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'C3' the Skeptic	Blame it all on CO2	George Carlin on the 'Greens'

 

Global Warming Causes Headaches? But NOAA Evidence Indicates Zero Warming For 10+ Years

Another study with a bogus claim about CO2-caused global warming is debunked, by NOAA empirical evidence.

On average, for the multiple regions of the world that NOAA tracks and reports temperature changes for, there has been no global warming for 10.5 years (see second image - i.e. table).

Excluding the extended 35 years of no global warming in Antarctica, the average for the rest of the regional areas drops to 9.1 years.

From each region's pause 'Start Date, the table includes the correlation and r-squared between the region's temperature anomalies and NOAA's CO2 atmospheric CO2 levels.

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The correlation derived r-squared(s) between CO2 and temperature anomalies is essentially ZILCH, across the board.

Unfortunately, like most "scientists" who attempt to blame global warming for something they identified as a problem, it seems they never do the requisite research to confirm that global warming is actually taking place.

Rest assured, your headaches are not from global warming.

Notes: Source of temperature anomalies & CO2 ppm data. Excel used for calculations and plotting.

Per NOAA's Climate Science: Antarctic's Cooling Trend Stretches From April 1988 Through April 2023

One of the very important climate temperature trends that NOAA omits from their never-ending, alarmist climate change PR is the fact that the Antarctic's warming has been at a standstill (numerically, a slight cooling trend) since early 1988.

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That standstill spans 35+ years, despite the large growth of atmospheric CO2 levels during that period. And during that span, the correlation between Antarctic's temperature and atmospheric CO2 levels is actually negative (-0.00152), resulting in a r^2 of a ludicrously low 0.000002.

This outcome is entirely contrary to the "global" warming hypothesis that increasing CO2 will cause temperatures to rise, especially at the polar regions.

Because of their cultish belief in the hypothesis narrative, no "consensus" government-funded scientists predicted that the Antarctic would literally not have warmed during an extended period of high human CO2 emissions.

Additional regional and global charts. Additional failed predictions.

Notes: Antarctic temperature anomalies source; atmosphere CO2 levels source. Excel used to calculate trends, correlation, r^2 and to plot data.

IPCC AR6 Climate Report Called Out By Scientists Re: Serious Misinformation & Disinformation

The UN's IPCC latest climate change report (AR6) has been severely tarnished by activism propaganda that subverts the actual empirical climate science reality.

A group of scientists have produced a report that identifies and analyzes the combination of climate change misinformation and disinformation that exists in the 2023 AR6 report.

The press release for the analysis of the IPCC report can be found here; the full report here.

Both U.S. Maximum & Average Temperatures On Slight Cooling Trend Since 2011

Is the world 'HOT' and 'BURNING UP' from human CO2 emissions that "cause" global warming?

Well, the U.S. climate didn't get the memo. Average and maximum surface temperature trends recorded by NOAA's USCRN, the world's state-of-the-art climate measurement system, reveal that both have bucked the global warming trend since the spring of 2011.

And both the max and avg April 2023 temperature anomalies are lower than what USCRN recorded in April 2005. (The USCRN system came online in January 2005.)

Does anyone (other than the MSM news) still believe the politicians and climate scientists shouting that climate doomsday is just around the corner?

For the record, NOAA reports that the globe has been on a cooling trend ('pause', if you prefer) since 2015.

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The Real Climate Science Crisis: The Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW) Hypothesis Is Without Scientific Evidence

For a hypothesis to reach the status of being a legit theory, it requires withstanding the onslaught of observed empirical evidence. The CAGW hypothesis is no such animal.

Known by its more contemporary aliases, such as ''climate crisis," "climate emergency," "climate collapse," or "existential threat," the CAGW has zero empirical evidence to support it.

Unlike the related hypothesis regarding greenhouse gases (GHG) and global warming, at least the GHG hypothesis has warming global temperature data that somewhat coincides with increasing atmospheric CO2 levels, putting aside the growing possibility that the purported cause-and-effect direction is probably the reverse.

In order to reach a CAGW climate disaster, global warming temperatures must change rapidly in an accelerating manner that will initiate a 'tipping point' for the climate.

The rapid acceleration would present its occurrence in a continuous increasing of the slope, i.e., trend, of temperatures, such as monthly temperatures. Each subsequent month would represent a greater temperature magnitude increase than the month before, hypothetically.

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But those tipping point precursors are not occurring in the real-world climate.

For example, it is agreed by all climate scientists that oceans play a very major role in the world's climate and its global temperatures due to their being both the world's largest carbon sink and its largest heat content storage.

However, despite these characteristics, in totality, the global oceans HAVE NOT warmed since the year 2014. And certainly, there is no empirical evidence that oceans exhibit constant temperature increases of magnitude.

Quite the contrary, combined oceans exhibit a regular pattern of temperature decreases and increases, as the adjacent plot of NOAA's monthly ocean data indicates.

Specifically, this is a plot (dark blue) of moving 5-year temperature changes ending each month of the 60-year period from March 1963 through March 2023.

[Explanation: the first data point is the temperature change for the 60 months ending on March 30, 1963; and the chart's last temperature change data point is for the five 5 years (i.e. 60 months) ending on March 2023.]

The chart also includes a plot (green) of the moving 60-month CO2 level changes over the same sixty year period, plus a linear trend for both CO2 changes and ocean temperature changes.

The trend of the 60-month CO2 changes significantly exceeds the slight positive trend of ocean temperature changes by a factor of 117x. This huge differential undercuts the belief that global warming is primarily the result of GHGs. Which is confirmed by the paltry R^2 of +0.06 - an almost non-existent relationship between 5-year atmospheric CO2 changes and 5-year changes in ocean temperature.

Not only are the large increases in CO2 levels not causing a concerning uptick of temperature change magnitude, it also has not lead to any type of acceleration, per the linear trend since 1963.

Specifically, with a trend of a tiny +0.0001°C, that would project out 20 years to be an increase of 5-year temperature changes to an insignificant amount of +0.024 - definitely not an existential threat of 'runaway warming' or a CAGW 'climate crisis' as portrayed by bureaucrats, politicians and Hollywood celebrities.

So, if 5 years of increasing amounts of CO2 in the atmosphere barely influence 5-year changes in temperature over a 60-year span, either in magnitude or acceleration rate, then it is highly unlikely that this trace gas would cause a catastrophic climate disaster or an extinction event.

Thus, it is fair to state that for all those scientists pushing a narrative of an imminent climate change catastrophe from CO2 without the requisite empirical evidence, this has become the real climate science crisis facing society.

Additional global and regional temperature charts.

Notes: Temperature and CO2 data sources.Excel used to calculate 60-mth (5-yr) temperature and CO2 changes; used to calculate the respective trends; used to calculate correlation and r-squared; used to plot the chart.

Climate "Science": NOAA's Butchery of The Historical Scientific Temperature Record Continues

At the beginning of 2023, NOAA once again changed historical measurements in their surface temperature dataset.

This is a common action that NOAA applies way too frequently to historical information, which one could surmise, based on the following evidence, does not comport with the scientific goal of objectivity and truth.

Climatologist and scientist Ole Humlum is one of the few experts who has been tracking the temperature changes made by NOAA since 2008. In his monthly update, Dr. Humlum includes the below charts that aid in the visualization of NOAA's "scientific" adjustments.

This chart tracks the changes made to two calendar months, specifically January 1915 and January 2000.

click on to enlarge

For the month of January 2000 (red lines), modifications have now reached 70+ occurrences (each vertical line represents a change). Some changes are large, but most are small.

For the month of January 1915 (the blue lines), its temperature has been modified by NOAA 65+ times through April 2023

At the starting point of Dr. Humlum's tracking efforts, May 2008, the difference between these two Januarys was +0.39°C. That difference had reached +0.51 °C by April 2023.

Now, if these two Januarys were the only months modified by NOAA, it would be no big deal.

BUT, as Holum's second chart indicates, NOAA applies changes to all months going back to 1880. And the vast majority of changes since 1939 have been temperature increases, while those prior to 1940 were decreases.

Overall, NOAA has fabricated an increased warming rate since 1939 and has cut the warming rate in half from 1880 through 1939.

All accomplished via continuous adjustments since May 2008, which conveniently produce greater global warming for the modern era.

