Source here. (click on image to enlarge) This chart represents the 13 calendar years (156 months), starting January 1, 1998 and ending December 31, 2010. Per the NOAA/NCDC U.S. temperature data records, 2010 was the 3rd coldest calendar year since 1997 - an amazing 1.3 degrees cooler than the 1998 calendar year.
In addition, the large U.S. continental landmass during this period experienced an unfathomable cooling trend, equal to an immense minus 9.4°F per century.
At some point, U.S. continental warming will resume, but the extended decade-long plus global cooling trend persists, contradicting the experts. None of the IPCC climate models, nor "consensus" experts predicted this cooling, let alone a minus 9.4 degree trend for the continental U.S. This trend has persisted since the super 1997-98 El Niño warming event and continued through the major 2009-2010 El Niño event.
With the continental U.S. having the most extensive thermometer network in the world, this suggests that possibly other areas of the world would be reporting a cooling trend if they also had the extent and quality of actual temperature measuring coverage that exists in the U.S.
As a reminder, the climate alarmist AGW hypothesis calls for total global warming, which is not happening across the large U.S. landmass. Obviously, the case for AGW is significantly weakened by this NOAA empirical evidence.
Note: A temperature trend, as shown in the above chart, is not a prediction.
The Central England Temperature (CET) database is the world's oldest instrumental temperature record. Its temperature data has been used in hundreds of peer-reviewed studies because of its uniqueness and accuracy. It also has the advantage of never being manipulated by NASA's team of globalwarmingfabricators. (click on image to enlarge)
What's CET's venerable temperature record telling us as of the end of 2010? It confirms there has been no significant warming in the 15 years since 1995; actually, it instead reveals a slight cooling trend (green linear trend line) over that time span.
This record is the total opposite of what UK climate "experts" have predicted, and certainly mocks the past shrill hysteria and incompetence of the UK's ruling elites.
Those über-serious global cooling deniers down in Cancún are just starting to party hard and enjoy the immense benefits of a warm climate, while the average person of the Northern Hemisphere is experiencing the harshness of record cold and bitter climates. [Note to self: If a warm climate causes death and destruction from severe weather, why are these people at the fossil fuel-built, tropical resort of Cancún? Why not Palin's Alaska?]
Over the last ten years, the MSM reporters have pushed the myth-story that "global warming" was happening and dangerous. Yet NASA publishes data that the majority of the world has not been warming, and in fact, many areas have been cooling. Unfortunately for humanity, that cooling is worsening and spreading, which will cause much misery (with exception of ski resorts). h/t to Tom Nelson for many of these stories.
Read here. Although the MSM does not publicize actual empirical climate evidence any longer, it is known by researchers that large areas of the world have been cooling over the last 10+ years, some considerably. NASA data confirms this with their global temperature map for the period of 2000-2009, which clearly indicates "global warming" is regional warming at best. (click on image to enlarge)
Definitive warming is indicated on NASA temperature map by the yellow, brown and red colors. Bluish areas represent either cooling or non-significant warming/cooling - these areas dominate, which means "global" warming is non-existent.
Read here. We've discussed global cooling in many prior posts. If natural cycles push the world to a cooling tipping point, humanity is not prepared for the devastation because of the vast sums of money and time wasted by the elites on the CO2 global warming boogieman.
Have the elites finally awoken to their incredible bungling? Time to identify and list those elites responsible for gross incompetence?
"Let me explain briefly why this is a bombshell waiting to explode.
Almost every government in the Western world from the USA to Britain to all the other EU states to Australia and New Zealand is currently committed to a policy of “decarbonisation.” This in turn is justified to (increasingly sceptical) electorates on the grounds that man-made CO2 is a prime driver of dangerous global warming and must therefore be reduced drastically, at no matter what social, economic and environmental cost. In the Eighties and Nineties, the global elite had a nice run of hot weather to support their (scientifically dubious) claims. But now they don’t. Winters are getting colder. Fuel bills are rising (in the name of combating climate change, natch). The wheels are starting to come off the AGW bandwagon. Ordinary people, resisting two decades of concerted brainwashing, are starting to notice.
All this, of course, spells big trouble for the global power elite."
After much of the Southern Hemisphere was hammered by extremely cold weather during their winter, the northern part of the globe appears to be headed for the same misery.
The evidence keeps mounting that mother nature is mocking the "2010 is hottest" claim being made by climate alarmist scientists and their hysterical, MSM parrots (ooops, "reporters"). The coming 6 months could indeed be very cool based on what's happening across the globe.
Source here. Although August 2010 was the 7th warmest August since 1895 (August 1936 & 1937 were hotter for example), the
twelve-month period ending August 31 was the second coldest
since 1998, even with the warming influence of the 2010 El
Niño. Of course, this U.S. cooling trend will eventually revert to a
warming trend, but the current
decade-long plus global cooling trend has not yet abated. This has been a
major surprise for all global warming alarmists. This trend has
persisted since the super 1997-98 El
Niño event.
