.

The U.S. and Major Crop Areas Hit With Global Cooling Over Last 15 Years

The irrefutable, unequivocal, non-global warming trend continues. 

As these graphs reveal, the latest NOAA temperature dataset, through August 31, 2013, confirms that the U.S. and its major crop regions are experiencing a cooling trend. (click on graphs to enlarge)

Note, this has taken place despite the largest 15-year production of human CO2 emissions, ever. Contrary to every single IPCC and U.S. climate model.

Update clarification: The above plots from the NOAA web site are based on moving 12-month periods ending in August (each 12-month period starts with a year's September temperature and ends with the following year's August temperature).

Additional modern, regional and historical temperature charts.

Unicorn Climate Science: Crackpot Scientists Have Convinced Obama That Oceans Will Boil Because of CO2

NOT going to happen, dude.

Since Obama's election, oceans have been cooling, per NOAA, at a per century rate of -1.2°C.

Obama surrounding himself with crackpot scientists and fringe, extreme advisors has harmed his credibility immensely, and obliterated job growth for Americans.

Despite the obvious failures, Obama still believes in their lunatic fantasies of boiling ocean "climate science." Hmmm...did we mention 'unicorn' yet?

 

Note:  'Mad scientist' image source here. Chart plots and trends produced using Excel. Data sources can be found here. More temperature and climate charts here.

Today's Climate Denier-Liar-BS'ers: Mainstream News & Obama Unite To Claim 'Black Is White' & 'Cooling Is Warming'

(click on above for original/source)

It has been noted by others that the MSNBC news outlet and the OFA (Occupy / Obamaites) crowd are not the sharpest knives in the drawer, so to speak.

Fighting climate change, supposedly due to global warming / cooling / warming, is an idiot's Don Quixote obsession, especially since climate change is constantly happening, naturally.

And as this actual result happened at the MSNBC/OFA event, it provides proof that the public is a lot smarter than the activists.....my god, Chris Matthews et al. are truly pathetic, no?

Honestly, it just makes you wonder if MSNBC personnel are stupendously stupid or pathological liars or just need to fanatically obsessively agree with Obama despite the current climate reality - cooling.

Note: Excel used to produce chart and trend (larger version here) - find RSS satellite data here.

Those Stubborn Facts: Less Than 10% of U.S. Has Warmed Over Last 15 Years

(click on above for original/source)

As this NOAA map makes abundantly clear, the vast majority of the U.S. has experienced a cooling trend over the last 15 years (12-month periods ending in June).

Note: Square mile size for each state here; additional temperature/climate charts; large version of map

Those Stubborn Facts: Per NOAA, U.S. Climate Cooling At Minus 2.4°F/Century Rate

(click on above for original/source)

Per NOAA's dataset, over the last 15 years for the 12-mth periods ending June, the continental U.S. has been cooling, robustly.

This took place while CO2 levels were well above the "safe" 350ppm mark.

Additional temperature charts.

IPCC Climate Science Confirmed By NOAA: Global Warming Causes Global Cooling

The latest IPCC climate "expert" hypothesis that global warming causes everything, including the recent global cooling, has been verified by NOAA's up-to-date temperature dataset - through March 2013, it would definitely appear that the previous 15-year global warming caused the subsequent 180-month global cooling while atmospheric CO2 levels still remained completely irrelevant

(click on the chart to enlarge, data)

And now for the headlines:

Colorado town shatters low-temperature record

EU’s Lawmakers Take Ax To Green Agenda

Watching the death of the EU Carbon Market

Media coverage of global warming: Down 80%

New data falsifies basis of man-made global warming alarm, shows water vapor feedback is negative

Baltic Sea Sets March Ice Record…”Never Seen This Much Ice This Late In The Season”

Twenty year hiatus in warming

An Even Later Peak Cherry Blossom Date – How Unnatural is That?

Reuters explodes the idea of global warming consensus: We don’t know how the planet would respond to doubled CO2

Wash Post: Obama right to de-emphasize global warming; ‘So much focus on it has long crowded out other issues’

Vail and Breckenridge Extend Ski Seasons

A Normal Day in Climate Science

Additional climate and temperature charts

Note: Above chart uses the NCDC global dataset published through March 2013. The left two columns (CO2 & temperature) represent the 15 years (180 months) ending March 1998, the right two columns represent the 15 years ending March 2013.

U.S. Breadbasket At Risk From Global Cooling NOAA Indicates - Crop Failures, World Hunger A Result?

While left-leaning U.S. politicians, bureaucrats and the partisan mainstream press continue to push the silly catastrophic AGW hysteria from human CO2 emissions, a significant cooling trend (per NOAA) across a critically important global breadbasket continues - if the latest 15-year global cooling trend persists, crop yields will suffer immensely

(click on images to enlarge - source of charts)

As has been well documented, global warming has gone AWOL and in some regions of the world, global cooling trends have materialized, which scientists across the world are starting to express concern with.

In the key crop regions of the U.S., there has been an extended cooling trend that persists despite the immense human CO2 emissions released over the last two decades. The above four NOAA charts depict those cooling trends across the a wide swath of American agricultural production. These charts represent the main American corn, soybean, spring and winter wheat growing areas.

What the huge U.S. breadbasket needs at this point is a few years of some good old fashioned global warming that will reverse the potential devastation a mass cooling would deliver to crop yields.

Unfortunately, though, it appears nature is not delivering what the American farmers and ranchers need this spring.

Additional regional and global temperature charts.

The 'Great Global Warming-Climate Change Disappearance' Is Major Inconvenient Truth, Except For Elites With An Agenda

100% of climate scientists now agree that accelerating global warming has robustly stalled- the IPCC's gold-standard UK HadCRUT global temperature dataset confirms what skeptical scientists have long publicly discussed

(click on chart to enlarge - data sources)

There no longer is any serious debate of the non-existence of dangerous, accelerating global warming from human CO2 emissions - literally, from all current climate empirical evidence, it does not exist.

Despite many climate scientists now being forced to reconsider their runaway "tipping point" AGW hypothesis of high climate sensitivity, and the U.S. public placing a theoretical climate change as a very low priority, there remain those political elites and mainstream "journalists" bitterly clinging to their blatantly incorrect, non-scientific, irrational (insane?) fears of "scary" global warming.

In the scientific real world though, there is an abundance of peer reviewed, solid scientific evidence pointing conclusively to a future of both moderate temperature and climate change.

Conclusions:

• As the above chart reveals, atmospheric CO2 levels have constantly increased since 1990 - see recent CO2 charts here.
• In contrast, the IPCC's gold-standard global dataset (above chart) confirms temperatures have stalled since 1998 - actually, they have slightly cooled at a -0.08 degrees/century trend.
• The chart's solid blue curve is a simple three year moving average of non-scary global temperature change that current political elites conveniently ignores and the MSM refuses to report.
• Current global temperatures are significantly below NASA's climate model and "expert" predictions - note the dotted red line on chart.
• All the major climate agency computer models, based on human CO2 emissions, have failed spectacularly.
• Modern weather disasters (e.g., blizzards, tropical storms, etc.) portrayed by political elites and MSM "reporters" as caused by "climate change" are the exactly the same bad weather disasters that took place during earlier periods of low atmospheric CO2.

Additional modern temperature charts.

IPCC Confirms CO2 Is Not A "Thermostat" & Global Warming Is Not "Dangerous"

The United Nations IPCC climate agency has a gold-standard dataset used since 2007 to make global climate predictions - the HadCRUT3 gold-standard confirms that the predicted dangerous global warming is non-existent, and unequivocally, that CO2 is not the world's thermostat

(click on image to enlarge - data sources)

Taxpayer-funded climate scientists and ideologue politicians have continuously predicted that the globe will suffer from dangerous global warming; and they claimed that human CO2 emissions acted as the world's climate thermostat.

Fortunately for the world's citizens, the experts and pompous political elites and elected officials have been egregiously wrong.

As the adjacent chart reveals, the IPCC's own temperature gold-standard (HadCRUT3) refutes the "experts" and "elites" hysterical, anti-science prognostications:

#1. The global temperature dataset clearly indicates that the world has exhibited a slight global cooling trend since the spike in temps from the super El Niño of 1997/98. That's 180 months (15 years) of non-dangerous global warming.

#2. The chart's thin black line is a plot of the monthly changes in CO2 levels. The correlation between monthly temperature and CO2 changes ranges from slim to none - this supposed thermostat relation of CO2 to temperatures has a ludicrously low R² of 0.01. CO2 is not only not a "thermostat," it's likely not even a major climate forcing, per the actual data.

#3. While global temperatures have been slightly cooling, the global changes in monthly CO2 levels have been slightly increasing (note smooth grey curve - a 2nd order fit).