In the case of the most recent changes to the historical measurements made in January 2023, 1,575 of 1,716 past monthly temperatures reported in December 2022 were "updated"—91.8% overall.

For the decade of the 1880s, 114 months out of 120 were changed—that's 95%. The average monthly change for that decade was a cooling of -0.04°C. Those changes included June 1883 being cooled by a whopping -0.17°C.

As stated earlier, these changes to the historical temperatures do not appear to comport with unbiased objectivity or scientific truth. Instead, they seem very biased, with a non-randomness designed to support a political narrative—aka, "the climate crisis".

Note: Ole Humlum's charts include the acronym 'NCDC' - (NOAA's National Climate Data Center)

New Climate Research Authenticates Lack of The Infamous Greenhouse Tropical Hotspot

Why "Infamous"? Because no one has ever located this climate unicorn.

The hotspot is an essential claim of climate change doomsday beliefs - the belief that it exists and persists in the mid-troposphere. Combine that with the IPCC's experts reliance on climate models' pseudo-science which predict that increases of atmospheric trace greenhouse gases (CO2, methane, etc.) are the cause of the hotspot.

Many doomsday climate scientists believe that an atmospheric hotspot exists, and for some, it is indicative of an Earth rapidly warming to become a Venus-like oven, thus leading to our planet's oceans boiling.

Hence, for the gullible politicians and journalists, a fake climate crisis posing as an existential threat.

But new peer-reviewed research from a NOAA climate scientist team confirms what doomsday skeptics have been reporting for years: that the climate model's tropical hotspot is non-existent. Recent articles about this new NOAA temperature research can be found here, here and here.

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This NOAA team of scientists corroborate the findings of the UAH satellite dataset record for the mid-troposphere over the tropics. (Also corroborating the UAH lower troposphere temperature records.)

To put an empirical point on it, the satellite observations show that the tropical mid-troposphere has been cooling since August 2012 (see chart) even with the El Niño temperature spikes of 2015-16 and 2018-19.

Stated another way, that is over 10 years with no significant warming and no permanent hotspot.

Confirmation of the satellite data can be found at this NOAA site of surface tropical temperatures for the Hawaiian region, which has also been cooling, since October 2012.

Conclusion: The 'expert' computer climate change models have dangerously overstated how much warming would be the result of trace greenhouse gases. These egregious climate warming predictions cascade into even more dangerous errors about the ultimate impacts of climate change.

And let it be known that computer models for the climate are not alone when it comes to bad predictions: some of the worst predictions are realized almost on a daily basis from computer models used for COVID deaths, short-term weather forecasting, economic forecasting, or stock market performance.

This simple truth is why policymakers should never rely on computer model outputs. Computer models are great for research but not for correctly predicting the future.

Additional prior climate model charts and links to past posts on failed predictions.

Note: Source for UAH mid-troposphere data. Excel used to plot data points and calculate trend.

Survey: Teenage Climate Doomsday Influencer's Impact On Young Adults Appears To Be Waning, Bigly

The U.N. and big MSM made Greta Thurnberg out to be a scholar on climate change doomsday scenarios. But her oversized influence on young adults must be cratering in regards to the climate change narrative. Article

 

NOAA Confirms U.S. Precipitation Amounts Are Little Changed Since 1895 Despite Large CO2 Emissions

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If CO2 emissions are the cause of large changes in precipitation amounts, that climate result is not evident in the amount of precipitation recorded going back to 1895.

The adjacent chart is a plot of NOAA climate data for the U.S.

Average monthly precipitation from January 1895 through March 2023 was 2.51 inches. In contrast, the average from January 1950 through March 2023 was 2.54".

Reflecting on the data, the United States is not suffering from a deluge or a drought of precipitation on a constant basis, which both are claimed as a current existential threat by persons ignorant of the scientific and empirical evidence.

With that said, there are times when very dry and very wet periods occur within specific regions of the U.S. but both are results of a natural climate variability, not CO2 emissions.

Note: Source of precipitation data. Excel used to create plots of precipitation levels; Excel used to produce the 1.5 standard deviation range seen on chart. Approximately 7% of precipitation data points are outside the range at top and bottom. Red curve is rolling 55-year (660 month) average since 1895 (1950 was beginning of large industrial/consumer CO2 emissions era).

Lack of U.S. Climate Warming Now Extends Beyond 9 Years

Contradicting the narrative: Below is a chart that the legacy mainstream media will not be reporting on and the crony "green" politicians will simply ignore.

Per NOAA, U.S. temperatures have been on a slight cooling trend since February 2014.

Despite atmospheric CO2 levels increasing 5.2% (≈+22.0 ppm) during that time, there has been no overall U.S. warming over the last 9 years and 2 months.

The global doomsday existential threat that many politicians and reporters claim to be taking place is somehow conveniently avoiding the nation with the world's best climate reporting system. Go figure.

Source of USCRN temperature data and CO2. Excel used to calculate and plot trends.

NOAA: U.S. Historical Droughts 1895-2022

Contrary to current climate crisis narrative, the U.S. suffered worse droughts in the past.

1934 U.S. drought conditions: In May 1934 peaked at 44% of land under severe drought conditions.

2022 U.S. drought conditions: In July 2022 peaked at 21% of land under severe drought conditions.

NOAA source for drought charts.

Additional severe weather charts.

Debunking Fake News: Climate Change to Submerge Hawaii's Beaches?

Legacy media outlets have driven public confidence in major news sources to all-time lows, for very obvious reasons.

Fake news and disinformation narratives.

One of the better examples of the disinformation 'news' narrative campaign masquerading as objective reporting is the 24/7/365 climate change fear-mongering that is based more on hyperbole and alarmism than empirical evidence.

Most major news sources have taken it as their duty to 'report' that islands and coastal areas will soon be submerged due to climate change from human CO2 emissions. (CNN is just one example.)

In this article, CNN fails to mention that Honolulu's current Waikiki Beach is essentially man-made, with erosion problems dating back to the 1800s. The building of homes and hotels too close to the natural shoreline, and the addition of a multitude of piers, seawalls and groins, have badly disrupted the natural ebb and flow of sand along the entire length of the beach.

The disruption was so bad that Honolulu was forced to import sand from California over many years.

In addition, CNN chose not to share with its readers that NOAA has measured the long-term sea level rise in Honolulu at a tiny 1.55mm/year, which coverts to about 6 inches per century.

Interestingly, there was a greater Honolulu rate of sea level rise for the pre-modern period of 1905-1949 (540 months) of 8.6 inches/century, versus the rate of 7.5 inches/century for the 540-month period ending in 2021.

Per the science, the rate of sea level rise in Honolulu - be it 5, 6, 7, 8 inches/century - will not be placing its famed beaches forever "underwater" anytime soon.

And as the scientific evidence almost always confirms, the MSM press has a well deserved reputation of reporting a biased narrative and not necessarily the facts about climate change impacts required to make informed policy decisions.

Unfortunately, the same is true for the vast majority of important policy issues that we face.

Past sea level charts.

Note: Source of sea level data. Excel used to plot charts and calculate trends.

Fact Check: Claims of The 2022 "Historic" Texas Drought Being Due To Climate Change

During 2002, almost all of Texas dealt with varying levels of drought. But the claims that it was a "historic" drought and that it was due to climate change is misinformation.

From the Texas Tribune:

"On the heels of a historic drought that devastated crops from the High Plains to South Texas, a new Texas Department of Agriculture report released Tuesday linked climate change with food insecurity and identified it as a potential threat to the state’s food supply."

Texas has a very long history of suffering from drought conditions, especially during La Niña events. Below is NOAA's drought reporting for Texas, from 1895 through 2022, that reveals multiple periods of harsh dry conditions that have nothing to do with human caused "climate change".

Below, Texas from 1951-1956 - a seven year period of drought that was historic. At its peak, Texas had 87.6% of its lands in extreme drought conditions, per NOAA.

And below is the 1-year 2022 "historic" drought reported by the Texas Tribune. At its peak in 2022, 61.5% of Texas lands were identified as under extreme conditions.

Indeed, Texans suffered some very harsh conditions during the 2022 but those drought conditions did not rival the exceptionally long and extensive drought of the 1950's.