With the
continental U.S. having the most extensive thermometer network in the
world, this suggests that possibly other areas of the world would be
reporting a cooling trend if they also had the extent and quality of actual temperature measuring
coverage
that exists in the U.S.
The AGW
hypothesis calls for global warming, which is obviously not happening in
the U.S. - the case for AGW is significantly weakened by this type of
empirical evidence. Just as a reminder, the climate models predicted
"global" warming, not partial-global warming, as seems to be the present
situation.
Each red
line (link) on graph represents a 12-month period ending in August of related year -
continental U.S. temperatures only.
Note: A temperature trend, as shown in
the above chart, is not a
prediction.
Read here. Based on the data crunching by the good folks at Digging In The Clay, we can now visualize what global temperatures have done throughout the world since 1880. What is striking about their data representation (see below) is that "global warming" has been a non-existent phenomenon over large swaths of the globe. In fact, as the 130 year data clearly shows, major portions of the world have cooled, which is entirely inconsistent with the AGW CO2-based hypothesis.
Soooo, the next time your zombie-like eco-child, or a government paid stooge scientist, or your favorite new pagan religion (dis)order, or the sex-crazedpoodle celebrities start spouting off about how much the globe has warmed since the beginning of the industrial age, just point them to this chart, and then very gently whisper in their ear, "...please, would you just STFU about the global warming BS..." (click on image to enlarge)
Read here. As the satellite data depicts below, Pacific Ocean temperatures are in a dramatic, accelerating free-fall. If this trend continues, we will be witnessing unprecedented ocean cooling, which will drive global temperatures and climate change.
We are already seeing the climate result from this La Niña phase of the ENSO cycle:
While Moscow warms like "never before" (not), the extreme northern Arctic regions have had an unprecedented, extended cold summer.
(click on image to enlarge)
This Arctic temperature graph says it all, and if this cooling trend continues through the month of August, indeed we may witness a truly exceptional event - the COLDEST EVAAAR! Well....at least since 1958.
Read here. What is causing this major Arctic cooling? Will it continue? Answers: Solar. Yes, extended cooling is often the result of a decreased solar furnace. If so, the solar indicators point to some very miserable Northern Hemisphere weather in the very near future. Does this mean the entire global climate will be cooling? That seems like a stretch, but as they say, read the whole thing.
The world has had a few hot spots the past few months, but large areas of extreme cold and cooler temperatures are dominating. (Previous global cooling postings in series: Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5, Part 6, and Part 7.)
San Diego, this summer's cold continues a 50-year trend
(click on image to enlarge) Source here. Although July 2010 was the 17th warmest July since 1895, the
twelve-month period ending July 30 was the second coldest
since 1998. Of course, the U.S. cooling trend will eventually revert to a
warming trend, but the current
decade-long plus global cooling trend has not yet abated, which has been a
major surprise for all global warming alarmists. This trend has
persisted since the super 1997-98 El
Niño event.
With the
continental U.S. having the most extensive thermometer network in the
world, this suggests that possibly other areas of the world would be
reporting a cooling trend if they also had the extent and quality of actual temperature measuring
coverage
that exists in the U.S.
The AGW
hypothesis calls for global warming, which is obviously not happening in
the U.S. - the case for AGW is significantly weakened by this type of
empirical evidence. Just as a reminder, the climate models predicted
"global" warming, not partial-global warming, as seems to be the present
situation. Note: A temperature trend, as shown in
the chart, is not a
prediction.
Each red
line (link) on graph represents a 12-month period ending in July of related year -
continental U.S. temperatures only.
From the top of the globe to the bottom, we are witnessing patterns of cold weather that may be indicators of the expected global cooling period that many scientists feel we are entering, or already have. ('Cooling series' Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, and Part 5)
Read here and here. Like the U.S., parts of Russia have experienced high temps, while other large swaths of the country experience a really cold summer. (Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 and Part 4 of global cooling series)
"The Caucuses and nearby Kazakhstan have been getting hit by one cold wave after another..... Closeup of Kazakhstan below, showing temperatures 10-15C below normal near lake Balkash." (From first "here" link)
"The NOAA models predict a major cooling for the Arctic this coming winter. Indeed they show a significant cooling globally. These models have been converging on an Arctic deep freeze for a few weeks now.....you can see that the Arctic above Scandinavia, Russia, Siberia has cooled to a slight negative anomaly....." [C3 editor: for the future months August, September, October 2010]. (From the second "here" link)
And to again, to remind all of the global extent of the cooling this summer, here is more information about the devastatingcold in Peru. (h/t Tom Nelson) Then there is the record cold hitting Antarctica this summer.