#4. Simply stated, this actual IPCC gold-standard empirical evidence robustly refutes all the anti-science predictions/claims of climate "experts" and alarmist "elites."

And, as we are currently witnessing, the green-sharia, anti-human fanatics are now having to do some serious crawling-back from their previous anti-CO2 agenda and bogus-science blinders to the climate reality.

Additional modern temperature charts, plus other climate graphs.

Latest Empirical Evidence: The Abysmal Prediction Failure Of Taxpayer Funded CO2-Based Climate Models

Taxpayers have spent billions on CO2-driven climate model "science," which the empirical evidence now suggests was like pouring money down a rat-hole....the abysmal prediction failure of CO2-centric models is simply fact - are there actual scientific models that can replace this current wasteland of biased AGW climate research?

(click on graphs to enlarge - data sources)

As major mainstream news outlets are starting to report, global warming has essentially disappeared, replaced with a slight cooling trend in recent years. Taxpayer-funded climate scientists are finally being forced to go on record stating the obvious - their global warming predictions were incorrect.

Their favorite euphemism to describe what is happening is that global warming is at a "standstill." Even the most infamous climate reality denier has started using that terminology to describe a decade of non-existent warming - he can't quite yet bring himself to say global cooling.

Three of the above charts (top-left, top-right and bottom-left) represent the state-of-the-art models used by the "consensus" climate experts. As seen, all three have been spectacularly wrong through the end of 2012.

These three models (World Climate Research Programme, NASA-GISS and the IPCC) are CO2-centric climate models - global warming and climate change are primarily driven by levels of atmospheric CO2. As a result, they have long predicted dangerous and accelerating global warming for Earth's atmosphere, oceans and land surfaces - and it bears repeating, they have been spectacularly wrong.

The majority of scientists now agree that these "consensus" science models are flawed (at least 97% of scientists would agree ;-) and are incapable of accurately predicting global temperatures. Thus, newer models based on non-CO2 drivers of climate are starting to see the light of day, so-to-speak.

One such newer model is represented by the bottom-right chart above. This model appears to have better global temperature prediction capabilities, which also happens to verify that CO2 is not the principal climate driver, as scientists on the taxpayer dole claim (and misrepresent).

Additional temperature and climate charts.

IPCC's 'Gold Standard' Temperature Dataset Authenticates Global Cooling Over Last 15 Years

The UK's HadCRUT3 global temperature dataset has been the IPCC's gold-standard for its political-agenda "science" reports - unfortunately for the IPCC, the HadCRUT dataset also confirms the disappearance of global warming, replaced by a very slight cooling trend

(click on chart to enlarge - data sources)

It is estimated some 440 gigtons of human CO2 emissions have been produced over the last 15 years, in contrast to the estimated 330+ tons during the previous 15-year period ending 1997.

Further, it was estimated by the consensus "experts" that a large increase in human emissions over the last 15 years would bring the world hellish warming. It has not happened.

The climate scientists and their associated climate agencies were immensely wrong, as the adjacent chart indicates.

As can be seen, over the first 15-period, prior to 1998, there was a strong warming trend (+1.4 degrees per century). As a result, the experts said human CO2 was the cause. They then emphatically predicted that this warming trend would continue and even accelerate. But it didn't - instead it decelerated.

As the chart depicts, the last 15 years ending 2012 has seen a very slight decline in temperatures, wiping out the strong positive warming trend completely. This small cooling trend in surface temperatures is also supported by the satellite observations of the atmosphere. The global warming was wiped out even though total human CO2 emmisions were a third larger - 110 billion tons more than prior 15-year span.

This empirical evidence has become so convincing that the cooling deniers are even starting to eat that awful tasting, proverbial crow (here and here).

In the meantime, they debate amongst themselves about how befuddled they are concerning the lack of warming, obviously confirming what skeptics knew all the time - their bizarre anti-CO2 phobia and rigid consensus constraints have long blinded them to scientific truth.

Additional global temperature and climate charts.

Note: There was a cosmetic typo in original chart. Abreviation 'RSS' has now been replaced with correct abbreviation 'HC3'. Thank you, Burt Rutan - would not have noticed it until I saw your email.

NASA Climate Research: Human CO2 Has Little Impact On Long-Term Climate Change

Long-term climate change is represented by 30-year changes in a climate variable, one being temperature change...whether 30-year temperature change is due to humans (ie, human CO2) can be ascertained readily by examining the changes in the NASA's global temperature dataset 

(click on image to enlarge - data sources)

The adjacent chart is not one likely to be publicized by the green-sharia scientists at NASA's GISS; nor will "journalists" at the NY Times and Washington Post report on it. To do so would make them apostates to the anti-CO2 religion jihad.

Regardless, the empirical temperature observations that NASA documents clearly indicates that the monotonous increase in atmospheric CO2 levels have had little impact on long-term (30 years) temperature change.

As the chart depicts, 30-year temperature changes resemble a sine wave (oscillation) that has nothing to do with human CO2 - instead, that sine wave pattern is natural, and easily overwhelms any CO2 impact.

Additional global temperature and climate charts.

Green Activists: Massive Human CO2 Emissions Cause Global Cooling, Not Warming

Since the "consensus" global warming has disappeared "unexpectedly," how long before the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) and other green-sharia outlets start claiming that recent global cooling is the result of human CO2 emissions?

(click on image to enlarge)

As documented by previous temperature charts, the global atmospheric temperatures have been on a declining trend over the last 15 years. The adjacent chart depicts similar results with a change: instead of CO2 levels (ppm), this chart shows the recent human CO2 emissions in gigatons.

Since 1983 (30 years), there have been two distinct phases of global temperatures.

On the right side of this chart, the last 15 years had human CO2 emissions released into the atmosphere increasing by over 100 billion tons. However, instead of an acceleration of the predicted atmospheric warming, the prior 15-year trend was reversed - a new global cooling trend was established.

This is clear empirical evidence of the spectacularly wrong prediction by the environmental organizations' green-sharia "experts" and the IPCC's "scientists."

Conclusions:

1. Human CO2 emissions are not a global temperature "thermostat"

2. The current AGW hypothesis is severely weak, at best

3. Any regional/local surface warming experienced is obviously not a result of the actual cooling global atmosphere...thus, must be due to other factors (hmmm....fabrication of warming temperatures anyone?)

4. Billions to trillions have been wasted by governments, industries and consumers to avert a predicted, slam-dunk warming from a failed greens' hypothesis

5. If this global atmospheric cooling trend persists much longer, the greens and the MSM "journalists" will pirouette 180 degrees and claim human CO2 causes cooling (and climate change)

Additional global temperature and climate charts.

Note: Data sources used for above chart. Since 2012 total CO2 emissions have not yet been published, the total amount used in the chart for the last 15 years (ending 2012) is a close approximation.

Satellites Confirm: Atmospheric Global Cooling Reigns, Not The IPCC's Predicted CO2 "Global Warming"

The 2012 year-end satellite measurements continue to be cruel to the IPCC's green-sharia scientists - this UN agency has long predicted huge atmospheric global warming from CO2 emissions .....yet in reality, global cooling currently dominates

(click on images to enlarge)

The above chart is the plot (Figure 1) of satellite atmospheric temperature measurements provided by RSS, plus CO2 measurements from NOAA (data sources).

Clearly, as CO2 levels have monotonously increased over the last 17-years (why 17?), global temperatures have not increased with any significance. By year 2100, this "warming" trend would produce a projected increase of one-third of a single degree - rather insignificant and hardly noticeable.

The UN's IPCC's catastrophic global warming (CAGW) hypothesis, which the vast majority of empirical-based scientists now reject, demands that ever increasing  atmospheric CO2 levels cause the atmosphere to rapidly warm. This accelerated, man-made atmosphere warming would then significantly warm the globe's oceans and land surfaces, quickly making Earth inhospitable from incredibly high temperatures and horrific climate change disasters.

Contrary to the United Nation's "science" though, global temperatures have morphed over the last 30 years from a warming trend to a cooling trend despite the huge increase in CO2 levels.

This next set of temperature plots (Figures 2, 3, 4 and 5) depict the global atmosphere temperatures and CO2 levels over four different time periods. These plots, plus the 17-year chart, formulate an empirical reality that refutes the UN's non-empirical CAGW hypothesis:

1. Atmospheric CO2 levels have increased relentlessly over the last 30 years

2. For all time periods, the average atmospheric CO2 levels have exceeded the supposedly "safe" 350 parts-per-million (ppm)

3. As figure #2 shows, there is a modest global warming trend evident over 30 years

4. Figure #2 also reveals that most of the global warming took place prior to 1999

5. Since 2003 1993, the 20-year plot (figure #3) has a smaller warming trend - less than 1.0 degree by year 2100

6. The 15-year and 10-year charts (figures #4 and 5) have no warming trend, proving that a very slight atmospheric global cooling has dominated since the late 20th century

7. 2012 global temperatures are well below previous highs over the last 30 years.