Regarding the "climate change" attribution for the 2022 Texas drought? Not very likely since 2022 was a La Niña year and it is well documented that Texas and other adjacent Gulf Coast states suffer dry/drought conditions when that occurs.

"Drier-than-normal conditions are observed along the west coast of tropical South America, the Gulf Coast of the United States, and the pampas region of southern South America."

Source for drought charts.

Additional severe weather charts.

Non-Existent Climate "Control Knob": Global Warming & CO2 Levels

The CO2 "control knob" for global warming is a mythical concept without empirical merit.

Note: NOAA temperature anomalies source; NOAA CO2 source; Excel used to plot datasets, calculate trend and r-squared.

Additional global; regional; and historical temperature charts.

Stuck On Stupid & Insanity At Davos: 600k Hiroshima Bombs/Day From Fossil Fuels Cause Oceans To Boil

The annual Davos' WEF confab of elites has a history of off-the-wall to sheer lunacy about the supposed catastrophic climate change crisis.

And Al Gore wins the WEF 2023 lunacy gold for his claim that humanity produces 600k of Hiroshima-sized atomic atmospheric warming explosions on a DAILY basis, thus the "oceans are boiling," according to the former VP. (Watch him here.)

But as it always seems to be the case, the empirical evidence does not match up even a smidgen with the fantastical catastrophe claims made by doomsday elites. In fact, the oceans have been ever so slightly cooling over the past 8-9 years despite the billions of CO2 tonnes emitted from human fossil fuel combustion.

The below first chart plots the temperature anomalies for the tropical oceans surrounding Hawaii, as reported by NOAA for year-end 2022; the second NOAA chart is for the Gulf of Mexico; and the third NOAA chart is for all oceans.

To put Gore's lunacy in perspective, sea waters would boil at around 105°C. The hottest that Gulf of Mexico and Hawaiian sea waters reach in a given year ranges from 26-28°C, and the highest the global ocean average ranges from 17-18°C. The oceans are not boiling from CO2 emissions and will never do so.

Note: NOAA temperature anomalies source; Excel used to plot the anomalies and calculate the trends. For the record, former NASA climate "expert" James Hansen made similar "boiling ocean" comments but it proved to be so embarrassing to the climate science community that YouTube deleted it. But you can still watch it here.

Additional global; regional; and historical temperature charts.

Climate Change Exists. Listen To The Science. Don't Be A Denier. Trust The Experts: Facts Matter

Climate change is a happening across the globe. But often in unexpected ways, per the below indisputable empirical evidence - i.e. facts matter - from experts. Eight years and counting.

And since we are speaking of climate change that is constantly taking place, all of the above could switch back to warming in a very short period, or NOT. 

By the way, which top climate expert predicted the above 8 years ago?

Global Cooling: An Inconvenient Truth

Per the IPCC's own gold-standard for temperature measurements, the globe has been cooling since August 2014. The world's tropical oceans are cooling since September 2012 (also confirmed by the UAH satellite dataset).

Regardless of the actual scientific empirical evidence, legacy media, politicians and corrupted science will continue to claim that the world is warming at a rapid pace due to human CO2 emissions.

Putting Global Temperatures In Context Debunks WEF Climate Emergency Crisis Claims

The World Economic Forum (WEF) is at the spear's tip for pushing climate change emergency and doomsday propaganda. It's not hyperbole to suggest the WEF's own hyperbole is off the charts in its attempt to frighten people, especially the young.

But the good news is that the empirical evidence simply debunks the WEF false claims when needed context is added.

(click on to enlarge)

Yes, the world is warming since the end of the Little Ice Age, but at a rather unalarming, non-doomsday rate (see 20-year global average line on chart).

Significantly, the large increases in CO2 emissions has had little impact over the long haul on the global absolute temperatures.

And to put that 20-year global average in context, the chart includes the annual average temperatures for both the warmest country and warmest U.S. state; plus, the coolest country and U.S. state.

The modestly increasing 20-year global average is well within the temperature ranges -from Canada to Mali - that the vast majority of humans inhabit, comfortably.

The fear that warm temperatures are unusual or threatening to humanity just does not comport with the reality of the actual climate empirical evidence. 

And as for anecdotal evidence, the WEF (and its cohort of global warming alarmists) just finished carousing at the COP27's climate scarefest in Bali, one of the very warmest and most beautiful regions of the world. Bali's annual average temperature is only a little below the world's warmest climate of Mali (see chart), which itself has a climate some some 14°C above the moving 20-year global average.

Importantly, context matters if one is to avoid becoming a victim of debilitating anti-science fearmongering.

Additional global temperature charts.

Note: Excel was used to calculate both the moving 20-year temperature averages and cumulative CO2 increases. Dataset sources: Hadcrut5 global monthly temperature and NOAA CO2 data.

Joe Biden & The Doomsday Democrats: Anti-Fossil Fuel Extremists Who Ignore NOAA's Real World Climate Evidence

Rarely does a day pass without the Biden administration or some Congressional Democrat spewing scientific nonsense about our supposedly current global warming "existential" threat from fossil fuel CO2 emissions. But the latest empirical evidence and research does not support the Democrat doomsday narrative.

Way back in January 2005, the empirical evidence started rolling in from NOAA's USCRN project - the U.S. state-of-the-art climate reporting system - designed with the sole purpose of identifying climate change signals. The good news is that this land-based system has the best monthly temperature observations versus any other system currently used across the globe.

However, the bad news for the disaster-porn press and Democrats is that NOAA's USCRN datasets show no doomsday signal. This NOAA chart from January 2005 through August 2022 clearly reveals that there is no signal of any global warming existential threat that Democrats keep yammering about as a "clear & present" danger to Americans.

By using the USCRN's own data, one can measure and plot the rolling 60-month temperature changes to determine if CO2 emissions are causing monthly temperature changes to increase, which would fit the Democrats' narrative.

Instead, the scientific empirical evidence reveals that the rolling 60-month temperature changes are actually declining, not increasing as experts want the public to believe.

In addition, by using NOAA's monthly atmospheric CO2 readings, it provides undeniable proof that the correlation between the 60-month temperature changes and the 60-month rolling averages of atmospheric CO2 levels is highly suspect, bordering on non-existent. (In fact, there is a negative correlation between the two resulting in a R² of 0.002.)

Besides the increasing temperature changes claimed by Democrat "experts", they claim that temperatures are rapidly accelerating higher, thus supposedly proving their existential threat beliefs. Instead - yet again - the USCRN empirical evidence of temperature trends counter that cult-like belief. 

In an examination of rolling 60-month temperature trends on the below chart, it is critically non-ambiguous that temperature trends change constantly in both amount and direction over time; and, categorically proves there is no established current positive correlation with the ever-increasing atmospheric CO2 levels. (Again, the R² between the two variables is ludicrously tiny.)

And the trend (red linear line) of the of the rolling 60-Mth trends confirms the direct opposite of what Joe Biden and the Democrats say and what the MSM reports. If fossil fuel CO2 emissions actually had the impact on global temperatures as claimed, the trend would be significantly upward sloping.

The following chart depicts the actual cooling trend that the U.S. has experienced since April 2014 - 8+ years. And the cooling trend is not just the U.S. Both NOAA's global temperature dataset and its ocean dataset are in cooling trends over the same time period. In addition, both major satellite (RSS and UAH) climate measurement systems report global lower atmospheric cooling trends since 2014.

Yet, Biden's Democrats, the MSM press, and the bought agenda "scientists" ignore all of the above unmistakable, scientific evidence that refutes their CO2 global warming doomsday narrative.

Additional regional and global temp charts.

Notes: The cooling trends noted (or extended 'pause' if one prefers) are not climate significant other than in the context that politicians mislead the public by conveniently ignoring the real world evidence and saying the opposite is true. The top chart is sourced from NOAA's national temperature web site, which is also the source for all the monthly temperature data used in the remaining charts above. Monthly CO2 data sourced from this NOAA site. Excel was used to plot the data; to calculate the correlations, rolling trends, averages, and the linear trends. The top chart of monthly USCRN temperature anomalies has an R2 of 0.03 in regards to the monthly atmospheric CO2 ppm levels.