Read here. Researchers from Cryospheric Processes Laboratory and the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) monitor various attributes of the S. Hemisphere/Antarctica and have documented that recently the snow melt index for the southern continent has reached its lowest point ever. Their research indicates the snow melt index is likely driven by the major ocean and atmosphere oscillations for that area of the world - in other words, Antarctica melting/warming has nothing to do with human CO2 emissions over the last 30 years.
We've superimposed the linear-like growth of CO2 levels for the past 30 years on the chart below. Clearly, the Antarctica climate is not warming due to the rapid growth of human CO2 emissions. Nor does it even appear to be influenced by CO2 levels. The alarmist AGW prediction that Antarctica was going to melt due to CO2 was (and is) absolute rubbish. (click on image to enlarge)
"Tedesco and Monaghan begin by noting “Melting over Antarctica has been monitored since 1979 using spaceborne passive microwave observations. The sign of the melting trends over Antarctica is variable at regional scales, depending on the period analyzed and on the indices used, with the continent-averaged trend being negligible.”.....observed that snowmelt was at a record low for the 30-year period between 1979 and 2009. Specifically, the Antarctic snowmelt index (the number of days on which melt occurs multiplied by the area subject to melting) in 2008–2009 set a new historical minimum.” They explain further “Negative melting anomalies indicate that melting occurred fewer days than the average over the past 30 years.”.....with only one small exception, the entire coastline of Antarctica experienced a low amount of melting – this was widespread and not regionally confined. Claims that Antarctica is melting are simply not consistent with the facts!"
Read here. In previous postings (Part 1, Part 2 and Part 3) we pointed to several indicators that the world is likely to be entering a global cooling phase. This image from Watts Up With That provides additional evidence of the power of this La Niña's cooling.
Read here. Global cooling is on the march (part I and part II) and it is brutal and devastating. In South Americathecold will probably kill thousands this winter. If global cooling truly grips the world, all of us, not just S. America, can expect far worse death and destruction as documented in this article based on peer-reviewed studies:
"The Little Ice Age in Scandinavia, as in most parts of the world where glaciers were wont to form and grow during that period, was not a time of either pleasantness or plenty. In fact, it was downright depressing and dangerous, as alpine glaciers advanced in virtually all mountainous regions of the globe during that period (Luckman, 1994; Villalba, 1994; Smith et al., 1995; Naftz et al., 1996), eroding large areas of land and producing masses of debris. Like an army of tractors and bulldozers, streams of ice flowed down mountain slopes, carving paths through the landscape, moving rocks, and destroying all vegetation in their paths (Smith and Laroque, 1995).
Continental glaciers and sea ice expanded their ranges as well (Grove, 1988; Crowley and North, 1991). Near Iceland and Greenland, in fact, the expansion of sea ice during the Little Ice Age was so great that it isolated the Viking colony established in Greenland during the Medieval Warm Period, leading to its eventual abandonment (Bergthorsson, 1969; Dansgaard et al., 1975; Pringle, 1997).
Two closely associated phenomena that often occurred during the Little Ice Age were glacial landslides and avalanches (Porter and Orombelli, 1981; Innes, 1985). In Norway, an unprecedented number of petitions for tax and land rent relief were granted in the 17th and 18th centuries on account of the considerable damage that was caused by landslides, rockfalls, avalanches, floods and ice movement (Grove, 1988). In one example of catastrophic force and destruction, the Italian settlements of Ameiron and Triolet were destroyed by a rockfall of boulders, water, and ice in 1717. The evidence suggests that the rockfall had a volume of 16-20 million cubic meters and descended 1860 meters over a distance of 7 kilometers in but a few minutes, destroying homes, livestock, and vegetation (Porter and Orombelli, 1980). Other data suggest rockslides and avalanches were also frequent hazards in mountainous regions during this period (Porter and Orombelli, 1981; Innes, 1985).
Flooding was another catastrophic hazard of the Little Ice Age, with meltwater streams from glaciers eroding farmland throughout Norway (Blyth, 1982; Grove, 1988). In Iceland, flooding also wreaked havoc on the landscape when, on occasion, subglacial volcanic activity melted large portions of continental glaciers (Thoroddsen, 1905-06; Thorarinsson, 1959). Peak discharge rates during these episodes have been estimated to have been as high as 100,000 cubic meters per second - a value comparable in magnitude to the mean discharge rate of the Amazon River (Thorarinsson, 1957). During one such eruption-flood in 1660, glacial meltwater streams carried enough rock and debris from the land to the sea to create a dry beach where fishing boats had previously operated in 120 feet (36.6 m) of water (Grove, 1988); while flooding from a later eruption carried enough sediment seaward to fill waters 240 feet (73.2 m) deep (Henderson, 1819).