8. The 17-year plot (figure #1), which is favored by some CAGW scientists, confirms that global atmospheric warming has been robustly insignificant, contrary to their own predictions

Conclusions: Per the actual satellite empirical evidence, global atmospheric temperatures have been cooling over the last 15 years despite the IPCC "consensus" predictions that global warming would have to be produced if CO2 levels exceeded the 350 ppm level. Global cooling has now dominated for a significantly extended period, which demonstrably proves that CO2 is not a "global thermostat" as claimed by many of the UN's green-sharia scientists. (Note: linear trend representations are not predictions.)

Likewise, claims that global warming is "rapid," "accelerating," "irrefutable," "unprecedented," "incontrovertible," and/or "irreversible" are outright known falsehoods.

Finally, any journalist, scientist, politician or bureaucrat using such terminology to describe global temperatures is an unequivocal liar - that is the simple, empirical truth.

Additional global temperature and climate charts.

Global Warming Has Disappeared, Per The IPCC's Gold-Standard Climate Agency

The HadCRUT global temperature dataset (Sept. 2012) was recently published - this is the dataset used in the most recent IPCC report and it currently shows that global warming from CO2 emissions is essentially non-existent

(click on image to enlarge)

Over the last 180 months (15 years) the atmospheric CO2 levels have continued to increase at a rapid pace, but the globe (land and ocean) has cooled during that same time.

For the 15-year period ending September 30, 2012, the world experienced a very slight cooling trend of -0.12°C per century.

In contrast, for the 15-year period ending September 1997, the globe was warming at a +1.18°C pace.

Additional temperature & climate charts.

Global Cooling Since 1997 - The IPCC Global Warming Prediction Due To CO2 Emissions Was Wrong, Spectacularly

The IPCC predicted that global warming would result from increased atmospheric CO2 levels - however, since the beginning of the 1997 Super El Nino, global cooling has been the result

(click on image to enlarge)

The RSS satellite global temperature measurements indicate that the 1997-98 Super El Niño started from the low of April 1997. From that point, and all the way through July 2012, the global atmosphere has cooled - a total of 184 months. This cooling trend took place during a significant increase of atmospheric CO2 levels.

This slight cooling trend is opposite of what the IPCC (and NASA's James Hansen) predicted for global temperatures.

The IPCC prediction of rapid global warming is based on the hypothesis that human CO2 emissions would increase atmospheric CO2 greenhouse gas levels; the increase of greenhouse gases would allow more radiated heat to be retained; the retained heat would warm the atmosphere; and, the atmosphere would then warm the world's oceans and land surfaces. Such predicted warming would set in motion a "runaway tipping point" that would produce catastrophic climate disasters and a doomsday for civilization.

Instead, as the adjacent chart indicates, the lower atmosphere since 1997 (per the RSS satellite measurements) has actually been exhibiting a cooling trend, versus the the obvious warming trend for the January 1980 to April 1997 period (red curve on chart).

Like the RSS dataset, the HadCRUT global temperatures also exhibit almost the same warming/cooling dichotomy. What is very apparent in both datasets is that the '97-98 Super El Niño shifted temperatures up to a new level, which then global temperatures resumed their normal variation around. Subsequent to this temperature range shift, growing CO2 emissions have not caused the long predicted "global warming."

Conclusions:

#1. Satellite measurements reveal both a modest global warming and very slight global cooling period since 1980.

#2. Levels of atmospheric CO2 appear to have no consistent influence on global temperatures since 1980.

#3. Global warming is not "irrefutable," "unequivocal," "rapidly increasing," "accelerating," "incontrovertible," "indisputable," "unquestionable" nor "unprecedented." It's quite the opposite of all these qualifiers.

#4. Any IPCC scientist, climate researcher, academic, government bureaucrat, journalist and pundit who states and/or implies that any 'qualifier' in point #3 is the 'truth,' is, quite honestly, a serious liar. The empirical evidence is the scientific truth, not a person's blatant verbal misrepresentation.

#5. Politicians and celebrities who state and/or imply that any 'qualifier' in point #3 is the 'truth' is at best, stuck-on-stupid. Unfortunately, that seems to be the dominating characteristic of individuals involved in the political, sports and entertainment worlds. (Although, with politicians it may not be the case of being stupid, instead it may be more of a case of being criminally corrupt in order to enrich himself via "green" projects - think Solyndra.)

#6. As the satellite data show, the hot summer in the U.S. was not a result of global warming (as suggested by many covered by points #5 and #6) since global atmospheric temperatures during May, June and July were not extreme nor unusual.

Note: Chart source of satellite data, CO2 data.

The AGW Hypothesis Proven False Per Latest Data: Climate Sensitivity To CO2 Emissions Likely Very Low

A high climate sensitivity to growing human CO2 emissions is absolutely essential to the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW or AGW) hypothesis - the climate empirical evidence refutes the high sensitivity claim though

(click image to enlarge)

In climate science reality, the actual global temperature observations over the last 15 years do not support the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) hypothesis.

Central to the CAGW hypothesis is that increasing human CO2 emissions will raise atmospheric levels of this greenhouse gas. Subsequent to the atmospheric CO2 increase, global warming will automatically and consistently increase.

Once the globe starts warming, the AGW hypothesis states that a high climate sensitivity to CO2 will initiate a dangerous positive feedback loop: the rising temperatures will increase water evaporation; the powerful atmospheric greenhouse gas water vapor will then increase; then global temperatures will increase even more, the melting of ice sheets occurs; thus, less solar energy will be reflected into space; and global temperatures will then increase even more; and etc., etc.

This powerful and relentless positive feedback loop will produce unequivocal, robust, significant, unprecedented, irrefutable, rapid and accelerating global warming. At least that is what every "expert" climate model based on the CAGW hypothesis predicted.

But did the above prediction/scenario/forecast happen? Nope, not even close. In fact, the opposite happened.

The adjacent chart depicts the last 30 years of increasing CO2 levels and global temperature trends. This actual climate evidence is sliced into two time periods: the 15 years ending July 1997 and the 15 years ending July 2012. The real world evidence reveals the following:

1. The far right column (grey) shows that CO2 levels were increasing at a 147 ppm per century rate by the end of July 1997. Actual CO2 levels were at the 364 ppm mark.

2. For the 15 years ending 1997, global temperatures were increasing at +1.08°C per century trend (red column).

3. Since July 1997, the growth of CO2 levels has increased to a 197 ppm per century trend, and now stands at the 395 ppm mark.

4. After 30 years of increasing human CO2 emissions and faster growing atmospheric CO2 levels, the last 15 years have witnessed the previous global warming morph into a global cooling tend (blue column) at a -0.24°C per century trend.

Conclusions: The climate scientist and climate models that have long predicted catastrophic global warming from CO2 emissions are proven to be undeniably incorrect. The AGW hypothesis does not reflect climate reality. The actual empirical evidence proves the CAGW hypothesis to be irretrievably wrong. The climate sensitivity to CO2 levels is, at best, tiny. The natural forces of the climate will produce negative feedbacks that completely overwhelm the hypothetical CAGW positive feedback loop. Thus, while CO2 emissions will likely induce a slight warming, the natural climatic forces will dictate and dominate our climate future.

Finally, any "science" association, journalist, politician, celebrity, weatherperson, bureaucrat and pundit who says that dangerous global warming is happening, is unequivocal, is rapid, is irrefutable, is unprecedented, is robust, is significant and is accelerating can only be one thing: he or she is a pathological liar.

Additional modern, regional, historical and fabricating-fake temperature charts. Severe-weather charts and list of past severe-weather events.

Data used: HadCRUT and CO2

New HadCRUT Data Indicate Huge CO2 Emissions Have Little Impact On Last 15 Years of Global Cooling

HadCRUT is the IPCC's gold-standard for measuring global temperatures - over last 15 years (180 months) the globe has cooled with a -0.24C per century trend, not warmed as predicted

(click image to enlarge)

HadCRUT released their latest global temperature dataset today, which confirmed what both NOAA and NASA reported earlier this month - that global temps declined during July 2012.

In addition, the plot of the HadCRUT and CO2 data for the last 15 years, through July 2012, is very revealing.

Contrary to what the mainstream press reports and exaggerates about "global warming," the world has actually been in a stable-to-cooling phase since the El Nino temperature spike of 1997/98.

Of course, if the NYTimes or WAPO or CNN or CBS or the AP were ever to report the actual cooling trend over the last 15 years (despite the massive amounts of human CO2 emissions) this would establish that they have been grossly misleading the public for years about consensus "global warming."

And as the press fully realize, the public that primarily relies on traditional media outlets are extremely gullible with little intellectual curiosity. Thus the media gets away with hysterical fear-mongering, half-truths and deceptions.