Democrats' New Climate & Green Energy Legislation Has Zilch Impact On Climate Change, Per The UN's Science

Biden and the Democrats' newest legislation is chockful of handouts for their green energy cronies donors that will have a "significant" impact on global warming, or so say the Democrats.

But when this legislation is analyzed by experts, using the UN's own climate models, the CO2 emission reductions will only - in a best case scenario - reduce total global temperatures an immeasurable 0.0002°C by the year 2100 (77 years from now); and, the more likely worst case scenario will reduce global temps by a ludicrously small amount - 0.000006°C.

This column chart plots these expected temperature reductions on a per year basis versus actual per year temperature changes for recent periods, including the per year change over the last 77 years.

And for even all the politicians who refuse to do the due diligence of analyzing their own legislation - and instead rely on bogus claims from lobbyists - it should be wildly obvious that their giveaways of taxpayer monies for "green" energy efforts will do zilch for the climate.

Unfortunately, this gigantic flush of $400 billion in taxpayer monies for such a miniscule real return on climate change is only the beginning for the Democrat climate cult.

This article points out that the crazies need at least 1,200,000,000,000,000 in taxpayer dollars or ONE QUADRILLION TWO HUNDRED TRILLION DOLLARS in order to be on a very speculative path to their utopian climate. That amount is 13 times larger than the entire global GDP.

Crazy Democrat climate-cultists, anyone?

Additional global and regional charts.

Since Oct 2014 Humans Emit 230+ Billion Tonnes of CO2 Emissions But Atmosphere Temps Do Not Increase

Per the 'consensus' climate model science - and its faithful apostles - a gigantic CO2 emission plume produced by civilization is supposed to increase global temperatures, especially in the lower atmosphere.

But quite the opposite has happened over the past 7 years and 9 months when some 230 billion CO2 tonnes were expelled from fossil fuel combustion.

More specifically, the global lower troposphere has been in a very slight cooling trend since October 2014; and the atmosphere over the tropics for about a year longer.

Using a combination average of the two primary (RSS and UAH) satellite global measurement datasets, the below plot shows the declining trend in temperatures in contrast to the growth of atmospheric CO2 levels reported by NOAA. (The R² of the temp anomalies and CO2 ppm levels doesn't exceed +0.01, indicating that CO2 has had little, if any, influence on recent global warming/cooling.)

 

 

Utilizing the same combined average dataset, the moving 5-year changes in temperature anomalies can be calculated, as well as the 5-year changes in NOAA's dataset of CO2 levels. The below chart very clearly shows a distinct declining trend of the 5-year temperature changes while the trend of the 5-year changes in CO2 levels is increasing. (The R² for the 5-year changes is not a very robust +0.20.)

 

 

Finally, the next chart plots for both the temperature anomalies and CO2 levels the moving 5-year trends. Essentially, the temperature plot exhibits a trend that continues to decline over the vast majority of months since 2014. And it's very obvious the moving 5-year CO2 trend over the 7 years, 9 month span is absolutely not driving the temp trend. (The R² between the two is a measly +0.05.)

 

 

None of the above tells us that the current global cooling will continue. Like anything else with the global climate, this current state has a high likelihood of changing - that's a given.

But the above does tell us that the globe and civilization are not on some out-of-control freight train headed towards the cliff of an imminent system-wide doomsday meltdown. Not-Going-To-Happen would be a safe bet without one having to cross their fingers.

Conclusion: Politicians/bureaucrats who state there is an imminent existential threat from CO2 induced global warming and climate change are best thought of as flat-out liars, based on the actual scientific climate data.

Note: Source for RSS and UAH temperature data; source for NOAA CO2 data. Excel used to calculate combine RSS/UAH monthly temp anomalies average, trends; and used to plot the data.

Additional global temperature charts.

Those Stubborn Facts: Per NOAA, Global Cooling Since 2014 Refutes Politicians' Cult Of The 'CO2 Control Knob'

As Joe Biden considers a ludicrous "national climate emergency" and the hysterical climate-porn doomers are getting even more hysterical about a summer heat wave, the most recent NOAA climate data show the world cooling since the end of December 2014 (NOAA's temperature anomalies chart).

(click on to enlarge)

If Joe Biden and Democrats think they can control heat waves by reducing CO2 emissions, they might first check the actual empirical evidence as to the possible efficacy of that.

For example, the correlation of global temperature anomalies and atmospheric CO2 levels is a negative 0.20 (yes, a -0.20 correlation) over the 90 months since December 2014. 

Essentially, per NOAA science, imbecilic politicians need to finally realize there is no magical CO2 control knob that bureaucrats can twist and turn to produce desired short and intermediate-term climate and temperature results. Seasonal weather outcomes are NOT controlled by CO2.  

Note: More specifically, regarding the current cooling trend, it actually started in April 2014 per NOAA's global (land & ocean) monthly dataset.

Additional modern and regional temperature charts.

Tropical Storms & Cyclones Over Last 50 Years: Expert Verifies There Is No Upward Trend For Ocean Storms

But the scientific empirical evidence will not stop the #ClimateScamBS from the doomer-cult in Congress from spreading their fear-porn lies.

 

U.S. Govt Debunks Biden & AOC's Disinformation Claims of The Global Warming Existential Threat

NOAA's updated global oceans temperature dataset through June 2022 reveals slight cooling (ZERO warming) since the end of 2013 for the world's oceans.

 

(click on to enlarge)

Democrats' assault-policies on fossil fuels by hyperbolic lies and disinformation propaganda are without any empirical evidence merit.

Principal Democrat climate disinformation propagandists: Joe Biden and Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (AOC).

Note: NOAA ocean temperature dataset

 

The RCP8.5 Global Warming Scenario Versus Actual Cooling: Climate Model Misinformation That Duped Biden & Other Elites

In a prior article, information was provided confirming that the young Democrat Congressperson, Alexandria Ocasio Cortez, should not be in the climate-doomsday prediction business.

Unfortunately, she is not alone in her uncritical acceptance of a cult-like claim that the world will end soon, due to 'devastating' global warming from human CO2 emissions. This cult includes Joe Biden, along with most of the globe's left-wing power brokers, the wealthy elites, celebrities and partisan journalists.   

Biden et al share the same necessary traits that produces a gullibility for cultish doomsday stories: namely, the total disdain of actual empirical evidence in combination with an extraordinary blind faith in the elites' experts - aka, the expertocracy.

And just like the experts' recent infamously wrong Covid infection/lockdown models, the climate expertocracy loves their own climate models, despite the models' continuous failure to predict global temperatures accurately.

Case in point, the climate RCP8.5 scenario pathway was generated by computer models (specifically, the CMIP5 model) that the expertocracy relies on for their climate-porn fearmongering.

The climate-porn takes many forms in their scary stories of highly speculative climate change impacts, with the end result always being that any global warming is an existential threat to all species, including humanity.

This absurdly wrong but highly favored scenario for global warming is plotted in the accompanying chart. Note the RCP8.5 model's linear trend versus reality, the HadCrut5.0 gold-standard of actual global temperature observations.

While the RCP8.5 scenario predicts nothing but an accelerating warming trend for the 21st century, the HC5 observation dataset plot in contrast reveals that the globe has experienced a cooling trend for almost 8 years since August 2014. (And NOAA's global temp dataset has been on a cooling trend since March 2014 through end of June 2022.)

By the way, this is not the only cooling trend in the 21st century. The HC5 dataset has recorded at least six separate occasions since 1999 (representing 40% of the months) when there was a rolling 36-month cooling trend of multiple months. In contrast, the climate expert modeled RCP8.5 scenario produced zero periods of a 36-month cooling tend.

Back to the August 2014-May 2022 cooling span.

Another characteristic of the modeled RCP8.5 scenario over the 94 months ending May 2022 is that it exhibits a monthly average anomaly change of +0.00271°C versus the HC5 average monthly anomaly change of only +0.00029°C. That is a 9 times per month larger outcome for the modeled scenario than the HC5's real world result.

If those average monthly changes for both were to continue for the next 100 years, the RCP8.5 result would hypothetically be 2.9°C degrees higher than the HC5.  

Yet, despite the above empirical science clearly indicating the incapacity of the RCP8.5 model to produce a reasonable representation of either global warming or global cooling trends, the uniformed elites continue to base future policy decisions on this model. This is especially true for the president of the United States and the vast majority of Democrats in Congress.