There is also evidence to suggest that some regions of the globe experienced severe drought during the Little Ice Age as a result of large-scale changes in atmospheric circulation patterns (Crowley and North, 1991; Stahle and Cleaveland, 1994). In Chile, for example, dendrochronology studies have revealed that the most intense droughts of the past 1,000 years occurred during this period of time (Villalba, 1994). Similar findings have been obtained from tree-ring analyses in the southeastern United States, where the most prolonged dry episode of spring drought in the last 1,000 years occurred during the mid-18th century (Stahle and Cleaveland, 1994). Elsewhere in the southwest U.S., dendrochronology data indicate that the warm and moist conditions experienced during the Medieval Warm Period gave way to progressively cooler and drier conditions during the Little Ice Age; and it is suspected that this transformation of the climate led to the demise of the Anasazi Indian civilization by reducing the area of land on the Colorado Plateau that was suitable for agriculture (Petersen, 1994). Indeed, cold temperatures and glacial advances resulted in problematic farming in many areas of the world during the Little Ice Age; and failed crops and disrupted ecosystems produced much human misery (Bernabo, 1981; Grimm, 1983; Payette et al., 1985; Campbell and McAndrews, 1991; Cambpell and McAndrews, 1993).
Consequently, and in light of all of the debilitating phenomena associated with depressed global temperatures, if there was even the slimmest of chances that the historical increase in the air's CO2 content may have contributed somewhat to the 20th-century warming that brought the planet out of this awful environmental state, it should be applauded."
Read here. More eminent scientists, expert meteorologists and even major science organizations are now forecasting that the globe is headed for unusually cold period, quite possibly for an extended period of time. As the alarmists like to say, the polar regions are the climate canaries:
"The Neumayer III station, operated by Germany’s Alfred Wegener Institute, has recorded the lowest temperature at their Antarctic location since the start of operations there 29 years ago. The mercury dropped to -50.2°C.....According to polar meteorologist Gert König-Langlo of the Neumayer III, such similarly low temperatures have been recorded only 10 times since Neumayer operations began at this location. Says König-Langlo: This is the first time we’ve gone under the minus 50 degree mark."
Read here. Well...er,..okay...the smallest melt rate for the first 15 days of July then! (Hot update on sea ice melt from Watts Up With That: Sea Ice News #14 – an inconvenient July.)
In spite of the constant, ludicrous, short-term, navel-gazing pronouncements of U.S. climate scientists and their useful idiots, the mainstream press, the world is not burning up, nor melting. If climate scientists feel so strongly that the focus should be on the short-term, then the above indicator of Arctic ice melt is surely important and indicative also. It does seem to confirm what is happening over the medium-term, globally:
Read here. A new peer-reviewed study finds that global cooling climate change leads to major social instabilities (due to worsening weather/climate conditions), including outbreaks of devastating war. In essence, Chinese data and historical records indicate temperature warming leads to paradise and cooling to hell. This study refutes the speculative, catastrophic predictions of AGW alarmists regarding the impact of warming on society.
[Zhibin Zhang et al] "Here, using historical records and palaeoclimatic reconstructions during AD 10–1900, we demonstrate that war frequency, price of rice, locust plague, drought frequency, flood frequency and temperature in China show two predominant periodic bands around 160 and 320 years where they interact significantly with each other. Temperature cooling shows direct positive association with the frequency of external aggression war to the Chinese dynasties.....with the frequency of internal war within the Chinese dynasties through drought and locust plagues. The collapses of the agricultural dynasties of the Han, Tang, Song and Ming are more closely associated with low temperature. Our study suggests that food production during the last two millennia has been more unstable during cooler periods....."
Read here. Map source here. Scientists studied the extended warm period (interglacial) prior to the last major ice age. That prior warm period happened some 125 thousand years ago. Using a sediment core from a German lake, the scientists analyzed the quantity of pollen grains found in the core. Approximately every 1,500 years during the ancient interglacial, the climate changed from a warming phase to a cooling phase. The current interglacial, since the end of the last ice age about 15 thousand years ago, shares this same, every 1,500 year oscillation of warming-to-cooling climate changes.
The scientists involved in the study suggest this natural 1,500 year oscillation, found in both the ancient interglacial and the one we live in, is likely due to solar forces.
"The results of the authors' analysis revealed the presence of 11 major cold events having an average recurrence time of approximately 1450 years over the course of the last interglacial, which periodicity is essentially identical to the millennial-scale oscillation of climate throughout the current interglacial (Bond et al., 1997, 2001; deMenocal et al., 2000; McDermott et al., 2001; Gupta et al., 2003; Hu et al., 2003).....This study adds to the growing body of evidence that earth's climate oscillates in a well-defined manner on a timescale of approximately 1500 years. This knowledge is very important, for it suggests that something other than the historic buildup of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere may be responsible for 20th-century warming..... Indeed, there is absolutely no evidence for any concomitant oscillation in the air's CO2 content accompanying the 1500-year oscillation of climate that was responsible for the warmings that produced the prior Medieval Warm Period and the still earlier Roman Warm Period,"
Source here. Despite June 2010 being one of the warmest U.S. Junes since 1895, the twelve-month period ending June 30 was tied (with 2001) as the coldest since 1998. Of course, the U.S. cooling trend will eventually revert to a warming trend, but the current
decade-long plus global cooling trend has not yet abated, which has been a
major surprise for all global warming alarmists. This trend has
persisted since the super 1997-98 El
Niño event.