Conclusion: Long story short - human CO2 emissions are not causing rapid, accelerating global warming, per the IPCC's favored HadCRUT temperature dataset. Over the last 15 years, global temperatures have been relatively stable, with a slight global cooling trend being exhibited. All the IPCC's and NOAA's climate experts, their climate models and the professional doomsayers have been absolutely wrong about their catastrophic climate predictions, for over a decade now - and not a single mainstream press outlet reports this. Solid advice to gullible: don't believe anything the mainstream press outlets "report."

Additional modern, regional, historical and fabricating-fake temperature charts. Severe-weather charts and list of past severe-weather events.

Data used: HadCRUT and CO2

Modern Global Cooling: Hot U.S. Summer Is Exception As Other Regions Experience Cold Events

The latest HadCRUT global temperatures indicate a modern global cooling regime has been in place over the last 15 years - in addition, many world regions have experienced weather events that corroborate a global cooling phase

(image source)

Despite the protestations of the climate doomsday scientists and their faithful cohorts (mindless parrots?) in the mainstream press, the extremely hot weather, in parts of the U.S., is an exception.

(And, btw, the current heat wave and severe weather in the U.S. is not unusual - hmmm...if only the lazy MSM doomsday parrots reporters would get off their fat keisters, eh...)

Across the globe, reports of colder temperatures and cold inclement weather abound, which the large MSM outlets in the U.S. have failed to report. Because of the extreme one-sided reporting of the hot summer (ie, "global warming") in the U.S., most Americans remain ignorant of significant weather and climatic conditions across the world. This level of global ignorance is highly correlated to the god-awful, biased reporting done by the Seth Borensteins of the world.

Below are recent examples of conditions that prevail outside America's Midwest and East Coast areas that major U.S. media/press outlets won't mention:

June-July skiing in western U.S. & Canada

Many more record lows for the United States

Argentina – Serious frosts lead to declaration of agricultural emergency and disaster

Wettest April-to-June ever recorded in UK

“Incredibly rare” cold in New Zealand

Californian mountain receives late June snowfall - up to a foot

“Freak” summer snowfall in northern Finland

South Pole Station Sets New Record Low: -100.8°F

Freezing temps forecast for Oregon - In Summer!

Record low temps in Eastern Idaho hammer potato crop

Sweden – One of it’s coldest and wettest Junes since 1786

Massive number of U.S. record lows – In Summer

Blizzard kills 200 cows on NZ West Coast

Argentina – More snow in two weeks than an entire normal winter season

Ireland – Wettest June on record

Swiss Valley of Engadin blanketed in snow

Record Low in North Florida

Up to 14 inches of snow for Mt Rainier WA - Late June

Sweden’s reindeer on the verge of extinction because it’s too cold

Global Warming Science Facts: World Slightly Cooled During May 2012 Per The IPCC Gold-Standard, HadCRUT

The UK's HadCRUT global temperature dataset indicates a global cooling trend of -0.2°C/century over last 15 years, plus May 2012 was slightly cooler - the global warming science facts, per the IPCC's own gold-standard

(click on image to enlarge)

While much of the U.S. has been doing a slow roast over the last few months, other parts of the world are cooling. So much so that in the aggregate the global mean temperature slightly fell during May 2012.

As the adjacent chart indicates, over the last 180 months (15 years) global temperatures have been on a cooling trend. This trend persists despite the increasing levels of atmospheric CO2 and at least two powerful El Niño's since 1997.

There is not a single global climate model that predicted this stable/cooling trend. All models predicted "accelerating" global warming because of their singular dependance on levels of atmospheric CO2.

As can be observed and surmised, clearly there are other forces are driving the IPCC-HadCRUT global temperatures other than CO2. The global warming science facts do not support the speculations of climate doomsday alarmists.

Additional global temperature charts.

Global Warming Science Facts: Latest HadCRUT Analysis Confirms Slight Global Cooling Trend Last 15 Years

The global warming science facts continue to robustly challenge the "consensus" global warming hypothesis - despite prodigious amounts of CO2 emissions, a global cooling trend exists

(click on image to enlarge)

Here is the typical plot of the impact of CO2 emissions on global temperatures. As a change in pace, a different depiction of "global warming" is adjacent.

The left side of this chart reveals the current 15-yr per century global temperature change trend (-0.12 degree), as of April 2012 - the blue bar near the bottom. The grey bar represents the massive amount of human CO2 emissions released into the atmosphere over the last 15 calendar years.

In contrast, for the previous 15 years ending April 1997, the red bar represents the per century temperature change trend (+1.08 degree) and partially hidden grey bar the total human CO2 emissions released during the calendar year span of 1982 - 1996.

The data portrayed in this chart, when combined, represents the last 30 years (360 consecutive months, starting May 1982 and ending April 2012) of human CO2 emissions and global temperature change.

Conclusions: The global warming science facts do not support the IPCC's catastrophic AGW hypothesis that is continuously promulgated by bureaucrats and paid-off scientists. A global cooling trend has developed despite the IPCC's climate model predictions and the immense human CO2 emissions over the last 15 years (a 1.7 times increase over the 15-yr period ending in 1996) . Catastrophic, dangerous, unequivocal, accelerating and unprecedented global warming are non-existent as of April 2012. In summary, the data strongly and irrefutably suggest that human CO2 emissions are not a powerful greenhouse gas and that, instead, natural climate forces are the likely primary drivers of global temperature changes.

Additional modern, regional, historical, fabricated-fake,  and climate-model charts.

Note: Linear trends are not predictions.

HadCRUT Scientists Connect The Dots: Global Warming Has Switched To Global Cooling Over Last 15 Years

The fanatical green, anti-CO2 activist Bill McKibben has urged everyone to 'connect the dots' - so be it - HadCRUT researchers did just that and confirmed that global warming morphed to global cooling despite huge increases in human CO2 emissions

(click on image to enlarge)

It's the last day of April 2012 and Phil Jones just released the March global temperature information. This latest update confirms that global temperatures are not "accelerating" nor "unequivocally" warming due to CO2 emissions.

As can be seen, the adjacent chart reflects the recent global cooling phenomenon.

Truth be told, the new global data clearly show that global temps are little influenced by CO2 levels. Plus, the over-hyped global warming is causing climate change alarmism has essentially no merit, per the data, thus falsifying Bill McKibben's entire career as an anti-CO2 crusader.

This newest empirical evidence affirms that highly paid (by the taxpayer) and arrogant climate scientists, and their billion dollar computer models, are often wrong, big time. Anti-science activists like McKibben would do well to show a little more humility about mother nature and also express at least an ounce of skepticism when listening to bureaucrat scientists with an agenda.

Conclusion: Connect the dots global warming does not exist and most certainly is not causing normal "climate change" weather events. If bad weather is happening more frequently, then activists might carefully examine the actual temeprature data and finally start asking if cooling is driving weather events.

Previous "accelerating" temperature and connect-the-dot postings. Additonal temperature and climate charts.

Is Global Warming Happening? IPCC Climate Models Predicted Huge Warming But Reality Happened Instead

For years the public wondered "Is global warming happening?" as the IPCC climate models predicted - instead the HadCRUT temperature dataset clearly shows global temps cooling off

(click on image to enlarge)

The adjacent chart documents the facts on the ground, so-to-speak, and easily answers the question: Is global warming happening?

The simple answer from the empirical observations is 'No.'

The IPCC climate models, using the business-as-usual CO2 emissions scenario A1F1 predicted a best estimate of global temperature increase of +4.0 degrees by year 2100. That prediction was based on year 2000 being the starting point.

Thus, per the IPCC model(s), by February 2012 the global temperatures should have already increased to 14.75 degrees C (pink dotted line) based on a 12-month moving average. Instead, since 2000, the HadCRUT global temperature has only slightly increased (red dotted line).

Below is a synopsis of linear trends of the model prediction and actual observations:

• IPCC predicted: +4.0°C increase by year 2100
• Since 1/1/1990 actual: +1.3°C increase by year 2100
• Since 1/1/2000 actual: +0.4°C increase by year 2100
• Since 1/1/2002 actual: -0.7°C decrease by year 2100
  

Despite human CO2 emissions continuing to grow in a 'business-as-usual' manner (grey curve, black dots), global warming has stopped and is currently declining, as the blue columns of the chart indicate. The blue fitted trend curve reveals the current direction of global temperatures - 'global cooling' would be the more accurate description for the last 10 years.

Conclusion: Is global warming happening?

Global warming has monotonously creeped to a point of global cooling since the 1998 peak temperatures. CO2 levels appear to have little, if any, direct impact on direction or magnitude of changes in global temperatures.

Why has global warming turned to cooling or, as some prefer, "stalled"? For the confusion that reigns over that issue read here.