Why they continue to rely on obviously faulty computer models for climate/energy policy - or Covid policy for that matter - beggars belief.

An interesting article from 2015 regarding the RCP8.5 scenario.

An aside. Defenders of climate model output often fall back on the rationale that the models worked almost to perfection to predict past temperatures. Well, of course they did, due to the simple fact that the programmers knew in advance what the past temperatures were. But when the the models have to predict an uncertain future they do not fare well.

Case in point is the RCP8.5, which was introduced in 2013 and predicted past temps amazingly well. But by late 2014, the model results were starting to deviate consistently from actual observations. That explains why in reality we have an actual cooling trend from Sept 2014 to May 2022 while the RCP8.5 predicted the exact opposite.

Note: RC8.5 model scenario dataset; HC5 dataset. Excel used to calculate and plot linear trends.

What Existential Threat? Climate Doomers Are Ignorant That Climate Change History Repeats

Today's climate change doomers who preach that global warming from the highest atmospheric CO2 levels in modern times is leading to an existential threat of catastrophic and world-ending disasters are most definitely not well versed in real world climate history.

The past extreme climate events in the U.S. are noteworthy as examples of past climate change that rival any events occurring in the 21st century. Take the case of 1934.

In the first 6 months of 1934, the U.S. was suffering from a severe drought of little precipitation across a wide area of the contiguous states.

And the current lack of 2022 YTD precipitation, as documented by NOAA below, looks eerily similar.

Despite the similarity, the 1934 drought event suffered from a lack of precipitation that was at least 2.2 times more intense (when comparing precipitation anomalies) than the current 2022 event. The 1934 YTD period was the 2nd driest ever, while the 2022 YTD ranks only as the 23rd driest.

Yet, the more intense 1934 period event took place under a condition of atmospheric CO2 levels that was significantly lower than today's level.

Unfortunately, those that are in charge of U.S. climate and energy policies will remain ignorant of the way that climate history repeats itself, thus guaranteeing their polices will be an abject failure.

Prior article one and article two regarding: "What Existential Threat?".

What Existential Threat? Climate Is In A Constant State of Change, From One Extreme To Another

Why do politicians think the climate was ever "stable" in the past? When you have the likes of Pres. Joe Biden(D) and Sen. Mitt Romney(R) believing that, one realizes the world's elites are really stupid. That's truly scary, not constant natural climate change.

 

Chart source - NOAA. (click on chart to enlarge)

What Existential Threat?: US Temps Cooling Since 2014

Journalists' and Democrats' EXISTENTIAL threat of climate change: They must be very afraid of cooling temperatures, eh?

 

Plot of the precision USCRN climate stations as reported by NOAA. 

Despite warm June 2022 temperatures across much of the U.S., the overall cooling trend continues from March 2014.

It does make one wonder sometimes if human CO2 emissions cause temperatures to decline instead of the experts' predicted global warming.

Note: USCRN dataset. Excel used to plot and calculate linear and 6th degree polynomial trends

 

AOC's 'World Ending' Prediction vs Climate Reality: How Do They Compare?

Most will remember Democrat superstar Alexandria Ocasio Cortez's famous prediction that she stated during a January 2019 interview. It's now been 40 months since her prediction that in 12 years the world will end - 2131AD - from climate change.

And how has her prediction fared against reality?

In an attempt to be somewhat charitable to the Congressperson, her knowledge of climate reality and her prediction prowess are rather suspect to say the least.

Below are a series of five temperature charts that plot global temperatures the 40 months prior to her prediction, and the 40 months since her prediction, plus single atmospheric CO2 chart.

This first chart is a plot of global monthly temperature anomalies and linear trends for both the HadCrut 5.0 land/ocean surface areas and the UAH 6.0 atmosphere satellite global area. The timeframe for this chart is from Oct 2015 through the end of January 2019, which represents the 40 months prior to AOC's prediction.

This next chart plots the same temperature anomalies but for a different timeframe - the 40 months since her prediction (February 2019 through May 2022).

The third chart in the series looks similar to the first two, but instead of plotting the actual monthly anomalies, this chart plots the 12-month differences - i.e. change - between anomalies. For example, the difference between the October 2015 anomaly and that of October 2016; then the difference between November 2015 and that of November 2016; and so on. The timeframe for this chart is from October 2015 and January 2019.

This fourth chart is the same as the above third chart but with a different timeframe, February 2019 - May 2022 (the 40 months after her prediction).

The last temperature anomaly chart in the series is for the full 80 months of anomalies from October 2015 through May 2022.

Lastly, the following chart depicts the NOAA monthly atmospheric CO2 levels (ppm) for the full 80 months ending May 2022. In contrast to the declining global temperature trends, clearly the CO2 levels continue to increase at a monotonous pace.

Conclusion: Based on the empirical evidence, the world is not going to end by 2031AD. Unless one is concerned with the overall global cooling trend, it is irrational and illogical to even suggest that global warming from CO2 emissions poses an existential threat to humanity or civilization in the near/intermediate future. Those establishment elites who continue to utter this type of climate nonsense should be summarily thrown on the ash heap of anti-science liars. 

Note: Excel used to calculate/plot all measurements and linear trends. One extra chart can be found in comments. As of 6/29/22, the May 2022 HadCrut 5.0 temperature dataset still has not been published, as a result a May HC5 anomaly estimate of +0.74 was used.

The Last 30 Years U.S. Climate Warming: It's Not Unprecedented. It's Not A Crisis

Various institutions, politicians, bureaucrats, scientists, and legacy mainstream news outlets have long been trying to convince Americans that we are facing an existential crisis because of unprecedented climate warming - due to our lifestyle's CO2 emissions. Yet Americans remain skeptical, and for good reason.

The below chart (and the other two) is produced by NOAA's 'Climate At A Glance' site. It documents that the U.S. has experienced a warming climate since 1895.

Overall, our 48-state continental area has warmed at a non-existential "crisis" rate of 1.61°F per century.

The majority of warming appears to have occurred during the winter months (bottom spikes on chart), especially since the late 1970s. The warming of summer months (top spikes on chart) seems much less obvious in contrast.

(click on to enlarge)

This next chart displays the warming trend (blue line) for the last 30-year period ending December 31, 2021. The last 30 years have exhibited considerably more warming with a trend per century rate of +5.4°F. Surely this must be the "unprecedented" warming that threatens all Americans with a civilization-ending climate disaster!

But hold on. Despite all the predictions, proclamations, and protestations that the U.S. and Americans face utter ruin from this recent upsurge in warming, the empirical evidence from the scientists at NOAA shows indisputably that the recent 30-year warming is not unprecedented. This level of warming has happened before.

This below chart displays the warming trend from 1912 through 1941 - as calculated by NOAA - which confirms the past warmed at a faster pace than the recent warming - +6.12°F per century rate versus the +5.54°F rate. Important note: Our society did not collapse, nor did our ancestors die off in droves as a result.

And this faster warming period, ending in 1941, took place during a time when CO2 atmospheric levels increased an anemic 11ppm versus the robust 61ppm increase for the 30-year period ending in 2021. That's a 5-times difference, suggesting that the actual CO2 emission-warming factor is not the dominant climatic influence claimed by the doomsday alarmists.

While a high warming trend at any given date might seem dangerous to the average politician or a mainstream news script reader, it is in reality not the case, since short-term accelerating trends always revert to a short-term decelerating trends. It is this natural ebb and flow of warming and cooling that maintains a very stable climate.

For example, per NOAA, at the end of 1941 there existed a +6.12°F trend that would have produced a +4.9°F warming by the end of 2021, if it continued on uninterrupted from climate cooing periods. Instead, the average U.S. temperature increased by +1.9°F for that 80-year span of time. (Within 6 months of the end of 1941, the 5-year U.S. temperature trend had dropped to a minus 21.3°F.)

Conclusion: The known empirical evidence indicates Earth has been warming since the end of the Little Ice Age. The warming has frequently been interrupted by periods of flat and/or cooling temperatures. As documented by NOAA climate scientists, the recent 30-year warming is not unprecedented. Nor does the current warming present an existential crisis or threat to Americans since future climatic patterns, oscillations, and cycles will very likely temper or reverse temperature increases.