With the
continental U.S. having the most extensive thermometer network in the
world, this suggests that possibly other areas of the world would be
reporting a cooling trend if they also had the extent and quality of actual temperature measuring
coverage
that exists in the U.S.
The AGW
hypothesis calls for global warming, which is obviously not happening in
the U.S. - the case for AGW is significantly weakened by this type of
empirical evidence. Just as a reminder, the climate models predicted
"global" warming, not partial-global warming, as seems to be the present
situation. Note: A temperature trend, as shown in
the chart, is not a
prediction.
Each red
line (link) on graph represents a 12-month period ending in June of related year -
continental U.S. temperatures.
Read here. In a recent post examining global temperatures, we provided temperature charts that clearly indicated the recent global cooling. Scientists publishing in peer-reviewed journals are also document this cooling and speculate as to the causes.
"Perlwitz et al. begin their narrative by noting that there has been "a decade-long decline (1998-2007) in globally averaged temperatures from the record heat of 1998," citing Easterling and Wehner (2009). And in further describing this phenomenon, they say that U.S. temperatures in 2008 "not only declined from near-record warmth of prior years, but were in fact colder than the official 30-year reference climatology (-0.2°C versus the 1971-2000 mean) and further were the coldest since at least 1996.....With respect to the geographical origin of this "natural cooling," as they describe it, the five researchers point to "a widespread coolness of the tropical-wide oceans and the northeastern Pacific," focusing on the Niño 4 region, where they report that "anomalies of about -1.1°C suggest a condition colder than any in the instrumental record since 1871".....With respect to the geographical origin of this "natural cooling," as they describe it, the five researchers point to "a widespread coolness of the tropical-wide oceans and the northeastern Pacific,""
Source here. Temperatures as of May 31, 2010. Of course,
it will warm again, but the
decade-long plus global cooling trend has not yet abated, which has been a major surprise for all global warming alarmists. This trend has persisted since the 1997-98 El Niño event. With the
continental U.S. having the most extensive thermometer network in the
world, this suggests that possibly other areas of the world would be reporting cooling if they also had the extent of temperature measuring coverage
that the U.S. has.
The 12-month period ending May 31, 2010 was the coldest period for all twelve May-ending periods since 1998.
The AGW
hypothesis calls for global warming, which is obviously not happening in
the U.S. - the case for AGW is significantly weakened by this type of
empirical evidence. Just as a reminder, the climate models predicted "global" warming, not partial-global warming, as seems to be the present situation. Note: A temperature trend, as shown in
the chart, is not a
prediction.
Read here and here (PDF). Scientists produced a temperature reconstruction from a cave's stalagmite. Roman and Medieval warmings found to range from 1.1°C to 2.3°C higher than the 3,000 year mean. The Little Ice Age climate temperatures documented to have been 1.2°C lower than mean. In summary, the stalagmite records reveal a climate range of temperature changes of 3.5°C, prior to any industrial/consumer CO2 emissions from fossil fuels.
"The climate record derived from China's Jingdong Cave is just another example of what is being found in paleoclimate studies all around the world. There is an externally-forced millennial-scale climatic oscillation of probable solar origin that periodically brings the world relatively warmer and colder conditions, irrespective of whatever may or may not be happening to the air's CO2 content. The Modern Warm Period would thus appear to be nothing more than the most recent expression of this phenomenon."
Source here. Temperatures as of April 30, 2010. Of course it will warm again, but the
decade-long plus global cooling trend has not yet abated. With the
continental U.S. having the most extensive thermometer network in the
world, this suggests that possibly other areas of the world would also
be cooling if they also had the level of temperature measuring coverage
that the U.S. has.
The AGW
hypothesis calls for global warming, which is obviously not happening in
the U.S. - the case for AGW is significantly weakened by this type of
empirical evidence. The climate models predicted global warming, which
included all of North America. Note: A temperature trend, as shown in
the chart, is not a
prediction.
Read here.
Despite the U.S. government temperature data indicating that the continental
U.S. and the state of New Mexico are both cooling over the past 12 years, the liberal
Democrats of New Mexico have decided to implement legislation to fight
the fake "global warming." Why?
By introducing CO2 emission
legislation that will have zero temperature impact on their state, or
the U.S., New Mexico's Democrats hope is to raise additional revenues. It's
honestly not about global warming nor climate change; for Democrats, it's about
revenues, control, and power - simple as that. (click on image to enlarge)
"Fast forward to 2010. New
Mexico has decided to go it alone and unilaterally pass its own Cap and
Trade program, making it the only state in the country to ignore the
federal decision on this issue. More specifically, NM Governor Bill
Richardson and his lame-duck administration have decided to use
administrative process alone to force through Cap and Trade, and even
bypass our state legislature."