[Note: To calculate rolling 12-month average of HadCRUT absolute temperatures, 'C3' used the HadCRUT global monthly anomalies plus the monthly absolutes found here. 'By year 2100' increases/decrease calculated using the 12-mth moving average absolutes. Although the A1F1 scenario starts in year 2000, the above Excel chart includes data back to 1990 to provide a visual context. Additional info on emission scenarios.]

For additional temperature charts, visit these 'C3' pages: Modern, regional, historical and fabricating-fake temperature charts.

Modern Global Cooling: 2012 Winter Is 2nd Coldest In Last 15 Years - By 2100, Winters Might Be 1 Degree Colder

If the current modern global cooling continues, winters in the Northern Hemisphere and summers in the Southern Hemispere could be colder - human CO2 emissions may actually be irrelevant

(click on images to enlarge)

From 1960 through 2011, over 1 trillion tons of CO2 have been emitted by humans from the burning of fossil fuels. The alarmist global warming theory requires that all those emissions still remain in the atmosphere - per the AGW alarmists, emissions will stay resident in the atmosphere for hundreds to thousands of years.

But as the empirical evidence mounts, those trillions of tons of emissions are having a very small impact on global temperatures - so small, many of the world's best scientists are now questioning the relevancy of human CO2 on the world's climate. The previous modern warming has convincingly morphed into modern global cooling.

The top left chart is a plot of CO2 levels versus global temperatures for December, January and February. These months are typically the coldest for the Northern Hemisphere's winter and warmest for the Southern Hemisphere's summer. As the chart reveals, the last 15 years have seen significant cooling for these three months - including 1998, the trend is a minus 1.3 degrees/century.

The chart on the right, plots the Dec-Jan-Feb temperatures from 1960. The blue shaded areas represent the cooling periods that sandwich the modern warming that ended in 1998 with a kaboom - the Super El Niño of 1998.

Clearly, the massive 1 trillion+ tons of CO2 emissions are not making global temperatures "accelerate" prior to 1977, nor for the post-1998 period.

Conclusions: Modern cooling has prevailed during the December, January and February months since 1998; vast human CO2 emissions are not producing a global warming climate; and, the current cooling phase could switch to warming, or remain as is, depending on natural climatic fluctuations, regardless of CO2.

For additional temperature charts, visit these 'C3' pages: Modern, regional, historical and fabricating-fake temperature charts.

Note: The above Excel charts plot the simple 3-month average of December, January and February anomalies from the HadCRUT monthly global dataset.

Modern Global Cooling: HadCRUT & IPCC Dataset Pegs February 2012 As Coldest In Last 18 Years

The IPCC's gold-standard dataset, HadCRUT, just announced the coldest February in the last 18 years - is this the end of modern global cooling?

(click on images to enlarge)

While many Americans welcomed a balmy-like February winter, this minor regional warming in some parts of the U.S. was overwhelmed by an otherwise large global cooling. Last time February global temperatures were colder than February 2012 was in 1994 - 18 years prior.

If this February cooling trend since 1994 continues, by 2100 February temperatures will be 0.7 degrees (C) cooler. 

Modern global cooling for all months over the last 10 years through February has a more prominent per century trend of minus 1.1 degrees (C) (or a minus 0.95 degrees by 2100). It has now become a unanimous consensus that the 80's and 90's warming span turned into a cooling (be it slight) phase over the last 10 years.

Back to February. By examining past February temperatures since 1850 in more detail, it becomes clear that the HadCRUT dataset does not provide any empirical evidence of accelerated warming of February temperatures - temperature change is not constantly increasing, nor even positive every year for that matter.

Instead, as the top chart reveals, temperature change from one February to the next follows a consistent pattern of negative and positive changes, going back and forth, from 1850 to present day.

Now look closer at the chart (click to enlarge). That purple line is the linear trend of February temperature changes - it's flat, indicating that global February temperatures are not unequivocally warming. Look at the red curve - that's the 30-year simple average of February temperature change.

Note how the red curve has remained within a narrow volatility band ever since 1880 and all the way through February 2012. Again, clearly global February temperatures are not exhibiting the long-predicted accelerating temperature change regime that was going to make winters disappear in the Northern Hemisphere.

Interesting to note, as CO2 levels kept up their constant growth (black dots), when were the biggest positive and negative changes in February temperatures over the last 50 years? Way back in 1973 and 1974 (back-to-back) when the globe was experiencing its previous global cooling phase, not during the warming of the 80's and 90's.

And, what would the climate change statistics look like if there were actually accelerating temperature increases? The adjacent chart shows that: the last 10 years of actual February temperature change were altered to artificially increase by +0.25 degree every February. That level of accelerated change caused the purple trend line to slope up, and caused the red 30-year average curve to break out of its narrow band of variation, significantly.

Conclusions: HadCRUT global, the IPCC's gold-standard temperature dataset, indicates that the world has experienced a modern global cooling trend over the past 10 years; in addition, the month of February has experienced a cooling trend since February of 1994; the recent past cooling does not mean either future regional and/or global warming will not happen; the "powerful" greenhouse gas, CO2, turns out not to be very powerful ('lame' comes to mind); and, zero of the multi-billion dollar "expert" climate models predicted this modern global cooling period.

For additional temperature charts, visit these 'C3' pages: Modern, regional, historical and fabricating-fake temperature charts - hey, if you only look at the above charts you'll be accused of 'cherry picking' by someone!

Note: February 2012 tied February 2008 as the coldest February since 1994.

Summer Arctic Sea Ice Melt Provokes Significant Negative Climate Feedback: Antarctica Sea Temp Decline

Global warming theorists now claim that Arctic sea ice melt causes colder and snowier winters - the empirical evidence indicates that it must also cause colder oceans, a definite AGW negative feedback

(click on images to enlarge)

These Bob Tisdale charts of ocean temperatures through January 2012 are most enlightening. To summarize the data plotted on the charts, ocean temperatures, as represented by the Southern, South Pacific and global measurements, clearly show a decline since the 1998 El Niño event. The Southern Ocean (aka the Antarctica Ocean) has experienced a very significant decline in temperature since the early 2000's.

Sooo...per the logic of the typical global warming alarmist, the Arctic sea ice melt from human CO2 emissions does the following, from one Polar region to its geographic opposite:

• Increased CO2 ===> increases Arctic warming ===> increases Arctic sea ice melt ===> decreases solar albedo ===> increases summer temperatures ===> decreases winter temperatures ===> increases snow ===> decreases global ocean temperatures ===> decreases Antarctica Ocean temperatures ===> causes global cooling

In essence, the tortured logic of the ever-changing alarmist climate change theories literally leads one to conclude that global cooling weather events are the natural negative feedback to AGW.

Of course, no IPCC climate change report (so far) has remotely stated the above. But the actual climate empirical evidence (ie, non-warming world, lower ocean temps) and cold weather events has now forced CO2-centric global warming alarmists into a pretzeled logic that ultimately supports the overall negative feedbacks of global climate as understood by CAGW-skeptics, not the positive feedbacks pushed by the IPCC.

Previous positive-negative feedback postings. Modern, regional and historical temperature charts.

Global Cooling Is Here, Part XV: Increased CO2 Levels Must Cause Global Cooling, No?

We have not updated this series since November 2010 but the multitude of cold, stormy weather reports suggests a trend that corroborates these previous postings: Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5, Part 6, Part 7, Part 8, Part 9, Part 10, Part 11,  Part 12,  Part 13 and Part14.

Per the data, the negative characteristics of global cooling non-warming are making themselves felt across the world

The Sahara is covered by snow - first time ever?