More Empirical Evidence That Recent Climate Change Warming Is Not A Threat

As earlier posts (post#1, post#2, post#3) have documented, recent global warming - aka climate change - has been rather uneventful, especially in the context of the last 6-7 years. But how does climate warming in the modern era with its high CO2 emissions compare to earlier periods of the 20th century during a low CO2 emissions era?

Using the same HadCRUT global temperature dataset as used in post #3, we compare the actual temperature change differences over multiple periods for the 20.5 year span ending June 31, 2021 versus the 20.5 year ending June 31, 1931.

This first chart has rolling 12-Month (1yr) temperature changes on the left, comparing those changes for for the span of time from January 1910 through June 1931 versus they same span length for the January 2000 through June 2021 span; and, on the right is a column chart of total cumulative growth of CO2 (ppm) in the atmosphere during those respective spans of calendar time.

The correlation between the temperature change and the CO2 ppm growth is shown on the CO2 chart. Both correlations are negative, strongly indicating that CO2 growth has no impact on short-term temperatures. 

In addition, the linear trends of the the two calendar series of 12-month temperature change are almost identical (the trend for 2000-2021 span is actually cooling). This despite the simple fact that the last 20.5 years has witnessed a cumulative growth of atmospheric CO2 that is 6X greater than the 20.5 years ending at June 1931.

 

(click on chart to enlarge)

This next chart is the comparison of rolling 60-month (5yr) temperature for the two calendar time spans.

Next is for the rolling 120-month (10yr) temperature for the two calendar time spans.

Finally, the 240-mth (20yr) temperature change empirical evidence comparison.

 

As these last two charts reveal, the linear trend for the span ending June 2021 is negative (ie - cooling) in contrast to the clear warming trend for the period ending June 1931. And the correlation between CO2 and temperature change remain the inverse for 2021 to what one would expect if CO2 was the actual driving force behind modern climate warming temperature change.

Conclusion: Warming of the climate has been taking place since least the 1850s, albeit sporadically. But the warming changes over the last 20 years are not indicative of any sort of an existential climate crisis being produced by human activity.

In fact, the temperature change empirical evidence since January 2000 confirms that the growth of CO2 atmospheric CO2 levels are seemingly irrelevant. In contrast, the earlier period ending June 1931 presents a much stronger case that CO2 emissions could have had an influence on producing a warming linear trend over an extended period.

Additional global and regional temperature charts.

Note: Excel used to calculate and plot all charts. Data sources: Modern CO2 levels & historical levels. UK's HadCrut4.6 monthly global temps.

Global Warming Acceleration Proves NOT To Be An Existential Threat, Per The Empirical Evidence

(click on chart to enlarge)

Global warming is the grand bugaboo for all catastrophic climate change alarmists. In reality, though, this existential threat is without science merit.

For decades, the alarmists have predicted that there is an existential threat because temperatures are rapidly increasing due to human CO2 emissions. Their belief is that global temperatures are accelerating towards a 'tipping point' that will be civilization ending ..... and very soon, they say.

But, as this chart of accelerating/decelerating temperature trends reveals, not much has changed in a climate significant, long-term manner, due to the feared increase in atmospheric CO2.

(As an aside, it was in 1988, when NASA first presented the "existential" threat concept to gullible politicians.)

In a nutshell, global temperatures will accelerate - and then decelerate - regardless of the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. As can be observed, the 12-month per century temperature trend is extremely volatile, yet the 240-month (20-year) trend is relatively stable in contrast.

When viewed in context, the empirical evidence clearly demonstrates that the wild extreme swings in acceleration/deceleration for short-term temp trends does not translate into a wildly rapid acceleration of longer-term temperature trends.

And for further context, the current 20-year trend is at 1.46°C, which is significantly lower than the 2.43°C 20-year trend established way back in February 2004.

Yes, despite all the hair-pulling hysteria about the many multiple gigatonnes of CO2 emitted, the 20-year warming trend decreased by some 40% over the last 17 years.

Therefore, without that rapid acceleration of longer-term temperature trends, the existential threat of a climate tipping point is non-existent.

If the existential threat is non-existent, when should a potential climate tipping point become an issue of greater scrutiny and of serious debate?

Well, maybe when the aqua 240-month (20-year trend) trend starts rapidly increasing and then surpassing the red line (6.4°C) on the chart, which represents the minimum constant per century trend required every single month (from August 1, 2021 thru December 31, 2099) to produce a 5°C increase in global temps by 2100.

 

Notes: Excel was used for all slope calculations and then plotting of trends on chart. Green CO2 line on chart represents the CO2 atmospheric level cumulative growth (in ppm units) over time. Data sources: Modern CO2 levels & historical levels. UK's HadCrut4.6 monthly global temps.

IPCC's Gold-Standard Temperature Data: Last 7.25 Years World Has Been Cooling

(click on chart to enlarge)

The UK's global land and ocean dataset of temperature measurements confirms there has been a 7 year and 3 month span of cooling, as of the end of month, June 2021. Plus, the correlation between the global temps and atmospheric CO2 levels is negative for that period: -0.036

This is totally contrary to what politicians and crony-green capitalists have claimed, and also what "experts" have predicted.

Why are so many in the establishment's elite class wrong?

Simply, it's cult like anti-science belief in an unproven hypothesis that human CO2 emissions cause global warming that results in civilization-ending climate change. Or, they believe that the unproven hypothesis is a means to higher taxes and greater control over the masses.

Take your pick.

 

Prior global cooling article regarding NOAA's confirmation of a world not warming.

Additional temperature charts.

Notes: The UN's IPCC has relied on the UK's HadCRUT4 near surface temperature data as the gold-standard of empirical global-warming measurements for years. Excel used to plot the datasets & to calculate the trend/correlation. Sources of HC4 global temp data and CO2 data.

NOAA's Empirical Evidence Confirms The World Has Not Warmed Over Last 6+ Years

Does the world only have 100 days before it's too late to save Earth from global warming and climate change per 'climate czar' John Kerry's recent claim? Nope.

NOAA's up-to-date empirical climate evidence debunks that hyperbolic claim easily.

Unfortunately, as the public has discovered with the multitude of claims and exaggerations that have been wrong about the Covid disease over the last 18 months, similarly, politicians, bureaucrats and climate "experts" have been stupendously wrong - for decades - with their false predictions that fossil fuel CO2 emissions will soon cause the end-of-the-world, as we know it.

While the world's climate has exhibited a warming trend since the end of the Little Ice Age, the warming has not been constant. There are scattered throughout the decades actual extended cooling periods that retrace the prior warming.

In fact, since 2014, multiple NOAA temperature datasets confirm that the world has been cooling over the last six years, as of June 2021.

At this point, it's noteworthy to mention that today's government and academia climate experts, and their models, are unable to anticipate or explain these extended cooling periods, since their hypothesis of never-ending rapid warming due to human CO2 emissions has not matched well with climate reality. 

Below are the charts using NOAA's own climate empirical evidence confirming cooling trends that are now over six years in length.

First up, NOAA's global land and ocean temperature. From August 2014 through June 2021, there exists a cooling trend.

(click on chart to enlarge)

Next, NOAA's global ocean temperature measurements. From March 2014, there exists a cooling trend.

Next, NOAA's global land temperature measurements. From November 2014, there exists a cooling trend.

Next, NOAA's U.S. temperature measurements. From March 2014, there exists a cooling trend.

Finally, the UAH satellite (NOAA partners with UAH) lower troposphere satellite measurements. From March 2015, there exists a cooling trend.

 

To make it clear, the above documented cooling trends cannot be extrapolated into the future. However, that these trends exist runs counter to the consensus orthodoxy science; and, the trends belie the belief that there is a high correlation between the hypothetical atmospheric CO2 control knob and temperatures.

For the record, the actual correlations are significantly low for each NOAA temperature dataset, ranging from a -0.0511 to 0.0176. These stubborn facts completely debunk the mythical "control knob" that bureaucrat scientists would be able to utilize in order to manage climate change.

Conclusion: The NOAA empirical evidence is undeniable. The world is currently not warming and the liars' claim that a soon-to-be climate catastrophic collapse for humanity is total bunk.