Source here. Of course it will warm again, but the decade-long plus global cooling trend has not yet abated. With the continental U.S. having the most extensive thermometer network in the world, this suggests that possibly other areas of the world would also be cooling if they also had the level of temperature measuring coverage that the U.S. has.
The AGW hypothesis calls for global warming, which is obviously not happening in the U.S. - the case for AGW is significantly weakened by this type of empirical evidence. The climate models predicted global warming, which included all of North America. Note: A temperature trend, as shown in the chart, is not a
prediction.
Take a close look at the chart. It shows the warming (or cooling) per century growth rate at the end of each decade. Notice how the reddish bars keep shrinking after the decade ending 1919, with the shortest bar being in the hottest decade evaaar, the decade just ended in 2009. Of course, the chart does have that one outlier bar ending in 1999 - doesn't that bar just seem way out of place? (It should.) What's going on in this chart? Well, read on..... (click on image to enlarge)
First, the easy stuff. The green line represents the decadal growth in atmospheric ppm levels of CO2 as a percentage by decade (the right axis). So, for the decade ending in 1999, CO2 ppm increased by some 4.25% over the 1989 CO2 level. For the decade ending 2009, CO2 increased another 5.2%. Definitely, since the end of WWII, CO2 levels are growing at a healthy pace.
What about that global warming, though? With those hefty increases in CO2, the global temperatures should be skyrocketing into the realms of the never-before-witnessed phenomenon of the terrifying "climate tipping point" that, ya' know, those climate alarmists and the MSM parrots keep screeching about. We've all heard from the climate alarmist scientists that global warming is "accelerating" but is it really?
As expected, global temperatures have been increasing in a sporadic fashion since the end of the Little Ice Age during the 1800's. This is a normal warming reaction that happens after every cooling period. At some point, the global warming is going to fade as the world reaches an equilibrium point coming out of the big chill, which the above chart actually provides evidence of.
At end of 1919, that decade saw temperatures increasing at a 1.96°C per century trend. At the end of the following decades, that global warming per century trend kept dropping, with the exception of the decade ending in 1999 when all of a sudden there was a huge jump. Was that large jump in the per century warming rate finally due to the CO2 increase as advertised by alarmists? Nope. That jump was entirely due to the Super El Niño.
The Super El Niño of 1997-1998 caused a huge spike in global temperatures that was only temporary in nature, but long enough to impact the entire decade's per century warming rate. If the years 1997 and 1998 instead had temperatures that equaled the average of the other eight years of the decade, the decade-ending per century trend would have produced a bar on the chart about the same size as the decades ending 1989 and 2009. Those two Super El Niño years literally breathed new life into the global warming catastrophe movement, and enriched Al Gore, despite the warming being entirely due to a natural, ocean oscillation phenomenon.
Despite all the hand-wringing, hot rhetoric, and impending doom talk, natural global warming looks to be in a dying phase regardless of the amount of human CO2 emissions. The decade ending in 2009 may have been the "hottest" since WWII, but the global warming underlying trend is one of deceleration, not acceleration, as this chart reveals. As some global warming scientists have recently admitted, global cooling could well be our near termfuture, with a few El Niños thrown in providing some very welcome "hot" years.
Source here. Overall decade-long global cooling trend has not abated. Both the U.S. and the world are definitely not experiencing global warming, in any sense of the concept. The case for AGW is without merit as temperatures have done exactly the opposite of what IPCC experts and climate models predicted a decade ago. Note: A temperature trend as shown in the chart is not a prediction.
Regardless of the claims and protestations of Obama, Osama bin Laden, Gordon Brown, Paul Krugman, Tom Friedman, Robert Mugabe, Kevin Rudd, Hugo Chavez, Brad DeLong, and other radical, leftist-totalitarian progressives, the recent global warming that ceased since 1998 was not that unusual.
The earth constantly experiences extended periods of natural warming and cooling that significantly impacts the overall climate. And since 1998, temperatures have been flat to cooling, depending on which part of the world one lives in, it would not be unusual at all for the earth to continue to cool for a period, nor would it be unusual for it to resume its warming since the Little Ice Age - scientists simply don't know which way temperatures are headed.
Despite the warming blip from the mid-1970's to the late 1990's, we do know the Northern Hemisphere has been locked in a long-term cooling cycle that goes back some 3,000+ years, as the Greenland ice cores reveal. (click image to enlarge)
The hysterical response to the recent warming by liberal-leftists is indicative of an agenda approach to science and history, lacking in both rational and empirical attributes. To hyperventilate about current temperatures, while ignoring the context of historical temperature change, is best described as voodoo science. And as we have all witnessed, this newest form of the voodoo science has resulted in the recent years of wild catastrophic climate predictions that never seem to happen.