So cold in Seattle an Arctic seal comes to visit

Canada slammed by record cold

Turkey paralyzed by heavy snows

Seattle buried by one-day snow storm

Missoula International Airport, MT receives record breaking snow

Winter ski mountain resort in Oregon closed due to heavy snows - 55 inches

India has 132 year old cold temperature broken

Kamloops, Canada has record snowfall

Cascade Mountains receiving crippling mount of snow

Southern India record cold snap kill 15

Northern Japan digs out after record snowfall

Idaho regions to get up to 4 feet of snow

Alaska dog sled races canceled - too much snow

Muskegon County Airport, MI shatters snowfall record

Nome, Alaska suffers with 30 degree below normal temperatures

Wisconsin winter storm dumps 24 inches of snow

Australia sets new records for low temperatures

Alaska's shortage of icebreakers is causing major problems this winter

Australia’s capital dropped to the lowest January temperature in recorded history

Alps snowstorm traps 17,000 with ten feet of now

Austria's ski areas receive record snow this winter

Midland, Texas sets three snowfall records in single day

India area has first snowfall in decades - bitter cold leaves 140 dead

An Alaska town gets 18 feet of now, roofs collapsing, people trapped in their homes

Russian supply ship stuck in thick ice - can't deliver supplies to Nome

Northern India struck with record snowfalls

Valdez, Alaska has snowiest December ever

Kenya's black tea crop has major loss from severe frost - worst ever

Every Florida county has freezing temperatures

New Orleans hit with freezing temperatures

New Mexico's cattle stranded by huge snows

Reykjavík, Iceland broke two December snow records

Switzerland blanketed with record snows

Russia's bitter cold threatens whales trapped by ice

San Luis Obispo County, California experiences coldest December in 40 years

Texas town to have first white Christmas in 72 years

Australia has coldest summer in 50 years

Great Plains hit by deadly winter storm

Parts of France pummeled by winter storm with 80 mph winds

Scotland battered by winter storm with 165 mph winds

Antarctica: IPCC Proven Conclusively Wrong By Newest Research - South Pole Cooling

The Antarctica climate evidence is irrefutable - the southern polar region is cooling, not warming as IPCC predicted

(click on images to enlarge)

Read here. The chart on the left is new empirical evidence released by the German climate research organization, the Alfred Wegener Institute. Their polar weather station temperature records clearly confirm the cooling trend as previously measured by satellite over the last 30 years (chart on the right).

In addition, a new peer reviewed study found that over the last 30 years the Antarctica snowmelt has been trending down, which substantiates the observed cooler temperatures as the above plots show.

"Surface snowmelt is widespread in coastal Antarctica. Satellite-based microwave sensors have been observing melt area and duration for over three decades.....The paper actually shows a declining trend in snowmelt over the past 31 years, although not statistically significant. Of note, the abstract states, "other than atmospheric processes likely determine long-term ice shelf stability." Translation: increased CO2 and other 'greenhouse gases' do not threaten stability of the Antarctic ice shelf." [P. Kuipers Munneke, G. Picard, M. R. van den Broeke, J. T. M. Lenaerts, E. van Meijgaard 2011: Geophysical Research Letters]

Previous polar-ice-sheet-glacier, failed-prediction and peer-reviewed postings. Modern and regional temperature charts.

NOAA Research Documents The Robust Cooling of U.S. Over Last 15 Years, "Global Warming" Non-Existent

The NOAA / NCDC climate research group published year-end U.S. temperature data confirming that U.S. is still cooling - CO2 has zero global warming impact on U.S.

As the Climategate 2.0 emails continue to establish, the alarmist climate scientists claiming "unprecedented" and "accelerating" global warming actually can't find either. When examining the global temperature trends, it is clear that global warming has actually been missing for the last 15 years. This has definitely been the case of the continental U.S., as the chart below depicts. (click on to enlarge)

This "global cooling" of the U.S continues in spite of growing CO2 emissions. Human CO2 emissions continue to grow at a business-as-usual pace with a record set in 2010 for the largest emissions ever.

The NOAA/NCDC chart on the left represents the 15 years (180 months), starting January 1, 1997 and ending December 31, 2011. Per these latest U.S. official temperature data records, the 12-month period ending December was the 5th coldest December-ending period for the last 15 years.

In terms of a single month, December 2011 was the 22nd warmest since 1895 (December 1998 was the warmest).

The per century cooling trend of this period, a minus 4.4°F, took place despite the huge warmth produced by two large El Niño events during this 15-year span: 1997-1998 and 2009-2010.

For the 10-year period ending December 2011 (Januart 1, 2002 thru December, 2011 - 120 months), the cooling trend accelerates to a very significant minus 7.2°F per century rate - again, per the updated NOAA/NCDC temperature records.

Please note: The  linear temperature trend, as shown in the NOAA chart, is not a prediction.

Other modern temperature charts. Historical and fabrication-temperature charts that support the position of global warming skeptics

Latest Satellite Data: Human CO2 Emissions Have Caused Earth To Cool Over Past 15 Years

Satellite measurements confirm that global warming has stopped over the last 15 years despite large increases of atmospheric CO2 levels

The chart on the left has to be extremely painful and embarrassing for the IPCC's Climategate alarmists and their 'big green' and MSM comrades.

Despite the large increases of atmospheric CO2 levels, the global temperatures have barely increased - contrary to predictions from the IPCC, NOAA and NASA's GISS. Per the linear trend of the adjacent chart, the projected temperature increase by year 2100 will only be a ludicrously tiny +0.05 degree (yes, only 1/20th of a single degree).

The grey curve/background indicates the monotonous growth of CO2 levels, while the blue curve reveals temperatures trending slightly cooler over the last 15 years. One could easily surmise from this chart that increased CO2 levels (due to human CO2 emissions) have actually "cooled" the planet since the earth-fever of the 1997-98 El Niño event.

Obviously, the satellite provides further empirical evidence that human CO2 emissions are very unlikely to be a major force driving global temperatures and/or climate change. The lack of observable correlation between monthly temperatures and monthly CO2 levels is stunning.

And here's a 'C3' prediction to take to the bank: the mainstream press will not provide its readers and viewers with this actual satellite data that literally contradicts their past hysterical "global-warming reporting."

Additional modern and historical temperature charts. Source of temperature and CO2 data for above Excel chart. [Note: linear trends are not predictions]

NASA Vs. IPCC: One Finds Global Warming, The Other Global Cooling - Which Is Correct?

Since 1998 the IPCC's HadCRUT reports global cooling - neither Nasa's GISS nor HadCRUT report "dangerous," nor "accelerating," nor "runaway," nor "tipping point" nor "irreversible" global warming

Unfortunately, almost every family has to suffer with the typical "useful idiot" family member during the holidays who has relied on MSNBC, ABC (Australia), the NY Times, the Washington Post, the BBC or CNN for their climate information. Soooo...below is a Christmas stocking stuffer to be pulled out at the appropriate time when the family idiot starts spewing the mainstream media left / liberal / progressive / Democrat climate anti-science.

The IPCC's climate reports' gold-standard for global averages is the HadCRUT temperature dataset. Since the end of 1997, the HadCRUT global average shows an actual global cooling trend, not warming (-0.03C degrees/century). And since the end of 2000, this IPCC gold-standard has global cooling trend increasing to a -0.6C degree/century. (click on charts to enlarge)

The blue trend line is the IPCC's best-of-breed temperature dataset. Nasa's GISS dataset is represented by the red trend and NOAA's NCDC dataset by the green trend.

From the above, we can surmise the following:

1. Despite record setting human CO2 emissions over the past decade, they have not caused "dangerous," "accelerating," "runaway," "tipping point" or "irreversible" global warming

2. Per the IPCC gold-standard, a slight global cooling trend has developed since the end of 1997, and is more prominent since the end of 2000

3. Despite two large El Nino (extreme warming) events since 1997, the global temperatures per the IPCC gold-standard have trended down (through November 2011)

4. None of the IPCC's climate models predicted deceleration of global warming, let alone the actual global cooling

5. Whether it's the HadCRUT or GISS or NCDC temperature trends shown above, "accelerating" global warming is not reality - the opposite is reality

6. A worst case warming scenario based on recent trends (GISS or NCDC, not HadCRUT) might range from a +0.3C to +0.9C warming by year 2100 (trends are not predictions)

7. The climate sensitivity to CO2 atmospheric levels has been a fraction of that predicted by the IPCC

8. The hysterically claimed climate temperature "tipping point" is just that - hysteria

9. Natural climate and/or cyclical phenomenon has likely had a much greater influence on global temperatures than the immense human CO2 emissions

10. There is no "consensus" among HadCRUT, GISS and NCDC regarding global temperatures

With our listing of both the GISS and NCDC trends above (in addition to HadCRUT), one may wonder why they are not considered the IPCC's gold-standard. Well, regarding Nasa's GISS, a scientist from GISS has stated the following to an USA Today journalist:

“My recommendation to you is to continue using NCRDC [NOAA] data for U.S. mean [temperatures] and Phil Jones’ [HadCRUT] data for the global mean…We are basically a modeling group…for that purpose what we do is more than accurate enough [to assess model results]. But we have no intention to compete with either of the other two organizations in what they do best.”

So, even the GISS folks hardly view their global temperature dataset as being the gold-standard, why should the IPCC?

Regarding the NOAA/NCDC temperature series, a recent analysis of their dataset revisions show a continuous monthly adjustment effort of historical temperatures that signify more a political agenda versus an impartial science objective. Amazingly, in the month of November 2011 alone, NCDC has published at least 4 different versions of their temperature dataset.

More importantly, the current NOAA chief has turned the science agency into a political and global warming hothouse, where facts and evidence are fabricated or subject to ludicrous revisionism for green political purposes. NOAA has become a science joke and the IPCC can ill afford hitching their wagon to another Green Mafia controlled outfit. Thus, no "gold-standard" for the NCDC temperature dataset.