 

Notes: Excel used to plot the datasets & to calculate the trends/correlations. Sources of NOAA temp data, UAH temp data and CO2 data.

Climate & Energy Headlines - 7/4/21

Video of recent headlines of interest that you may have missed.

(click on image for video)

 

Article links to headlines shown in video.

Does The Level of Atmospheric CO2 Cause Climatic-Weather Extremes? Nope!

(click on to enlarge)

The real world, scientific empirical evidence simply does not support the anti-science, fringe claims that the trace gas CO2 is directly responsible for extreme weather events.

And yet, with the recent very hot temperatures hitting the U.S. Pacific Northwest region, the usual fear-mongering suspects will claim that these new temperature records are a result of dangerous global warming from CO2 fossil fuel emissions.

While temperature records will be set in 2021, the fact remains that recent temp records are not a new thing. NOAA scientists have documented past extreme temperature records (and precipitation records too) in all U.S. states going back to the 1890s.

There is a long history of new extremes and events regardless of the levels of atmospheric CO2.

As the adjacent chart reveals, our 21st century of record-setting temperature and precipitation events are not extreme when put in the context of of past climate change and global warming records for the U.S. Note that the 10-year average for both is less than once per year.

Visually, it is more than obvious that increasing CO2 levels is not the cause of dangerous climate tipping points, be it new temperature or new precipitation records. And statistically, the r-squared's provide the empirical evidence that the impact of CO2 on record-setting climate/weather events is laughably small, if any.

This does not change the fact that the world is warming and has been since the mid-1800's. But as far as CO2 producing climatic-change weather events that will end the world in the near future remains without any empirical merit.

It's another case of those stubborn facts that climate alarmists hate.

Note: Source of state records

Droughts: New Mexico

(click on to enlarge)

Droughts happen in New Mexico. Always have. Always will. It's called climate change.

 

h/t: https://realclimatescience.com/

Global Warming Temperature Characteristics of A Climate Emergency: 1941 Versus 2020

Be it Climate Doomsday, Climate Emergency or Climate Crisis: It's not just a matter of the global warming that has taken place since the late 1800s.

More importantly, it's how much the temperatures are changing over a period of time and the speed at which they are doing so that are the central characteristics determining if the climate is actually headed towards a disequilibrium state of doom.

If the Earth's climate is approaching a disequilibrium, or is already in a disequilibrium of existential climate instability, global temperature change and acceleration rates would have to be unprecedented.

By using the IPCC's gold-standard (HadCrut) of global temperature measurements, it can be determined if the global temperatures at the end of 2020 are exhibiting an amount of change and/or acceleration that are unprecedented.

 

(click on to enlarge)

As these two accompanying charts establish, modern (red) temperature change and the rate at which it has changed are essentially similar at the 20-year mark to the pre-1950 (blue) changes and associated rates of change.

[The 240-month trend rate ending at December 2020 ranks only as the 362nd highest, and the 240-month temperature change ending for December 2020 ranks as the 340th largest, which means that neither are outside the realm of natural climate variability seen before.]

Yet, these similar global climate temperature characteristics for 2020 and 1941 exist despite atmospheric CO2 levels being one-third higher at the end of 2020 versus that of the year-end 1941 level.

And there was not a single, rational politician or responsible journalist of 1941 claiming that the Earth was facing a climate emergency.

The simple truth, based on the scientific empirical evidence: Our modern climate does NOT exhibit the two key characteristics required for an 'unprecedented,' runaway, tipping point global warming of climate change doomsday. And it's not even remotely close to being a possibility.

 

 

 

Additional global and regional temperature charts.

Notes: Excel used to calculate/plot HadCrut 4.6 temperature anomaly changes and per century temp trends; also used to depict CO2 levels.

NOAA Debunks Biden's Administration Basis For The Green New Deal - Global Temperatures Are in Decline

NOAA's database of global temperature observations confirm that the Trump administration policies did not cause an increase in global warming, much to the chagrin of Democrats and their climate experts.

(click on to enlarge)

Instead, at the end of 2020 there existed a 5-year cooling trend - for both land and ocean - that has extended into the first two months of 2021.

This lengthy cooling trend essentially debunks the need for the Biden 'Green New Deal' since the purported climate existential threat, emergency, crisis, apocalypse and/or extinction menace does not exist.

The empirical evidence from government agency cannot be more clear: dangerous, rapid global warming from human CO2 is without any merit.

Additional global and regional "warming" charts.

Note: Charts produced at this NOAA climate site.

 

CO2 Emissions: Why Transnational Government Agencies Are Unable To Control CO2

It's not difficult to determine why the UN and their climate change agreements always fail to reduce the growth of CO2 emissions.

Until the Chinese Communist Party decides to respect the global environment and all of humanity, the likelihood of any future climate agreement being successful is a '1' on a 1 to 1-billion scale.

Are U.S. Climate Temperatures Accelerating To New Highs?

The much touted climate Armageddon by politicians, which is supposed to happen within the next 9 to 12 years, is a pure science fiction plot unless global warming across the continental U.S. exhibits a consistent trend of temperatures accelerating to new highs over recent decades.

But have accelerating maximum temperatures in the U.S. actually happened on a consistent basis?

Nope.

A simple review of recent decadal empirical evidence - from NOAA climate scientists - indicates clearly the U.S. climate is not suffering from a condition of accelerating maximum temperatures that the politicians, bureaucrats and mainstream media have been propagandizing.

(click on to enlarge)	The following charts establish that during the majority of recent decades, the trend for maximum temperatures is not of dangerous accelerating rates but instead periods of decreasing rates. And although the 2020s decade is still in its earliest years, this decade's trend so far for U.S. maximum temperatures is downward, in a continuation from the two prior decades.  During both the 1990s and 1980s, the warming trends of maximum temperatures in the U.S. are evident. But neither decade exhibits an accelerated temperature trend that would be the harbinger of climate doomsday that has been prophesied.
	The 1970s were another decade of cooling maximum temps, and although not shown, so were the 1960s. One has to go back all the way to the 1930s and 1940s to find two decades in a row that had maximum U.S. temperatures increasing at a positive rate. In addition, an important observation is that every single decade sees a significant upward trend for atmospheric CO2 levels. Yet max temperatures in the U.S. often do much the opposite.
	Again, the empirical evidence simply does not exist that would support claims of a mass extinction for our American society from an accelerating, terrible global warming. This simple look at decadal trends of maximum temperatures simply refutes the claims of existential threat and completely undercuts the demands for the end of fossil fuels.  Additional temperature charts. Notes: Excel used to: convert Fahrenheit to Celsius; plot monthly U.S maximum temps & CO2 levels; to calculate/plot temp & CO2 linear trends.

The Changing U.S. Maximum Temperatures: An Existential Threat?

(click on to enlarge)

It's no mystery that NOAA over the many years has reported to policymakers and politicians that temperature changes in the U.S. are a potential problem.

And it's no mystery that the establishment politicos and policymakers have turned that warning into claims that we face an existential threat to life - as we know it - within 9 years.

But does the NOAA climate evidence for the U.S., in regards to changes in U.S. temperatures, support the existential threat claims?

Well, actually it doesn't.

Because in order to establish that there is even a hint of climate doom that we are facing, the actual temperature changes reported by NOAA should at least resemble the hyperbole about the climate's supposed dangerous global warming changes.

The above chart plots the actual 12-month changes of the maximum monthly temperature dataset across the continental U.S. since January 1965. In addition, it depicts the annual increase in the cumulative human CO2 emissions released over the same time span.

As can be seen, there is no systematic temperature change pattern evident that even produces a 'hint' of an existential threat.

Yes, temperature change in the U.S. has increased at certain points but as the three-year moving average (blue curve) reveals, that increase always reverts to a decrease - a natural return to the mean, so to speak. 

So, after 56+ years that experienced a gigantic cumulative global release of CO2 emissions that is close to 1.3 trillion metric tonnes, the hypothetical CO2-induced global warming that would cause a climate doomsday remains a wild exaggeration, without any empirical merit. 

With the above no-doomsday factual data in mind, what type of empirical evidence of temperature change would cause one to conclude that the empirical evidence resembles the hysterical claims of a potential existential threat? Below is a plot of hypothetically very small, but growing, 12-month temperature changes that are applied to every single month of the January 1965 to February 2021 dataset.