Although considerably colder, Antarctica ice cores reveal a slight warming over the last 1,300 years. Yet the Vostok ice core indicates that over the last 5,000 years there were periods when temperatures were above present time, considerably (below chart).
Read here. There have been any number of articles, blog postings and statements by leftist/liberal/progressive/socialist elites about how the record snowfalls in the eastern U.S. are the result of global warming induced climate change to make one wonder if the whole left-of-center movement has gone freaking insane. As the vast majority of the public knows, the world and the U.S. have been experiencing a form of global cooling since 2001, not global warming. Yet the "elites" can't seem to understand the reality of what's happening - they've been entirely consumed by the myth of their own creation.
Below, for the leftist "deniers", we offer actual evidence of global cooling that has occurred, as reported by the major climate research centers, the NCDC and UAH. The cooling is widespread, and depending on the region, rather significant. This past cooling of the globe has facilitated the arrival of cooler weather and solid precipitation, commonly referred to as snow, in large amounts. (click image to enlarge)
"But the climate campaign's most ludicrous contortion is its response to the recent record snowfalls across the eastern United States. Ordinary citizens, repeatedly shoveling snow from their sidewalk, see global warming as a farce....In answer, the climate campaigners note that "weather is not climate" and that localized weather events are consistent with climate "change." They may be right -- yet these are the same folks who jumped up and down claiming that Hurricane Katrina was positive proof that catastrophic global warming had arrived, even though the strong 2005 hurricane season was followed by four quiet years for tropical storms that made a hash of that narrative."
"The ruckus exposes the greatest problem of Al Gore & Co.: They've pointed to any weather anomaly -- cold winters, warm winters, in-between winters -- as proof of climate change. That is, they can't name one weather pattern or event that would be inconsistent with their theory....The citizenry seems to prefer common sense -- opinion surveys show declining public belief in global warming."
Read here. Global warming fanatics and gullible politicians have left us in a position that we are totally unprepared for the eventual recurrence of ice age type conditions, be it "major," "little" or "mini." The chorus of globalcoolingalarms is starting to get louder but do we have enough time to prepare for the worst?
"The Little Ice Age in Scandinavia, as in most parts of the world where glaciers were wont to form and grow during that period, was not a time of either pleasantness or plenty.In fact, it was downright depressing and dangerous.....Consequently, and in light of all of the debilitating phenomena associated with depressed global temperatures, if there was even the slimmest of chances that the historical increase in the air's CO2 content may have contributed somewhat to the 20th-century warming that brought the planet out of this awful environmental state, it should be applauded."
Big government, big spending liberals like Sen. Boxer, Sen. Kerry, Rep. Markey, Rep. Waxman, Sen. Lieberman, Sen. Lindsey Graham, Obama and others have been convinced by environmental fanatics, Hollywood celebrities, and, of course, mainstream journalists that human CO2 is the cause of warming. Unfortunately for the big spenders, the American public is not buying the faux science that these politicos are mindlessly regurgitating. Why is that? (click on image to enlarge)
Well,real-world facts are getting in the way of the inconvenient lies that big government-big spender types have been pushing. The public knows that the world and the U.S. are cooling, yet the greedy and power hungry politicos keep shouting "fire." As this chart reveals, human CO2 is not the major cause of warming since all nearby areas outside of D.C. are cooling; it's other factors, including failed land-use planning by big government to avoid the incredible warming impact of urban heat islands, such as the metropolitan area of Washington D.C.
Suggestion to liberal/leftist, big government spenders: First solve the D.C. "global warming" problem before attempting to rape our wallets and shackle Americans with more worthless regulations. You exclusively caused the D.C. warming, now prove you can fix it. Chart data source here.
Source here. Overall decade-long global cooling trend has not
abated. Both the U.S. and the world are definitely not experiencing global warming, in any sense of the concept. The case for AGW is without merit as temperatures have done exactly the opposite of what IPCC experts and climate models predicted a decade ago. (click on image to enlarge)
In the case of
U.S. cooling, it has generally been happening since 1998 when a peak in temperatures was reached. If the trend for the U.S. were to continue (trends are not predictions), temperatures would drop some 10.0 degrees over a
100 year span - that's global cooling on steroids, which (we hope) is not likely to happen. (Incorrect temperature trend of -11.03C was corrected to -10.3C, 1-23-10.)
Read here. The IPCC expertise is solely focused on human CO2 as the primary climate driver. The IPCC climate models, as a result, have been designed with the same myopic focus. Yet all the recent weather conditions and longertermtemperature trends indicate (and verify) the climate is not being driven by human CO2.