That leaves the HadCRUT dataset as the gold-standard, which, by the way, finds the globe cooling, not warming - hmmm...did we say that already?

Merry Christmas!

The Gross Incompetence of Ben Santer & James Hansen: Their Non-Existent Global Warming

Ben Santer & James Hansen have long been declaring that global warming was accelerating from human CO2 - instead, the real facts reveals their incompetence

Santer and Hansen are two climate modelers that have been spectacularly wrong for so long that it's even painful for skeptics to witness. These two have been cluck-clucking forever about how CO2 levels were causing accelerating and irreversible global warming, with some climate "disruption" thrown in to scare the politicians and policymakers.

However, as the actual empirical evidence through November 2011 reveals, it is highly unlikely that either of these "scientists" could find his own ass with his hands. Even using Santer's own preferred 17-year analysis span (chart on left), it is clear that global warming is insignificant and likely moving towards a cooling phase.

The chart on right shows the climate model abomination that NASA and Hansen base their predictions on. The level of climate science incompetence is mind-boggling. (click on images to enlarge)

The only things Santer and Hansen have managed to succeed at is enriching themselves, at the expense of science and the taxpayers.

Other modern temperature charts.

NOAA Confirms Obvious, Embarrassing Climate Science Failure: U.S. Cooled Over Last 15 Years

Predicted warming of continental U.S. by climate "experts" is proven to be robustly wrong

As the Climategate2.0 emails continue to establish, the alarmist climate scientists claiming "unprecedented" and "accelerating" global warming actually can't find either. When examining the global temperature trends, it is clear that global warming has actually been missing for the last 15 years. This has definitely been the case of the continental U.S., as the graph on the left depicts. (click on to enlarge)

And, as the chart on the right depicts, this "global cooling" of the U.S continues in spite of growing CO2 emissions. Human CO2 emissions continue to grow at a business-as-usual pace with a record set in 2010 for the largest emissions ever.

The NOAA/NCDC chart on the left represents the 15 years (180 months), starting December 1, 1996 and ending November 30, 2011. Per these latest U.S. official temperature data records, the 12-month period ending November was the 5th coldest November-ending period for the last 15 years.

In terms of a single month, November 2011 was the 25th warmest since 1895 (November 1999 was the warmest).

The per century cooling trend of this period, a minus 4.6°F, took place despite the huge warmth produced by two large El Niño events during this 15-year span: 1997-1998 and 2009-2010.

For the 10-year period ending November 2011 (December 1, 2001 thru November, 2011 - 120 months), the cooling trend accelerates to a very significant minus 8.9°F per century rate - again, per the updated NOAA/NCDC temperature records.

Please note: The  linear temperature trend, as shown in the NOAA chart, is not a prediction.

Other modern temperature charts. Historical and fabrication-temperature charts that support the position of global warming skeptics

October 2011 NOAA Data: U.S. Temperature Cooling Trend of 15 Years Continues, -3.7 Degrees

Temperature data source here. Carbon chart source here. (click on images to enlarge)

Climate reality keeps defying (mocking?) the IPCC's Climategate scientists. When examining the global temperature trends, it is clear that global warming has actually been missing for the last 15 years. This has definitely been the case of the continental U.S., as the graph on the left depicts.

And, as the chart on the right depicts, this "global cooling" of the U.S continues in spite of the world's ten worst accelerating CO2 emitters (below the red line) over the last two years. The countries increasing their CO2 emissions the most are: South Africa (home of Durban), Egypt, Brazil, Vietnam, Iran, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, India and China.

The NOAA/NCDC chart represents the 15 years (180 months), starting November 1, 1996 and ending October 31, 2011. Per these latest U.S. official temperature data records, the 12-month period ending October was the 5th coldest October-ending period for the last 15 years.

In terms of a single month, October 2011 was the 33rd warmest since 1895 (October 1963 was the warmest).

The per century cooling trend of this period, a minus 3.7°F, took place despite the huge warmth produced by two large El Niño events during this 15-year span: 1997-1998 and 2009-2010.

For the 10-year period ending October  2011 (November 1, 2001 thru October, 2011 - 120 months), the cooling trend accelerates to a very significant minus 10.6°F per century rate - again, per the updated NOAA/NCDC temperature records.

Please note: These linear temperature trends, as shown in the NOAA chart, are not predictions.

Other modern temperature charts. Historical and fabrication-temperature charts that support the position of global warming skeptics

BEST Confirms Minor, Insignificant Global Warming: Less Than Half Degree Warming By 2100

(click on charts to enlarge)

Last week the BEST research team released their findings in regards to land surface temperatures. The BEST data matched up very closely with the IPCC's gold standard, the HadCRUT land temps sub-dataset. In summary, the Berkeley study had a few key points, including:

• BEST results show little, if any, warming over recent years
• BEST results found one-third of climate stations report a cooling, not a warming
• BEST determined that government maintained temperature-station quality is "awful"
• BEST found that the urban impact on global land temperatures is minimal
• BEST concluded that the human influence on land temperatures may be overestimated
• BEST concluded that land temperatures may be driven by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) - a decadal phenomenon

Since the BEST land surface results were so similar to the Hadley and CRU efforts, it is highly probable that the future BEST research will closely mimic the HadCRUT3 global temperature dataset as shown above in the chart on the left.

The latest HadCRUT dataset report (released today, 10/28/2011) through September 2011 reveals a very insignificant warming over the last 15 years, with zero correlation to increasing CO2 levels. The global HadCRUT linear trend if projected out means a total global temperature increase of +0.3 degrees by year 2100.

The chart on the right tracks the HadCRUT and GISS global temperature anomalies versus the NASA climate model prediction of global temperatures due to CO2 emissions. It is obvious, that the climate models are stupendously wrong in their estimate of the temperature impact of human CO2 emissions - if the models were correct, the HadCRUT and GISS temperature anomalies would resemble Hansen's 'green' curve. (Note: Climate predictions from the IPCC, its models and its experts are consistently wrong.)

Based on this most recent temperature and CO2 information, one can safely assume that the BEST researchers are no dummies.....that would explain their hedging comments that the human influence is 'overestimated' and that natural decadal oscillations may be driving temperatures instead of human CO2 emissions.

U.S. Scientists Confirm Trend: America Cooling For Last 15 Years, Warming Non-Existent

Source here. (click on image to enlarge)

Climate reality keeps defying (mocking?) the IPCC's Climategate scientists. When examining the global temperature trends, it is clear that global warming has actually been missing for the last 15 years. This has definitely been the case of the continental U.S. as the graph on the left depicts.

This chart represents the 15 years (180 months), starting October 1, 1997 and ending September 30, 2011. Per the latest NOAA/NCDC U.S. official temperature data records, the 12-month period ending September was the 7th coldest September-ending period for the last 15 years. In terms of a single month, September 2011 was the 21st warmest since 1895 (September 1998 was the warmest.)

The per century cooling trend of this period, a minus 3.2°F, took place in spite of the huge warmth produced by two large El Niño events during this 15-year span: 1997-1998 and 2009-2010.

For the 10-year period ending September 2011 (October 1, 2001 thru September 30, 2011 - 120 months), the cooling trend accelerates to a very significant minus 9.9°F per century rate - again, per the updated NOAA/NCDC temperature records. These

Additional U.S. temperature data for September 2011.

Temperature trends are not predictions.

Other modern temperature charts. Historical and fabrication-temperature charts.

NOAA Says U.S. Cooling Over Last 15 Years: -3.2°F/Century Rate, As of August 2011

Source here. (click on image to enlarge)

When looking at the temperature trends, it is clear that global warming has actually been missing for the last 15 years. This has definitely been the case of the continental U.S. as the graph on the left depicts.

This chart represents the 15 years (180 months), starting September 1, 1997 and ending August 31, 2011. Per the latest NOAA/NCDC U.S. temperature data records, the 12-month period ending Augut was the 6th coldest August-ending period for the last 15 years. In terms of a single month, August 2011 was the 2nd warmest since 1895 (August 1983 was the warmest.)

The per century cooling trend of this period, a minus 3.2°F, took place in spite of the huge warmth produced by two large El Niño events during this 15-year span: 1997-1998 and 2009-2010.

For the 10-year period ending August 2011 (September 1, 2001 thru August 31, 2011 - 120 months), the cooling trend accelerates to a very significant minus 10.9°F per century rate - again, per the updated NOAA/NCDC temperature records.

Other modern temperature charts. Historical and fabrication-temperature charts.

Stunning Revelation From Santer et al. Study: Confirms Insignificant & Immaterial Warming By Year 2100

Read here. Santer et al. 2011 research supposedly determines that at least 17 years of data is required to "measure" humans' impact on the climate. Not 15 years, not 16, not 18, not 19, not 20, but most assuredly, their cherry-picked 17-year span is the new gold-standard.