Result? An obvious, consistent pattern worthy of the legitimate concern: "Houston, we have a problem" with the climate.

(click on to enlarge)

Since climate reality does not exhibit this pattern, any hyperbolic claims by NOAA (and NASA) climate "scientists" and the establishment elites are nothing more than climate-porn lies designed to generate public fear.

Ahhh... 'those stubborn scientific facts' continue to be the nemesis of the establishment narrative.

Additional temperature charts.

Notes: Indeed, global and US temps have increased since the Little Ice Age, but the amount and pattern of temp change does not exhibit an existential threat from CO2 emissions. Cumulative CO2 data include an estimate for 2020 global emissions. Excel used to: convert Fahrenheit to Celsius; calculate and plot 12-month temperature changes, 36-month average; to calculate/plot cumulative CO2 emissions.

Climate-Porn Nonsense: The Existential Threat of Becoming The Next Venus

How likely is it Earth will become the next Venus, in regards to hellish temperatures?

Zilch.

Regardless of which climate-porn cult figure is proselytizing, the end result is a stream of soon-to-be climate change doomsday scenarios within the next 9 to 12 years.

The "doomsday" is always categorized as an "existential threat" due to the "extreme" global warming from human CO2 emissions, which will deliver onto us those Venus-like temperatures.

NOT.GOING.TO.HAPPEN. 

Unfortunately, even those who definitely should know better can't resist the temptation to spread the ludicrous claims of Venus-like temperatures that will "cause" oceans to begin to boil.

As the adjacent chart reveals, both atmospheric and surface temperatures of Earth are a fraction of those associated with Venus (the orange 430°C and red 460°C lines).

Since the beginning of the satellite climate measurement capability, Earth's lower troposphere temperature dark blue line) has fluctuated between -2.5°C and -5.8°C and the surface temperature of the Tropics (aqua line) have fluctuated between +17.8°C and 19.0°C. and as the end of 2020, those temperatures were -5.1°C and 18.4°C, respectively.

As the empirical evidence displayed on the chart indicates, Earth's temperatures have fluctuated within a very limited range over the last 40+ years, without even a hint of the pending Venus-like "doomsday."

And this has taken place during a span of very high human emissions from fossil fuel combustion. On the chart, note that the monthly changes (black dots) in Earth's CO2 levels over that 464-month span are plotted.

Despite the releases of the huge amounts of human CO2 into the atmosphere, the actual climate change impact on Earth's absolute temperatures is the antithesis of a possible Venus style "existential" threat of runaway tipping point temperatures.

View additional temperature charts. Note: Above chart plots created using Excel. Absolute LT temperatures based on 50/50 combination of RSS/UAH satellite temp measurements. Absolute tropical temperatures based on HadCrut Tropical land/ocean temp measurements.

50/50 Average RSS & UAH Lower Troposphere Temperatures + Monthly CO2 Atmosphere Changes

Plot of RSS/UAH combination of average monthly satellite lower troposphere changes. CO2 ppm level changes also plotted.

Click here for links to dataset sources of RSS, UAH, Noaa CO2.

 

 

Additional temperature charts.

 

Climate Doomsday Propaganda Refuted: Scientists Determine CO2 Does NOT Increase Extreme Precipitation Events

Climate doomsday cultists are constantly reminding that CO2 emissions are causing an increased frequency and intensity of precipitation events. But these claims are categorically wrong, per the empirical science.

From a review of a recent peer-reviewed journal article:

"According to the seven researchers, the lower Yangtze River basin has experienced "wet periods with precipitation above the mean value ... in 1845-1891, 1907-1917, and 1935-1959," whereas dry periods occurred in "1892-1906, 1918-1934, and 1960-2011." But there were also a total of 28 anomalously wet and 28 anomalously dry years across the record...And upon further examination, Xu et al. report that "anomalous events frequently occurred in the 1880s, 1890s and 1910s (5 events per decade), but seldom in the 1980s and 2000s (only 1 event per decade)." Consequently, it would appear that the frequency of anomalous wet and dry years has declined in recent decades, having been more common in the earlier part of the record than the latter." 

As the empirical mountain of scientific evidence grows, it establishes the corresponding reality that the climate doomsday propaganda has a greater propensity to being refuted. Doomsday anti-science never fares well when exposed to the bright light of empirical fact-based research. 

Additional failed climate change predictions.

Hottest & Coldest Temperatures By Continent, As of 2020

One would think with the constant narrative barrage of climate change "doomsday" that there would be overwhelming empirical evidence proving that "catastrophic" global warming was creating continental wastelands of devastation from extreme temperatures.

But in reality, that isn't the case at all, as can be observed on the adjacent map image (click on image to enlarge).

When examining the hottest/coldest temperature records for the major continental masses, there has not been a new extreme temperature record established since 1994, per Wikipedia.

In fairness, there are smaller island and peninsula geographic areas that are surrounded by oceans that have new temp records since 1994. But those isolated incidents do not represent what is happening on the principal land mass of continents.

The fact that the "expert" predicted global warming doomsday from the trace greenhouse gas CO2 is not being observed at the continental level, even after decades of massive fossil fuel emissions, indicates that the global climate is not experiencing a "tipping point" of instability, which would result in an "existential" threat.

In summary, it's another case of those stubborn facts refuting the anti-science orthodoxy of dogmatic doomsday propaganda.

Latest Evidence: NOAA & Smithsonian Confirm Modern Era Temps Well Below Those of Past

As many climate scientists and skeptics have reported extensively, today's global temperatures are not unusual or exceptional in terms of warmth.

In fact, current global temperatures are so below what has occurred in the past, scientists at both NOAA and the Smithsonian Institution have been forced to deal with that reality.

Their updated (adjacent) temperature graph, as published in this article, clearly depicts modern temps significantly below those of past warmer periods.

Besides being below those of the past, the graph demonstrates that the idea of a "stable" climate is bunk. The climate is always changing and that also applies to today's climate.

It's another case of 'those stubborn facts' that is so hated by green-activists and wealthy renewable energy cronies.

 

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Rank Covid-19 Hysteria & Fearmongering By Democrats/Liberals Refuted By The Science

Joe 'Basement' Biden is the tip of the propaganda spear when it comes to stupidity and the pathetic anti-science hysteria being pushed by the 'Karens' of the world. 

The most dangerous and contagious aspect of the Covid-19 is the viral fearmongering emanating from the bullhorn of MSM and major social media sites.

And millions of supposedly "smart" and educated Americans have swallowed the proverbial hook-line-sinker of the propaganda bait.

Yet, over the last three days we've learned what the objective empirical data and science is now confirming what the skeptical, anti-hysteria scientists and medical professionals have been stating:

   1. W.H.O.: The 'Lockdowns' don't really work that well

 

   2. CDC: The 'Facemasks' don't really work that well

 

Literally, W.H.O. and the CDC have inconveniently debunked the major liberal/left narratives that have caused some 8 months of unprecedented catastrophic pain for most Americans who are not in the top 5% of economic/wealth privilege.

Instead of continuing to push the anti-science mandated policies that are found to be of questionable effectiveness in stopping Covid transmission and deaths - but have been certainly devastating in their societal impact on the quality of life - Democrats and liberals need to start embracing informed policy choices based on actual evidence and the real science.

Maybe it's time for left-of-center Americans to finally break their addiction to the 24/7/365 fearmongering and hysteria of CNN and MSNBC and instead start reading what the top epidemiologists are finding, reporting, and suggesting as policies - targeted, precise pandemic measures.

Evil Censorship & Election Interference By "Americans" Perpetrated Against Americans

Thirty short slideshow videos that reveal stories and issues the mainstream media would like everyone to forget. They do so by totally ignoring the story or downplaying the issues that does not fit their MSM Biden-Harris narrative.

Combined with the actions of Big-Tech social media sites, the censorship is massive.

It's a constant case of gaslighting the masses in the buildup to the November 3, 2020 election, influenced by a palpable partisan bias and their absurd Trump Derangement Syndrome.

These censorship efforts continue to be a gigantic, horrible disservice to the American public and has become an evil election interference/malfeasance that is multiple times greater in comparison to the Chinese and Russian election influence machinations.

(Videos below the fold)