Read here. It's just not intuitive to think that a period of global cooling would result in a time of greater ice melt but that's exactly what happened during the 'cooling' 1950's, as peer research has now discovered. More recently, the global warming alarmists keep bemoaning the large 2007 ice melt, and predicting the warming will soon bring us ice-free Arctic waters. Interestingly, the recent greater ice melt has happened whilst the Earth cools. Why does cooling seem to cause Arctic melting? Future science research will hopefully explain.
And, we should note that there's a science truism that every politician, Hollywood celebrity, and mainstream press reporter/pundits should be forced to repeat 3 times prior to opening their mouths while their brain is disengaged: "The science is NEVER settled." Yes, a good dose of critical skepticism would save so many of these left/liberal types from the constant humiliation of moronism.
Read here. Despite climate model predictions, despite the IPCC climate experts, despite the Climategate data fraud, and of course, despite Al Gore and Obama, the global temperatures continued their long-term trend downwards. This decline is in the face of steadily rising atmospheric CO2 levels. Per the AGW hypothesis, temperatures should have risen in step with the CO2 increases. The exact opposite occurred as there was a negative (- 0.14) correlation between CO2 and temperatures. (click on image to enlarge)
Read here. IPCC Climategate scientists have conveniently dismissed the influence of the Sun on the climate, by simply rejecting any solar science being included in the IPCC reports. Outside of the IPCC though, peer-reviewed research is determining that solar, not CO2, is the primary climate driver.
"The researchers' final conclusion was
that "quasi-100-year fluctuations of solar activity may be the primary
driving force of temperature during the past 6000 years in China." And
since their data indicate that peak Medieval Warm Period temperatures
were higher than those of the recent past, it is not unreasonable to
assume that the planet's recent warmth may have been solar-induced as
well."
Read here. Article reviews a long list of ocean/sea temperature studies that confirm the recent ocean cooling. But scientists are unable to explain why oceans lost such a massive amount of heat, especially since climate models predicted the exact opposite. What these findings suggest are earth's warming/cooling climate cycles are dominated by natural causes yet to be identified, let alone being understood.
Read here and here. Although the IPCC climate scientists have purposefully ignored the major solar impact on climate in order to make human CO2 emissions a global tax revenue stream, more scientific evidence pours in that the Sun drives earth's climate, not puny CO2 emissions. This research affirms what the majority of AGW skeptics have claimed.
Overall global cooling trend has not
abated. Both U.S. and world are not experiencing global warming. In the case of
U.S. cooling, it has generally been happening since 1998. If the trend
for the U.S. were to continue, temperatures would drop some 9 degrees over a
100 year span - that's an ice age type of change. (click on image to enlarge)
Read here. Many attendees of the Copenhagen believe their actions, and those of others, can influence the outcome of the world's climate. The natural climate cycles and dynamics over the long run will not be altered by human intervention. The forces of nature are just too immense for humans to control as the below graph from Greenland ice cores indicate. (click image to enlarge)
Read here. The UAH satellite temperatures for November 2009 have been announced and it jumped to the 0.50°C temperature anomaly point after a decline in October 2009. The full nine year trend continues negative as extended cooling has made its impact felt despite the accelerated global warming predictions of climate models. (click image to enlarge)
Read here. Well, it's not only the sun. When solar activity increases (decreases), the cosmic ray energy impact on Earth's climate decreases (increases). The Greenland ice cores are revealing the evidence of changing cosmic ray intensity from the varying levels of Beryllium isotopes being identified. Based on this evidence, there appears to be a strong relationship between the ups/downs of cosmic energy versus the downs/ups of Earth's climate.
The IPCC dismisses solar/cosmic influences because their marching orders are to solely blame anthropogenic reasons, namely human CO2. This is how we got a corrupted science, Climategate, and the Copenhagen boondoggle. But now, even major science organizations are expanding their climate change reasons beyond the simple CO2 hypothesis. Recently the National Center of Atmospheric Research (NCAR) changed their tune and is now producing research that points to a large solar impact.
Read here. The AGW hypothesis claims that the world's oceans have significantly warmed due to human CO2 emissions, and will continue to warm at an accelerated pace. The IPCC climate models were programmed to assume this ocean warming assumption. Reviewing the major research studies on this issue over the last decade, it's been found that the oceans have not significantly warmed, and more importantly, have actually cooled (lost heat) in recent years. This behavior runs counter to every IPCC climate model. In addition, one of the studies points to the oceans acting as a giant climate thermostat incorporating negative feedback mechanisms. The negative feedbacks prevent the global warming from achieving any type of "tipping point."
Read here. It's not just laypersons wondering about the cooler weather/climate. Researchers are finding solar indicators that are disturbing, to say the least. If a new 'Little Ice Age' plunges the globe into an extended cooling phase without the proper preparation and planning by political leaders and scientists, will some form of tribunals (International Criminal Court proceedings?) have to be conducted to hold those accountable to humankind? World leaders might want to start hedging their bets (watch to see if CO2-centric scientists start getting "thrown under the bus").