"Our results show that temperature records of at least 17 years in length are required for identifying human effects on global-mean tropospheric temperature."

Soooo, what does 17 years of HadCRUT global temperatures and CO2 levels look like versus the previous 'C3' 15-year data plot? Good question!

Using 17 years (204 months) worth of data through the end of July 2011, the plot on the left reveals that global warming since August 1994 is rather modest and non-existent since 1998.

The linear trend from this 17-year span indicates that global temperatures will be only 0.85°C higher by January 1, 2100. The light blue fitted curve suggests that global temperatures are actually moving towards a cooling period, not a warming. The grey fitted curve for CO2 keeps to a linear path ("business as usual") it has long had.

Let's identify what human CO2 impacts (past, present and future) have had on the climate per this 17-year period:

• This 17-year gold-standard, blessed by the holier than thou team of Santer et cohorts, basically confirms that human CO2 emissions have had little, if any, impact on global temperatures.
• This 17-year span confirms that climate models based on the myopic CO2-"science" are spectacularly wrong.
• This 17-year span confirms that future global warming will at most be modest.
• This 17-year data confirms what skeptics have been saying for the last 17 years: runaway positive feedback is a fantasy and future global warming is unlikely to be catastrophic.

Since this outcome is probably not what Santer et al. expected from looking at the most recent 17-year span, maybe they ought to retract their study for a major revision. It would seem the 17-year span might need to be changed - damn that pesky empirical evidence!

And btw, 'Dr. B.S. Violence' should apologize to everyone for wasting taxpayer money on what 69% of Americans already know.

Note1 to readers: Go here for 17-year charts for ocean and atmosphere temps.

Note2 to readers: The linear trend that produces 0.85°C by 2100 is not a prediction. Actual global temperatures may be higher or lower. No one knows for sure. Most importantly, as this 17-year evidence indicates, current climate models are completely clueless as to future temperatures.

More Global Evidence That Global Cooling Is Trumping Global Warming: New Zealand & The U.S.

Read here and here. There is ample empirical evidence that the feared CO2-caused global warming predicted by the IPCC and climate "experts" has been dramatically fading over the last 15 years. And there is plenty of ongoing anecdotal evidence of global cooling in the past few years.

Add Wellington, New Zealand and Mt. Ranier, Washington to the anecdotal evidence list. And don't forget about Ireland's and Germany's cold summer.

Southern Hemisphere Continues To Cool: Antarctica 20 Degrees Below Normal

Read here. As noted before, the Southern Hemisphere has seemingly been in a cooling phase that is bringing awful winter weather to many countries. (click on image to enlarge)

The frigid winter temperatures also include the polar area of Antarctica. Temps there are well below normal.

Previous global-cooling postings.

Central Europe Temperatures In Free Fall: Multi-Year Cooling Trend Reveals Warming Farce Is Global

Read here. As the dotted trend line indicates on this German temperature chart, "global warming" is not so happening in Germany. The same is likely true for a number of nearby central European states.

And, to add to the AGW-alarmist scientists misery, and as most 'C3' readers are aware, "global warming" in the U.S. has actually been global cooling over the last 15 years, according to NOAA temperature datasets.

The fact that majors areas of the globe are cooling explains why warming has been trivial over the last 15 years, across the world. The lack of massive warming is a significant invalidation of the AGW hypothesis and runs counter to every major climate model based on the assumption that the climate in incredibly sensitive to human CO2 emissions.

Despite the hundreds of billions spent on these models and associated taxpayer expenditures on AGW research, the evidence is now conclusive that they are unable to predict accurately.

Additional modern, historical and fabricating-evidence temperature charts. Failed-prediction postings.

HadCRUT Global Temperatures, June 2011: 15-Year Span of Immaterial, Insignificant & Non-Accelerating Warming

The HadCRUT monthly anomalies were just updated through June 2011. Below are two relevant charts: one indicating the failure of NASA's climate model predictions; and, the other chart revealing the lack of global warming.

Global Cooling 2011: Southern Hemisphere Has Not Warmed In Over 15 Years & Another Brutal Winter Happens

In recent years, winters in the Southern Hemisphere have been especially miserable, and it is happening again in 2011 for multiple countries. Examples of the brutal winter weather abound, including: Peru, Brazil, Chile, Bolivia, Australia, Tasmania, New Zealand, Argentina and Paraguay. (Update 7/27/11: More info on Australia autumn/winter weather; South America here; South Africa here. Update 8/1/11: Australia and more South Africa)

If global warming is actually happening, how is it that the Southern Hemisphere (S-H) winters are not becoming more mild as expected? (click on image to enlarge)

In reality, the S-H has not had any significant warming in over 15 years, and appears to be entering a cooling phase, which may explain the winter weather becoming worse.

The adjacent chart reveals a flat linear trend (green line) for S-H temperatures that goes all the way back to March of 1996. That's over 15 years (through May 2011) that the data clearly show no significant and no material warming for 50% of the world.

The aqua fitted curve indicates the recent cooling trend being experienced.

In contrast to the real-world, hard data of climate science (i.e. empirical evidence) the alarmist claims of "unprecedented," "unequivocal" and "accelerating" global warming are outright false, and should be immediately dismissed as blatant propaganda. Although the die-hard cultists will never stop denying the lack of global warming, the scientific proponents of AGW are now finally admitting that global warming is not global, nor is it warming.

Desperation & Mass Confusion: Al Gore's Climate "Experts" Disagree About Why Global Warming Disappeared

Read here. Mass confusion and conflicted "consensus science" reigns supreme in the realm of AGW pseudo-science and the Gorian world-will-end style of hysteria. And it's all because the prophesied global warming has disappeared since 1998, throwing the ranks of the AGW-cult into fits of desperation.

Recently, we wrote about a peer-reviewed study (by scientists whom advocate human-caused global warming) that attempted to explain why global warming disappeared after 1998. In summary, their analysis blamed China's coal burning for the world's apparent cooling, which really does not hold up to close scrutiny.

Soon after, another group of global warming alarmist scientists released an analysis contending that China was not at fault for global cooling, but small, minor volcano eruptions were. This study, besides also confirming the global cooling that skeptics had identified a long time ago, seems to be another act of desperation by alarmists to explain away the inconvenient loss of global warming.

A major problem for these two studies, per the adjacent chart, is the fact that the Northern and Southern hemisphere's temperatures have behaved in opposing directions. One half of the world chooses slight warming since 1998, the other half votes for global cooling, so it would appear.

This inconvenient, empirical evidence readily invalidates the "global" in the global warming theory. It also invalidates both the China-is-causing-cooling and the minor-volcanoes-are causing-cooling aerosols speculation as causes for the lack of "global" warming since 1998.

Global Warming Gone Missing: 33% of World's Oceans Show No Warming Since 1981

The "world-ending" anthropogenic global warming caused by human CO2 emissions is supposed to be "global" except apparently it isn't; and often, it's not warming at all.

For example:

1. per the NOAA/NCDC data, the continental U.S. has actually been cooling over the last 15-years;
2. climate change alarmists are now finally admitting in the science literature that the world has not warmed since 1998;
3. the latest NASA satellite technology shows no ocean warming since 2002;
4. ocean heat content has basically been flat since 2003;
5. and finally, all measurements taken to identify the atmospheric "hot" spot required by the AGW hypothesis have not found it.

That's pretty damning evidence - not a single key climate measurement reveals the holy grail trifecta of "unprecedented," "unequivocal" and "accelerating," global warming. But wait....it gets even worse.

Adding to the alarmists' misery of a failed hypothesis is a critical area of the globe that is so important it's the basis of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) proxy - the  area of the NINO3.4 SST anomalies. The chart on the left, the NINO3.4 anomalies since 1900 show no warming; the chart on the right, the NINO3.4 anomalies from 1981 through June 2011, show no warming.

Essentially, a major proxy for global ocean temperatures has a flat trend for the past century plus.

To expand on the area that the NINO3.4 covers, there is a large Pacific ocean expanse (33% of world's ocean surface) that engulfs the NINO3.4 and closely mimics its temperature changes. This ocean area is known as the East Pacific. It stretches from pole to pole and is depicted on the map below (left).

As the chart on the right reveals, since 1981 this vast ocean region has not warmed, despite the massive amounts of human CO2 greenhouse gases and the "consensus" AGW hypothesis.

 

Soooo, how can a global warming hypothesis that has conspicuously failed every global warming empirical measure and validation test still be considered a viable scientific hypothesis?  How can such abject, empirical failure by a hypothesis still allow it to resonate with the liberal/left/progressive elites? Well, just like their love affair with eugenics, awful and idiotic science can find a permanent home in the belly of the left because of the dangerous power and control it artificially bestows to the ruling classes, relative to the average citizen.